The costs are high but Putin is not concerned. What he is doing makes no sense to the US or the rest world. Only days after the invasion, almost every major country in the world started putting sanctions on Russia. Yesterday we learned essentially every country in Europe has closed there air space to Russia. Airports all over the world have said they will not land Russian aircrafts. And that's just the begin. The UK is denying Russia access to key banks in London used in oil fund transfers from Russia. The US is putting a long list of sanctions on Russia and there may be more to come. His attack on Ukraine was manna from Heaven for NATO. It has consolidated views and opinions and has almost assured a military buildup in NATO. All this is over country on the Russia border that is no threat and has little to offers Russia and promises to be thorn in their side.
So why is Russia doing this? The thing is, we’re not talking about Russia. If you look at the opinion polls, Russians themselves have no enthusiasm for any kind of a war. However, Putin is a very popular charismatic leader and he has sold the invasion to the Russia people and Federal Assembly as a rescue mention to save Russians in Ukraine and stop the threat of an ever expanding NATO which will encircle and destroy Russia.
This invasion is about a small circle of people around Putin who dominate this country. If you look at them, they are essentially the last gasp of Soviet elites, the people who didn’t just have their early childhood education in the Soviet times, but also their early career experiences. They were made. They thought they knew the way their life was going to be. And then all of a sudden the whole thing collapsed.
These are people who genuinely believe the West is hostile, who genuinely believe that the West is denying Russia its proper place in the world, that it’s trying to hold Russia down and trying to undermine the regime. When we support, for example, anti-corruption activists like the
opposition leader Alexei Navalny, who Putin had poisoned and then put in prison, they don’t see that as US standing up for what we think of as natural human rights. They see that as a sign that the West is trying to use the situation to undermine the regime.
The actually endgame is to force the west into some kind of cold war where Russia can not be ignored as they have been in the G7, G20, kicked out of G8, ignored in Syria. Putin wants to sit at the head of the table. It is really horrible that many thousands will die because of these fools whose time has past. However Ukraine is not the end but rather the begining of Putin's campaign to bring back past glories.
According to Mark Galeotti, Putin wants to cement his place in history by restoring Russian control over its neighbor.
www.vox.com