i am not sure the rail vision is shit, in fact i see it as exactly that 'visionary' however the mismanagement is shit, just look at the bay bridge project.
having been a san francisco/los angeles commuter a couple times per week, trust me the rail alternative was attractive. and there are many who work the same schedule. the time it takes to check in get thru security and fly is considerably more than the three plus hours on the train...and on the train I could be productive.
the concept depot in san francisco is spot on, exactly what that area needs. would make direct access by tourists viable and interesting.
again, the concept keeps up with international standards. unfortunately those in charge have no business/project standars.
*shrugs*
well, 1) at 430 miles, 3 hours is a pipe dream, no routed Amtrak or train has ever made the trip according to their pie in the sky figures,they do a straight line stop to stop ( sf -la) at the highest speed computation capable by the train , you have slow down sections, stops etc.....
2)the LA Times has been all over this, air fare is approx. $140. if you are a frequent traveler you can get thru security in 20 minutes. I have, Easily. And go ahead and drive to the terminal site for the train in SF, its no better than the airport. The last price I saw that they would consider for the ticket was $80 in today’s dollars. So if I pay someone an extra 3 hours on the clock, so they could take the train, that 'savings', vaporizes. If I pay them to say overnight ...? same , same...except now I am in for the cost of a hotel, meals, etc etc ...
3) the flight time is 1 hour 10 minutes. If I had a meeting, add another 50 minutes for a taxi to where I have to go for the meeting, I could get to LA, be at my meeting an hour in into it, just as the train is pulling into the station ( That is supposing they meet that 3 hour travel time). You can work on the plane, so being productive is not an issue imho.
4) there is still a lot of face to face bis. going on, but business folks are not a staple rider ship calculated into their plan, in the age of tele commuting etc. getting better and proliferating all the time, 3D printing is 5-7 years away in mass….. ( I mean Tele-commuting IS the greenest right) bus. Travelers will not carry that line financially, period.
5) amtrak had a line from Anaheim to SF to las Vegas backing the 80-‘s 90’s, they pulled the plug on it, no one rode, either way or in between anywhere near the numbers to equal the cost of running the line.
5) god knows what we will have working by 2033...thats 21 years with NO additional delays etc…… Their original estimate has slipped from 2020 to 2033 in just 3 years….so, we know that’s a pipedream too.
We will build it and subsidize it so we can say; “ hey we have hi speed rail, look at us, we lead the way”.
Its not a decision based on economics, like the decision to go to the Euro in Europe, its driven by a social/ moral outlook……..
Of course they could always subsidize via taxs, by not being cowards and raising the gas and airport fees to the point where they double the cost really bending the curve cost for a flyer, making the train more attractive BUT that’s means;
a) the ticket price for train stands still,
b) the California legislature would have to raise the state gasoline tax, and it would be huge,
c) its very regressive because it would hit everyone, not just commuters to LA SF etc. so they won’t do it,
d) that also means general funds will have to subsidize it adding another layer of very expensive, state unionized labor into the mix too.
This is nothing more than a bomb waiting to go off.