Biden falls to within margin of error in most states...

kyzr

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That is only if you assume the margin of error favors you in every state.

Tall order
Also consider that Trump's numbers are rising while Biden's are falling.
Trump is working his ass off doing multiple rallies every day.
Don't forget how Hunter's laptop and proof of pay-to-play will hurt Biden going forward.
 

Ricky LIbtardo

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rightwinger

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That is only if you assume the margin of error favors you in every state.

Tall order
True...but even the pollsters admit they have trouble polling Republicans.

Add a sprinkle of bias and a dash of incumbent advantage...
I think that is a myth

Republicans I see have no problem wearing MAGA hats, Trump/Pence bumper stickers and putting Trump flags on their lawns.

But somehow, they are shy about telling pollsters that they support Trump
 

rightwinger

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That is only if you assume the margin of error favors you in every state.

Tall order
Also consider that Trump's numbers are rising while Biden's are falling.
Trump is working his ass off doing multiple rallies every day.
Don't forget how Hunter's laptop and proof of pay-to-play will hurt Biden going forward.
I see Biden at a steady 8 percent for months.
Hillary was below 5 percent at this time
 
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Missourian

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That is only if you assume the margin of error favors you in every state.

Tall order
Also consider that Trump's numbers are rising while Biden's are falling.
Trump is working his ass off doing multiple rallies every day.
Don't forget how Hunter's laptop and proof of pay-to-play will hurt Biden going forward.
Those are excellent points... momentum, trajectory and work ethic.
 

two_iron

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Missourian

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That is only if you assume the margin of error favors you in every state.

Tall order
True...but even the pollsters admit they have trouble polling Republicans.

Add a sprinkle of bias and a dash of incumbent advantage...
I think that is a myth

Republicans I see have no problem wearing MAGA hats, Trump/Pence bumper stickers and putting Trump flags on their lawns.

But somehow, they are shy about telling pollsters that they support Trump
Not so sure about that.

The Wife wouldn't let me put any political signs out this years. I'm gone 300 days a year and she was concerned.

That's never happened before.

Anecdotal...but close to home.

And this is semi-rural Missouri.
 

bendog

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Mac-7

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The margin of error in lib polls is not good enough since no one knows how many democrats will rise from the dead on election day and vote for biden
 

bendog

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That is only if you assume the margin of error favors you in every state.

Tall order
True...but even the pollsters admit they have trouble polling Republicans.

Add a sprinkle of bias and a dash of incumbent advantage...
I think that is a myth

Republicans I see have no problem wearing MAGA hats, Trump/Pence bumper stickers and putting Trump flags on their lawns.

But somehow, they are shy about telling pollsters that they support Trump
Not so sure about that.

The Wife wouldn't let me put any political signs out this years. I'm gone 300 days a year and she was concerned.

That's never happened before.

Anecdotal...but close to home.

And this is semi-rural Missouri.
I drove through southern central Missouri in Sept and didn't see any lack of Trump signs. LOL But there aren't many signs here. And I live in a mostly liberal neighborhood in a sea of red. A good smattereing of signs to support voting for a new flag without the confederate flag in it though. Generally the liberal signs get trashed by the trash.
 

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bendog

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That is only if you assume the margin of error favors you in every state.

Tall order
True...but even the pollsters admit they have trouble polling Republicans.

Add a sprinkle of bias and a dash of incumbent advantage...
I think that is a myth

Republicans I see have no problem wearing MAGA hats, Trump/Pence bumper stickers and putting Trump flags on their lawns.

But somehow, they are shy about telling pollsters that they support Trump
Oh, I suspect there's lots of "quiet" Trump support, but probably mostly in "anti-trump" areas. The worry would be about whether he's really tanked as much as people think in suburban areas.
 

TheGreatSatan

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Biden was hella dumb running for president and Democrats are hella dumb for nominating him. Now all their corruption is out on the table.

Why did the FBI sit on hunters laptop?

The fbi is a criminal organization and needs to be scrapped. Many of its agents need to be tried for treason and sedition.
 

kyzr

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That is only if you assume the margin of error favors you in every state.

Tall order
Also consider that Trump's numbers are rising while Biden's are falling.
Trump is working his ass off doing multiple rallies every day.
Don't forget how Hunter's laptop and proof of pay-to-play will hurt Biden going forward.
I see Biden at a steady 8 percent for months.
Hillary was below 5 percent at this time
OK, keep the faith, 2016 was a mirage, Trump can't beat the odds twice, never happen...Trump can't win...never...
 

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