That is only if you assume the margin of error favors you in every state.
Tall order
True...but even the pollsters admit they have trouble polling Republicans.
Add a sprinkle of bias and a dash of incumbent advantage...
I think that is a myth
Republicans I see have no problem wearing MAGA hats, Trump/Pence bumper stickers and putting Trump flags on their lawns.
But somehow, they are shy about telling pollsters that they support Trump
Many Republicans do all of those things but many conservatives don't because they fear vandalism by the left. There really is a silent bloc of voters out there that aren't being heard from. If Trump is going to win again it will be them that carries him across the finish line.
I never talked to a pollster in 2016 and I lived in a battleground State and voted for Gary Johnson.
I never talked to a pollster in 2020 and I live in a battleground State and I'm voting for Donald Trump.
There are a lot of us out there. I never considered answering the phone for pollsters, not ever. I'm not shy, I just have no respect for the job they are doing
Makes one wonder how many hidden Biden supporters are out there then.
Based on the willingness of Biden supporters to scream it in our faces, zero.
Biden supporters love telling us they are voting against Trump.
In reality the question is how many will show up. Which doubles the split. How many unpolled Trump supporters will vote for Trump? How many Trump haters won't show up.
Both work for Trump and against Biden. Did you happen to follow the 2016 election at all?
Kaz...I live in Trump Territory...I see plenty of Trumpsters screaming it. I see it on the internet. I hear it on the radio. They aren't shy.
Trump supporters are more enthusiastic than Biden supporters. That's pretty well established.
2016 isn't comparable frankly...too many differences.
Clinton is not on the ticket.
Biden doesn't work well as a foil to gin jp partisan hate.
Trump has an established record now.
Trump is no longer the outsider.