Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him

[Denizen]

The portents of doom are aligning against Donald Trump as his chaotic outbursts and twitterings are not being well received even by GOP voters.

Voters are now seeing that Trump is an agent of disunity, discord, and chaos not an agent of change.

Donald Trump has no successes to report as his tax cuts enriched Donald Trump's favorite charity, Donald Trump and its associates, the hugely wealthy friends of Donald Trump.

Polls show "the president’s net approval ratios being underwater (i.e., negative) in 10 states he carried in 2016: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin."

Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him

Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him
By Ed Kilgore
A dream scenario for Democrats in 2020. Photo: 270towin.com
There has been a lot of discussion in political circles about Donald Trump’s job-approval ratings, what they portend, and Trump’s Electoral College strategy for 2020, which doesn’t necessarily require a popular-vote plurality. But in the end, of course, the conjunction of the Electoral College with Trump’s state-by-state popularity is where the deal will go down.
The online polling firm Civiqs has published a new set of state-by-state job-approval ratings for Trump as of August 11, and it shows how the president’s overall standing (a 43 percent approval rating nationally, which happens to match the current RealClearPolitics polling average) might translate into electorate votes. It’s not a pretty picture for the president, to put it mildly.
Civiqs shows the president’s net approval ratios being underwater (i.e., negative) in 10 states he carried in 2016: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. If that were to represent how the 2020 elections turn out, Trump would have a booming 119 electoral votes. And it’s not as though he’s on a knife’s edge between victory and defeat in all these Trump 2016 states where he’s doing poorly: He’s underwater by 12 points in Pennsylvania, 11 in Michigan, and nine in Arizona, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. And there’s virtually no indication that states that narrowly went for Clinton in 2016 are trending in Trump’s direction: His approval ratios are minus 18 in Colorado, minus 15 in Minnesota, minus 12 in Nevada, and minus 27 in New Hampshire. These are, by the way, polls of registered voters, not just “adults,” so they should be a relatively sound reflection of the views of the electorate.
In case you just don’t trust this particular pollster, the other publicly available survey of state-by-state presidential job approval is from Morning Consult, and its latest numbers (as of July) are pretty similar. They show Georgia and Texas as positive for Trump, and North Carolina as very close. But all the other “battleground states” are quite the reach for the incumbent.
If you credit these polls at all, Trump’s reelection will require (1) a big late improvement in his approval ratings, which is possible but unlikely based on long-standing patterns during his polarizing presidency; (2) a campaign that succeeds in making the election turn on theoretical fears about his opponent rather than actual fears about a second Trump term, which won’t be easy either; (3) a big Republican turnout advantage, which is less likely among the larger presidential electorate than it was in 2018; or (4) some diabolical ability to thread the needle despite every contrary indicator, which superstitious Democrats fear for obvious reasons.
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If the fourth scenario — a win against all the evidence — is Trump’s best hope for reelection, he’s the one who needs to experience some fear and trembling heading toward 2020. If anything, there’s evidence that he is likely to undershoot rather than overshoot his approval ratings as the sitting president of a country whose direction lacks any kind of public confidence. Beyond that, even those who succeed by selling their souls to the devil don’t have the collateral to pull that off twice.

 

[Tijn Von Ingersleben]

That's what I'm saying. The Dems must be intentionally throwing this race.
I mean, if the economy dips even close to a recession Trump is done. I don't care if they roll a house cat out in a suit he is done.
It will be mittens, POTUS.

 

[Ricky LIbtardo]

Online polling. LMAO

It's the same wet dream the Democrats had just prior to Hillaryous railing;

"Why aren't I 50 points ahead you might ask"

 

[deanrd]

I don’t know how well trumps supporters are going to do trashing Joe Biden.

Trump supporters say oh look it’s a creepy old man because he put his hands on some girls shoulder. There’s even plenty of pictures of him doing the forehead thing with men and putting his hands on other men. He’s a handy guy.

And yet they’re fine with Donald Trump boasting about committing sexual assault.

Are they mad because Joe Biden put his hands on somebody or are they mad because he didn’t commit sexual assault the way Donald Trump has?

 

[SassyIrishLass]

Lol Civiqs was founded by the Daily Kook

 

[TNHarley]

I don’t know how well trumps supporters are going to do trashing Joe Biden.

Trump supporters say oh look it’s a creepy old man because he put his hands on some girls shoulder. There’s even plenty of pictures of him doing the forehead thing with men and putting his hands on other men. He’s a handy guy.

And yet they’re fine with Donald Trump boasting about committing sexual assault.

Are they mad because Joe Biden put his hands on somebody or are they mad because he didn’t commit sexual assault the way Donald Trump has?

