Wow... the crickets are deafening.
Hey there pumpkin, let's understand something early on in our blossoming relationship: I don't spend every waking moment of every day on here like you do. If I don't respond right away, rest assured it's because I've forgotten about your dime-a-dozen fossil fuel views, and not visited the site in a while. I've been busy with real world stuff, like making sure Cape Wind passed, thanks.
In short, I don't duck pablum like yours. If I see, I'm happy to hammer it.
I love it. We who deny the leftist lies are the flat earthers.
No, you're flat earthers because you talk like flat earthers. There's really no agenda behind the acknowledgement whatsoever... Further, I'm not a "leftist," and I'm not sure of what lies you're even referring to.
What does this even mean, exactly? "Conserved it's way out of an energy source?" Proofread your work before hitting "submit."
If you mean an "energy crisis," quantify your claim. What past energy crisis? This is an unprecedented situation that you can not compare anything to from the past, making your assertion an unfalsifiable claim. Do better. Hollow cliche might work for you with other posters, but not here.
The only way? Based on what? Your opinion? LOL. ... Regardless, dieoff is inevitable, whether conjured by man or forced by mother nature... Learn about the exponential function and tell me how a planet of 7+ billion people is sustainable. .... Regardless, who's arguing that demand destruction isn't already well under way? Certainly not me, so it appears you're arguing with your own straw man again. How do you think the summer 2008 oil price spikes were halted and reversed? Demand destruction.... by way of global recession/depression. Energy dictates to the markets, not the other way around.
I do? Where? At what point did I insist anything would "shoulder any load?"
You seem to have a real problem understanding my position on this matter, entirely. I'll be less subtle, so you can hopefully stop assigning straw man arguments I've never uttered. Ready?
As "Industrial Man," we're largely fucked. That's the whole point. There is no substitute for the versatility that oil provides -- rubber, plastics, pesticides, fertilizers, computer chips, medicines, refrigeration, etc. ... What only matters is mitigating this predicament so as to avoid full-blown resource war. Life is going to change very rapidly over the next 15-20 years, and no amount of shale or tar sands is going to change that. People better learn to conserve, and get very local in the process. ... This isn't a choice, it's mother nature talking. ...
Your shale/sands pipedream will never become economically viable on a mass commercial scale in time to stave off the major energy shock that is already started, and due for full-on 10 million bpd shortball by 2015. .... Sorry, it just won't.
Do you have any idea what a 10 million barrel per day shortfall will mean for the global economy, as predicted by the IEA, EIA, DoE and Joint Chiefs? ... Let's just say, no one will have the money to invest in the next 1-yard gain by oil shale here on 4th-and-25.
See above, smarmy one. And do let me know where I EVER ONCE suggested there were "solutions" to this situation. Only mitigation.
You'll "help me out?" Dude, I'm dumber for having to absorb your naive, long-debunked pablum regarding heavy oils.
My God. It's like you can't read. Where did I say "we've got no more oil?" This is about the end of cheap energy, and cost and EROEI. If you miraculously find a trillion barrels 100 miles under the Earth, who's going to invest the capital and develop the technology in time to get it to the surface before shortfall, which is here now? It takes 7-10 years to find the stuff and get it into your gas tank, and that's just the easy stuff on dry land in stable regions.
We're an empire built on an EROEI of 100:1 to 20:1 until we peaked in 1971. Now global production is yielding closer to 4:1 on investment,and getting worse. Energy IS the economy. Is has allowed us to be where we are. Empire.
Do you see how energy depletion up against population explosion can't sustain an economic paradigm utterly dependent on "infinite growth?" It's fairly basic stuff here. This is about economics, not running dry at the pump overnight.
Again... learn about the exponential function by a physics professor.
[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CFyOw9IgtjY&feature=PlayList&p=5A77AC29E2E95E23&index=2&playnext=3&playnext_from=PL]YouTube - The Most IMPORTANT Video You'll Ever See (part 3 of 8)[/ame]
Once again, there are no "solutions" that will allow us to maintain the lifestyles we now enjoy. No where did I suggest renewables could "replace" anything. But the more renewable infrastructure that is in place for when collapse hits, the better off we'll be as individual communities. I'm not coming at this from a position of sustaining our gluttony. That is impossible. You seem to believe that digging deeper for more disgusting fossil fuels is the "solution." I'm saying there are no solutions. ... The mantra by the Michael Ruppert's of the world is "evolve or perish; grow up or die." ...It's a fitting one when faced with people, like you, who insist we can just burn our way out of this problem.
3. (transportation) How do you conquer the portable fuel problems for transportation? Electricity works for trains and light cars, but it cannot work at current technological levels for heavy transport for road freight which is a key lynchpin to global society. How will you power aircraft when Hydrogen requires petroleum and you can't use electricity?
I don't propose any of it. Breakdown in commercial food distribution will be the biggest contributor to dieoff. The age of the 10,000 mile Caesar salad will be over. .... Communities will have to get very local, or cease to exist.... One last time... there is no "conquering" this situation. .... Maybe if we started to get serious about this 30 years ago when warned, but it's largely too late after decades of corporate presidents.
Just see if you can get through these logic problems first.
Logic problems. Now there's some irony, from a poster who honestly believes we've made any substantial progress in bitumen and kerogen-based heavy oil extraction and refinement. Good one.
In conclusion: demand is already outstripping supply, has since 2005, and nothing -- NOTHING -- is remotely ready to make up for that shortfall. The IEA expects a 10 million barrel per day shortfall by 2015, which be disastrous on a Biblical scale. Prices will spike, the global economy will crash (starting to already), and resource war will become likely.
I've accepted it, mainly because all the signs predicted to occur by now 7-10 years ago have all come true. May as well build some damn turbines. Grab a hammer.
But you're free to link to all the optimistic sites you can find insisting great, 1-yard advances in shale by strip mining and burning the Rocky Mountains. Surely dirtier, far more expensive fossil fuels will somehow save everything we hold sacred -- from the internet to our yachts to our guns to our humvees.