about my attack on George Bush's policies relative to auto fuel efficiency and oil. Check out the comprehensive thread where Robert Kennedy, Jr. lays out the Bush environmental record. I don't see too many of you on that thread defending Bush's actions--because they are very hard to defend.
I bought a diesel car in expectation of tighter sulfur emissions that Clinton had put into place. The next week, Bush changed the rules so that the oil companies would have two additional years to reduce the sulfur. There's nothing gratuitous about attacking him for this. I'm just telling the truth. (I responded, by the way, by running my car on biodiesel, and I'm considering converting it to a "grease car" which will run on pure, free, non-petroleum-based used vegetable oil from McDonald's.)
As for people buying SUVs--I agree. Especially since they are less safe than cars. (My VW Jetta is almost twice as safe as a Ford Explorer--see Malcolm Gladwell's superb piece on why people think SUVs are safer in the New Yorker a couple of months ago.) But I don't want the air I breathe to depend on other people's choices about which car to drive. Heck, I can't get my own brother to stop driving an SUV. Hence I would like gov't action. And the loophole is so glaring that it's easy to hold Bush himself responsible for not closing it. As an oil man, he knows better than anyone.
When it comes to hybrids, I get a heavy heart each time I see a Toyata Prius. Why should that profit be going to Japan? In this century, to stave off environmental disaster, the world's cars are going to have to be made more efficient. If we were the leaders in this technology instead of the followers, we'd make a killing. Minimal gov't investment in energy technology (which Bush has cut and cut except for his questionably sensible hydrogen initiative) could put us at the forefront, just as gov't investment in NIH and other research institutions keeps us at the forefront of my field, medicine.
Regarding global warming, the models are now very sophisticated, and they take into account things like increased solar intensity. They all show a gradual warming of the earth beginning with the industrial revolution, and accelerating seriously. Why should this be any surprise? We have burned enough fossil fuel to increase the CO2 in the atmosphere by 30%. CO2 is known to trap heat (the "greenhouse" effect). I don't understand the people who dismiss this argument, and wonder whether they have looked at the actual research. Did you see the National Geographic piece a couple of months ago? It showed 16% of the world's coral reefs, the "rainforests of the ocean" where most diversity is found, have been heat-damaged, and the ocean temperatures are only a tad away from hot enough to kill off all the coral reefs. Besides, being wrong about global warming and investing money in getting off oil is far less costly than pretending it's not happening, and having to deal with massive economic change.
I have some faith in businesses to see the reality on this. A business council in CA recently estimated future losses related to warming in the billions. NH's ski industry stands to disappear when the snow goes, and it's going fast--Mount Kilimanjaro won't be snow capped any more in just 15 years. Glacier National Park will be glacier-free in a few decades--all of its glaciers are retreating fast. To skeptics I say, look at the evidence before you pooh-pooh it.
Also, Bush himself has dropped his usual codicil to the gov't scientific report on the subject. In other words, he's quietly accepting warming as real.
Mariner.