Biden is a pervert and a racist. But he rails against it. A typical democrat.
He has a good shot at the nom.

 

[mdk]

Since we are citing and consulting nonsense, what are the tea leaves predicting about 2020?

 

[justoffal]

I don’t know how well trumps supporters are going to do trashing Joe Biden.

Trump supporters say oh look it’s a creepy old man because he put his hands on some girls shoulder. There’s even plenty of pictures of him doing the forehead thing with men and putting his hands on other men. He’s a handy guy.

And yet they’re fine with Donald Trump boasting about committing sexual assault.

Are they mad because Joe Biden put his hands on somebody or are they mad because he didn’t commit sexual assault the way Donald Trump has?

I don't see too many Trump supporters picking on Biden for that reason. It won't be the Trump supporters that will undo Biden it will be his own party.

Is fatal statement I believe was the one about poor kids versus white kids.

There's just no coming back from that.

Jo

 

[Billy_Bob]

The portents of doom are aligning against Donald Trump as his chaotic outbursts and twitterings are not being well received even by GOP voters.

Voters are now seeing that Trump is an agent of disunity, discord, and chaos not an agent of change.

Donald Trump has no successes to report as his tax cuts enriched Donald Trump's favorite charity, Donald Trump and its associates, the hugely wealthy friends of Donald Trump.

Polls show "the president’s net approval ratios being underwater (i.e., negative) in 10 states he carried in 2016: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin."

Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him

Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him
By Ed Kilgore
A dream scenario for Democrats in 2020. Photo: 270towin.com
There has been a lot of discussion in political circles about Donald Trump’s job-approval ratings, what they portend, and Trump’s Electoral College strategy for 2020, which doesn’t necessarily require a popular-vote plurality. But in the end, of course, the conjunction of the Electoral College with Trump’s state-by-state popularity is where the deal will go down.
The online polling firm Civiqs has published a new set of state-by-state job-approval ratings for Trump as of August 11, and it shows how the president’s overall standing (a 43 percent approval rating nationally, which happens to match the current RealClearPolitics polling average) might translate into electorate votes. It’s not a pretty picture for the president, to put it mildly.
Civiqs shows the president’s net approval ratios being underwater (i.e., negative) in 10 states he carried in 2016: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. If that were to represent how the 2020 elections turn out, Trump would have a booming 119 electoral votes. And it’s not as though he’s on a knife’s edge between victory and defeat in all these Trump 2016 states where he’s doing poorly: He’s underwater by 12 points in Pennsylvania, 11 in Michigan, and nine in Arizona, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. And there’s virtually no indication that states that narrowly went for Clinton in 2016 are trending in Trump’s direction: His approval ratios are minus 18 in Colorado, minus 15 in Minnesota, minus 12 in Nevada, and minus 27 in New Hampshire. These are, by the way, polls of registered voters, not just “adults,” so they should be a relatively sound reflection of the views of the electorate.
In case you just don’t trust this particular pollster, the other publicly available survey of state-by-state presidential job approval is from Morning Consult, and its latest numbers (as of July) are pretty similar. They show Georgia and Texas as positive for Trump, and North Carolina as very close. But all the other “battleground states” are quite the reach for the incumbent.
If you credit these polls at all, Trump’s reelection will require (1) a big late improvement in his approval ratings, which is possible but unlikely based on long-standing patterns during his polarizing presidency; (2) a campaign that succeeds in making the election turn on theoretical fears about his opponent rather than actual fears about a second Trump term, which won’t be easy either; (3) a big Republican turnout advantage, which is less likely among the larger presidential electorate than it was in 2018; or (4) some diabolical ability to thread the needle despite every contrary indicator, which superstitious Democrats fear for obvious reasons.
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If the fourth scenario — a win against all the evidence — is Trump’s best hope for reelection, he’s the one who needs to experience some fear and trembling heading toward 2020. If anything, there’s evidence that he is likely to undershoot rather than overshoot his approval ratings as the sitting president of a country whose direction lacks any kind of public confidence. Beyond that, even those who succeed by selling their souls to the devil don’t have the collateral to pull that off twice.

BWhaaaaaaaaaaaa

ON LINE POLLING hosted on a FAR LEFT WING SITE.... This is TOTAL BULL SHIT.....

 

[Billy_Bob]

Lol Civiqs was founded by the Daily Kook

Yep...

Far left kook site polling far left kooks....

And they got a far left kook answer... Funnier still is 48% of those far left kooks like Trump...Me thinks this is really bad news for dims.... If half of their base is for Trump it can't be good for dims...

ETA: IF these idiots think about what it is they posted they would pull it down fast. They polled their own and it shows over half of their base would not vote for Joe or any other democrat. This really backfired on them. Their own polling shows how fragmented their own party is..

