Ninja
Senior Member
After being the media love-child for much of 19-months, Barack Obama has seen what may be his biggest setback of the campaign so far. Media outlets this week are releasing new polling numbers showing Obamas campaign down between four and 10 points to Republican running mates John McCain and Sarah Palin.
Obama is widely known as the one that beat presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in a heated primary season that went down literally to the very last state. Since that time, Obama has worked to unify his party and ticket behind his message.
Getting Clinton supporters behind the band-wagon was a problem, however, doubly so in the sense that he never even vetted her as a possible running mate. Obama chose, instead, Democratic Senator Joe Biden from Delaware.
Still retaining the media attention and polling lead Obama was accustomed too, Obama strolled triumphantly onto the platform with Biden in tow to accept the Democrat nomination for President of the United States at the Democrat National Convention in Denver.
Things started to change, however, the day after the convention ended. Republican Presidential nominee John McCain announced his vice-presidential pick: Gov. Sarah Palin from Alaska. Media outlets, Democrats and Americans alike all were shocked with the news.
Since that time, the media frenzy for Obamas campaign has largely dissipated into nothingness. Instead they have purchased plenty of plane tickets to Alaska to find out what this lady from the far north is really like. If there is any dirt they could dig up, then all the better.
For the first few days, extremist left-leaning liberal bloggers showered the internet with tales and claims that no honest person would believe had they been said about their mother. But the attacks continued until, one-by-one, they were all proved false or shown to be not as bad as they were made out to be.
The Republicans then held a successful convention where more people watched three nights of conservative policies and speeches than any other previous convention in history, Democrat or Republican.
The number of viewers who tuned in to watch Palin and McCain deliver their advocations for change virtually tied the number who watched Obamas acceptance speech just a week earlier. Palins speech earned rave reviews, even if it was partially written by someone else, but especially because the teleprompter wasnt working right that night.
Less than a week later, the polls show McCain with a sizable lead. Media outlets have toned down their attacks on Palin and have grudgingly accepted her as at least somewhat genuine in thought, word and deed.
This poses a problem for the Obama campaign. They are in unfamiliar territory. They now know the anguish that Clintons campaign must have felt when Obama was taking away their coronation. Something must be done. Palin is not only more popular and perhaps political savvy than Biden, but comparisons with Obama are not as favorable to the Democrats as they would like.
Had they chosen Hillary to be the vice-presidential choice instead of Biden, things might be a little different, is a thought that many innately feel, but will never openly admit. 18-million voters looking for a hero and a good portion of them irate that Hillary wasnt even considered for the number 2 slot.
Unfortunately for the Obama campaign, poll numbers on various web-sites are showing a good chunk of those 18-million women voters, certainly not all, but a good portion nonetheless, changing sides to root for the McCain-Palin ticket. Some because Palin is a strong example of what many women want: success in both family and career. Others because they are flat out mad that Hillary wasnt the nominee or even vetted for the VP slot.
So, this all adds up to one thing. The playing field is more than likely only going to get more dicey before the race to the white house ends.
Just this week, it is reported that former U.S. Pres. Bill Clinton will have a private one-on-one chat with Obama on Sept. 11. What will this conversation entail? No one knows. Reporters will not be allowed to be there, but there is one possibility I think highly likely.
Bill will ask Obama to replace Biden with Hillary at the bottom of the ticket. If thats the case, the Democrat Party will more than likely find some excuse that will allow Biden to retire with dignity, such as for poor health or other medical reasons. Hillary will then come on stage and the crazy world of politics will prove once again that anything and everything can and will happen because it is all fair game.
Will this be the case? I dont know, but I have an idea its better than a 50/50 chance. If it does happen, how will public opinion accept the Democrat ticket? Will it nullify the Palin effect? Or will the gambit backfire? We wont know until and if it happens.
Duncan News
I'll laugh my fucking ass off if this comes to fruition - since some of you clowns gloated about the possibility of Gov. Palin being replaced as the smears against her and her family reached their shrill crescendo.