ReinyDays
Gold Member
Not one of NOAA's, NWS, or any other agencies models can pass empirical evaluation. There is currently a 100% failure rate of all models. Outside 12 hours, it's a coin toss. The only reason the farmer's almanac gets it right 80% of the time is due to pattern identification.
The current state of the modeling demonstrates our understanding of the climatic system. We don't know squat! Your average farmer can predict better than any of the fancy computer generated fiction.
That's okay ... the computer runs don't have to be accurate ... they just need to be useful ... it's a meteorologist who sits down with all this computer output and interprets the data ... from this he can write a good forecast ... at your location, this is accurate out 48 hours ... and may God have mercy on your soul ...