 

[Billy_Bob]

Let me reiterate.... These people did an online poll of their readership. This means they were polling their own far left.. This poll shows some stunning information that should make them shudder...

IF these idiots think about what it is they posted they would pull it down fast. They polled their own and it shows over half of their base would not vote for Joe or any other democrat. This really backfired on them. Their own polling shows how fragmented their own party is..

 

[BasicHumanUnit]

This thread and it's propaganda compliments of The George Soros Foundation and it's mindful puppets, who bear sole responsibility for it's content, and deceit.

Sponsored by.....
"Progressive Agendas For America.....Because Liberty is an Annoyance no Regime should have to contend with"

 

[DGS49]

Here's the Lesson of 2016: The Republican candidate doesn't have to be "great." He doesn't have to be "likable." He doesn't have to have great policies, credentials, inspire public trust, or be a great orator. Donald Trump had none of this.

He just has to be better than the alternative.

And that's how and why Donald Trump won in 2016, despite having a MOUNTAIN of nearly-determinative disadvantages. He was the better of the two candidates.

So any polling or studies like this that DON'T take into consideration the HORRIBLE clown car that constitutes the Democrat candidate list is simply meaningless. Even the couple of them who are not total buffoons, when their "platform" is put on the stage, will be doomed. They will win in NYC, in San Francisco, in Chicago, California, and so on, but in the Real World they will be slain.

 

[justoffal]

The portents of doom are aligning against Donald Trump as his chaotic outbursts and twitterings are not being well received even by GOP voters.

Voters are now seeing that Trump is an agent of disunity, discord, and chaos not an agent of change.

Donald Trump has no successes to report as his tax cuts enriched Donald Trump's favorite charity, Donald Trump and its associates, the hugely wealthy friends of Donald Trump.

Polls show "the president’s net approval ratios being underwater (i.e., negative) in 10 states he carried in 2016: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin."

Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him

Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him
By Ed Kilgore
A dream scenario for Democrats in 2020. Photo: 270towin.com
There has been a lot of discussion in political circles about Donald Trump’s job-approval ratings, what they portend, and Trump’s Electoral College strategy for 2020, which doesn’t necessarily require a popular-vote plurality. But in the end, of course, the conjunction of the Electoral College with Trump’s state-by-state popularity is where the deal will go down.
The online polling firm Civiqs has published a new set of state-by-state job-approval ratings for Trump as of August 11, and it shows how the president’s overall standing (a 43 percent approval rating nationally, which happens to match the current RealClearPolitics polling average) might translate into electorate votes. It’s not a pretty picture for the president, to put it mildly.
Civiqs shows the president’s net approval ratios being underwater (i.e., negative) in 10 states he carried in 2016: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. If that were to represent how the 2020 elections turn out, Trump would have a booming 119 electoral votes. And it’s not as though he’s on a knife’s edge between victory and defeat in all these Trump 2016 states where he’s doing poorly: He’s underwater by 12 points in Pennsylvania, 11 in Michigan, and nine in Arizona, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. And there’s virtually no indication that states that narrowly went for Clinton in 2016 are trending in Trump’s direction: His approval ratios are minus 18 in Colorado, minus 15 in Minnesota, minus 12 in Nevada, and minus 27 in New Hampshire. These are, by the way, polls of registered voters, not just “adults,” so they should be a relatively sound reflection of the views of the electorate.
In case you just don’t trust this particular pollster, the other publicly available survey of state-by-state presidential job approval is from Morning Consult, and its latest numbers (as of July) are pretty similar. They show Georgia and Texas as positive for Trump, and North Carolina as very close. But all the other “battleground states” are quite the reach for the incumbent.
If you credit these polls at all, Trump’s reelection will require (1) a big late improvement in his approval ratings, which is possible but unlikely based on long-standing patterns during his polarizing presidency; (2) a campaign that succeeds in making the election turn on theoretical fears about his opponent rather than actual fears about a second Trump term, which won’t be easy either; (3) a big Republican turnout advantage, which is less likely among the larger presidential electorate than it was in 2018; or (4) some diabolical ability to thread the needle despite every contrary indicator, which superstitious Democrats fear for obvious reasons.
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If the fourth scenario — a win against all the evidence — is Trump’s best hope for reelection, he’s the one who needs to experience some fear and trembling heading toward 2020. If anything, there’s evidence that he is likely to undershoot rather than overshoot his approval ratings as the sitting president of a country whose direction lacks any kind of public confidence. Beyond that, even those who succeed by selling their souls to the devil don’t have the collateral to pull that off twice.

