Hobbit
Senior Member
jillian said:And generalizations are garbage when they're disproven, hence your hating anecdotal evidence.
See, here is where you accuse a 'trend' for a 'law.' Now, for a minute, I'm going to assume that you learned everything you know from a government school, in which case you might not know the difference. From this post on out, you will no longer have any excuse for failing to make this distinction.
First off, there is a scientific law, which you seem to think you are describing here. Laws are absolutes used to illustrate the inner workings of the very universe. If they are not always true, then the phenomenon that they describe must have another explanation. For an example, we have gravity. The law of gravity states that any two bodies of mass, if free to move, will accelerate towards each other at a rate directly proportional to the mass of the objects and inversely proportional to the distance between them. Gravity works on Earth as we're pretty big and the Earth's pretty close. If we ever find two bodies of mass that are free to move, but do not accelerate towards each other, the law will have been disproven. Since two bodies have been found to not accelerate towards each other, some other phenomenon must be causing all other bodies we have observed in the past to move in such a way and more investigations are needed.
Then, there's the trend, what we are describing. To show a trend, you first get an experimental sample size. In this case, it's gay couples. The sample must be very large and widespread to rule out local phenomenon (you can't take an election poll using only staff on the NYT, as the local phenomenon of rabid liberalism will skew the results). You then find how many in this sample follow the trend you are observing. Then comes the control group, a sample that doesn't exhibit the characteristics you are testing. In this case, it's straight couples. You the test the control group against the same criteria. If the experimental group differs from the control group more than 50% of the time, you have a trend (more than 95% and you have a scientific proof). Yes, there are some elements in the experimental group that do not differ from the control group, but as long as they are outnumbered by elements that do differ, the trend is still valid.
In order to disprove a trend, you cannot use small numbers of anecdotal evidence. My friend Amira turned out to be a well-reserved woman who has maintained her chastity thus far, despite her father leaving when she was young. There is still a trend among girls without fathers of promiscuity. The fact that she does not follow this trend only proves that she was too smart, determined, and self-confident to fall into the pits most of the other, similar girls do.
If you really want to disprove this trend, you must first take a sample of gay couples at least as big as those used in the statistics we quote (probably around 10,000) and find a credible way to gather the data we discussed. These couples must be chosen at random and from many different geographical and cultural backgrounds. If the majority of them do not exhibit the traits we have cited, then you have created evidence that there isn't actually a trend. With a sample size of what, two, and both from the same area and culture, you have disproven nothing but the idea that you know what a trend is.