All Battle Ground States within ONE POINT

[JoeB131]

So much for Trump's landslide victory.

exactly.

So let's look at where Real Clear Politics and 538 has them this morning.

PA +4.3 (RCP), + 4.9 (538) Biden
WI + 6.4 (RCP), + 8.7 (538) Biden
MI + 7.3 (RCP), + 8.7 (538) Biden

Biden wins these, it's over. Done.

Then you get into the Teir 2 States. Biden doesn't have to win these, but they'd help a lot.

FL +1.4 (RCP), +1.9 (538) Biden
NC + 2.1 (RCP), +2.6 (538) Biden
AZ +1 (RCP), +3.4 (538) Biden

Then you have the tier 3 states... These are ones that might go for Biden assuming the Youth/Minority vote is undercounted. They are close... way too close.

GA +0.8 (RCP) +1.6 (538) Biden
OH TIE (RCP), + 0.7 (538) Trump
IA +.06 (RCP), + 1.8 (538) Trump .
TX + 2.3 (RCP) + 1.0 (538) Trump.

Now, Trump has to win ALL of these. He could maybe lose one or two, but no more than that.

In 2016, the pollsters were wrong about MI, WI and PA going to Trump, but they were also wrong about Nevada going to Hillary.

Personally, I think the polls are overcounting Trump support, because they got it slightly wrong in 2016... I think it's going to be a complete blowout for Biden.

 

[Camp]

All Battle Ground States within ONE POINT with One week to go... They are now to close to call.

Stunning that Trump has made up 9 points in a week and he is campaigning like no one ever has after being ill with a COIVD infection. And to add insult to injury the Barrett nomination has given a boost to Republican Senate races across the board.

The race is on...

RealClearPolitics - 2020 - Latest Polls

Latest Polls

www.realclearpolitics.com

Wrong, fake news, misinformation when this thread was originally posted and wrong today. Biden supporters should be happy for Trumper's encouraging Biden supporters for going out and voting.

 

[Mac-7]

Um, no. All the other countries that did real lockdowns contained this thing early.

And are having a relapse now.

the only change is more poverty and squandered GDP

 

[JoeB131]

Wrong, fake news, misinformation when this thread was originally posted and wrong today. Biden supporters should be happy for Trumper's encouraging Biden supporters for going out and voting.

Good point. What doomed Hillary was complacency. Everyone figured she was going to win, so might as well stay home or feel extra special and vote for a third party candidate. (Yes, you guys who vote third party are special. Like Short Bus Special)

This time, everyone knows better.

 

[JoeB131]

And are having a relapse now.

the only change is more poverty and squandered GDP

Quite right. They are having a relaspe. Not as bad as ours, though, we are setting new records for new cases.

But don't worry, Eric Trump says it's no big deal.

 

[Mac-7]

Not as bad as ours, though, we are setting new records for new cases.

With a high survival rate that liberals never thought possible, people with a mild case of sniffles do not bother me

 

[Mac-7]

Quite right. They are having a relaspe. Not as bad as ours, though, we are setting new records for new cases.

consider this news:

As new lockdowns are ordered across Europe, Swedish COVID death rate has fallen sharply

"What we see right now is a rapid fall in the number of cases, and of course some kind of immunity has to be involved in that as nothing else has changed," says Sweden's coronavirus response czar, State Epidemiologist Anders Tegnell.

justthenews.com

 

[JoeB131]

With a high survival rate that liberals never thought possible, people with a mild case of sniffles do not bother me

230,000 Dead AMericans would disagree.

consider this news:

Whacko websites aren't the news.

 

[Mac-7]

230,000 Dead AMericans would disagree.

Thats not an accurate number

Besides, how many Americans die of all causes each year?

2,800,000

And adjusted for population growth I dont think it will be higher in 2020 than 2018

FastStats

FastStats is an official application from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s (CDC) National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) and puts access to topic-specific statistics at your fingertips.

www.cdc.gov

 

[JoeB131]

Thats not an accurate number

Besides, how many Americans die of all causes each year?

2,800,000

And adjusted for population growth I dont think it will be higher in 2020 than 2018

Actually, it will be... But go ahead and tell the loved ones of 230,000 dead people that Nana was gonna die anyway.

Oh, wait, you people already have. That's why you're losing.

 

[Mac-7]

But go ahead and tell the loved ones of 230,000 dead people that Nana was gonna die anyway.

If Nana was killed in a traffic accident on her motorcycle she did not die of the wuflu

 

[JoeB131]

If Nana was killed in a traffic accident on her motorcycle she did not die of the wuflu

I agree. 230,000 died of Coronavirus... that's the thing.

 

[Mac-7]

If Nana was killed in a traffic accident on her motorcycle she did not die of the wuflu

I agree. 230,000 died of Coronavirus... that's the thing.

listing Nana as a wuflu victim distorts the numbers

 

[JoeB131]

listing Nana as a wuflu victim distorts the numbers

Well, since that isn't being done, we have nothing to worry about.

I'm really not sure why you think this makes Trump look better... but then again, it's hard to make him look worse.

 

[candycorn]

All Battle Ground States within ONE POINT with One week to go... They are now to close to call.

Stunning that Trump has made up 9 points in a week and he is campaigning like no one ever has after being ill with a COIVD infection. And to add insult to injury the Barrett nomination has given a boost to Republican Senate races across the board.

The race is on...

RealClearPolitics - 2020 - Latest Polls

Latest Polls

www.realclearpolitics.com

Pretty accurate....

 

[Mac-7]

All Battle Ground States within ONE POINT with One week to go... They are now to close to call.

Stunning that Trump has made up 9 points in a week and he is campaigning like no one ever has after being ill with a COIVD infection. And to add insult to injury the Barrett nomination has given a boost to Republican Senate races across the board.

The race is on...

RealClearPolitics - 2020 - Latest Polls

Latest Polls

www.realclearpolitics.com

It may be stunning but not surprising. When Trump holds massive rallies while Biden can't find the epson salts in his bunker, Trump's numbers will rise.
Hillary fan's feel she screwed up by ignoring the crucial swing states. Biden is doing worse than her. So there you go.

The simplest explanation is usually the best

the lib pollsters are either liars or they are incompetent

 

[Mac-7]

Well, since that isn't being done, we have nothing to worry about.

Its being done all the time

its a method for hospitals to get more money and to make trump look bad

 

[JoeB131]

Its being done all the time

its a method for hospitals to get more money and to make trump look bad

The only thing making Trump look bad... is Trump.

 

[Mac-7]

The only thing making Trump look bad... is Trump.

Thats your spin

I see it differently

 

[JoeB131]

Thats your spin

I see it differently

I know... the problem is you come off like a Branch Davidian the day that Koresh started handing out the cans of gasoline...