Why haven't you eaten that bullet yet?You show a chart of oxygen isotopes from one ice core in AA that doesn't show ANY "abrupt climate change."
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Why haven't you eaten that bullet yet?You show a chart of oxygen isotopes from one ice core in AA that doesn't show ANY "abrupt climate change."
The oceans absolutely drive regional and even abrupt climate shifts, but they don’t create or destroy net energy; they redistribute it. Orbital forcing is small in magnitude compared with today’s radiative imbalance, and it sets the slow, multi millennial pace of glacial cycles, not the warming we see now.No, I'm not conflating trigger and driver. You are refusing to accept the ocean is responsible for abrupt climate changes. You believe orbital forcing is... which I believe is dumb.
Climate variability isn't well understood. Clearly the system is capable of warming another 2C all on it's own. Just because they can't understand it doesn't mean they should ignore the empirical climate evidence of the geologic record. Rather they should be seeking to understand it so that they can then model anthropogenic changes more accurately.
The oceans absolutely drive regional and even abrupt climate shifts, but they don’t create or destroy net energy; they redistribute it. Orbital forcing is small in magnitude compared with today’s radiative imbalance, and it sets the slow, multi millennial pace of glacial cycles, not the warming we see now.
The geological record informs sensitivity and feedbacks, but it doesn’t explain the 20th-21st century trend. That spike is superimposed on natural variability and disappears if you remove anthropogenic CO2.
So ice core samples might only go back a few hundred years instead of a few hundred thousand years