BWhaaaaaaaaaaaa

ON LINE POLLING hosted on a FAR LEFT WING SITE.... This is TOTAL BULL SHIT.....

Yeah I know right?

Here's what the questions probably looked like.

1.) On a scale of 1 through 10 with 1 being at least and 10 being the most would you say you hate Trump or would you say you simply despise him?

2.) Since we already know that Trump is a Russian agent should he be impeached now or later?

3.) Due to his white supremacist identity Donald Trump has a difficult time making unbiased decisions as the President of the United States. Should we re-elect a racist?


And so on so forth.

Jo

 

[justoffal]

Let me reiterate.... These people did an online poll of their readership. This means they were polling their own far left.. This poll shows some stunning information that should make them shudder...

IF these idiots think about what it is they posted they would pull it down fast. They polled their own and it shows over half of their base would not vote for Joe or any other democrat. This really backfired on them. Their own polling shows how fragmented their own party is..

I have a feeling this is going to be a complete slaughter.

Jo

 

[Billy_Bob]

Let me reiterate.... These people did an online poll of their readership. This means they were polling their own far left.. This poll shows some stunning information that should make them shudder...

IF these idiots think about what it is they posted they would pull it down fast. They polled their own and it shows over half of their base would not vote for Joe or any other democrat. This really backfired on them. Their own polling shows how fragmented their own party is..

I have a feeling this is going to be a complete slaughter.

Jo

I was just looking at their generic ballot for the house of reps and if this poll was any indication of the outcome they would lose 47 seats. According to their own polling the house and senate would again be Republican held.

 

[Dana7360]

The portents of doom are aligning against Donald Trump as his chaotic outbursts and twitterings are not being well received even by GOP voters.

Voters are now seeing that Trump is an agent of disunity, discord, and chaos not an agent of change.

Donald Trump has no successes to report as his tax cuts enriched Donald Trump's favorite charity, Donald Trump and its associates, the hugely wealthy friends of Donald Trump.

Polls show "the president’s net approval ratios being underwater (i.e., negative) in 10 states he carried in 2016: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin."

Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him

Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him
By Ed Kilgore
A dream scenario for Democrats in 2020. Photo: 270towin.com
There has been a lot of discussion in political circles about Donald Trump’s job-approval ratings, what they portend, and Trump’s Electoral College strategy for 2020, which doesn’t necessarily require a popular-vote plurality. But in the end, of course, the conjunction of the Electoral College with Trump’s state-by-state popularity is where the deal will go down.
The online polling firm Civiqs has published a new set of state-by-state job-approval ratings for Trump as of August 11, and it shows how the president’s overall standing (a 43 percent approval rating nationally, which happens to match the current RealClearPolitics polling average) might translate into electorate votes. It’s not a pretty picture for the president, to put it mildly.
Civiqs shows the president’s net approval ratios being underwater (i.e., negative) in 10 states he carried in 2016: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. If that were to represent how the 2020 elections turn out, Trump would have a booming 119 electoral votes. And it’s not as though he’s on a knife’s edge between victory and defeat in all these Trump 2016 states where he’s doing poorly: He’s underwater by 12 points in Pennsylvania, 11 in Michigan, and nine in Arizona, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. And there’s virtually no indication that states that narrowly went for Clinton in 2016 are trending in Trump’s direction: His approval ratios are minus 18 in Colorado, minus 15 in Minnesota, minus 12 in Nevada, and minus 27 in New Hampshire. These are, by the way, polls of registered voters, not just “adults,” so they should be a relatively sound reflection of the views of the electorate.
In case you just don’t trust this particular pollster, the other publicly available survey of state-by-state presidential job approval is from Morning Consult, and its latest numbers (as of July) are pretty similar. They show Georgia and Texas as positive for Trump, and North Carolina as very close. But all the other “battleground states” are quite the reach for the incumbent.
If you credit these polls at all, Trump’s reelection will require (1) a big late improvement in his approval ratings, which is possible but unlikely based on long-standing patterns during his polarizing presidency; (2) a campaign that succeeds in making the election turn on theoretical fears about his opponent rather than actual fears about a second Trump term, which won’t be easy either; (3) a big Republican turnout advantage, which is less likely among the larger presidential electorate than it was in 2018; or (4) some diabolical ability to thread the needle despite every contrary indicator, which superstitious Democrats fear for obvious reasons.
Get unlimited access to Intelligencer and everything else New York.
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If the fourth scenario — a win against all the evidence — is Trump’s best hope for reelection, he’s the one who needs to experience some fear and trembling heading toward 2020. If anything, there’s evidence that he is likely to undershoot rather than overshoot his approval ratings as the sitting president of a country whose direction lacks any kind of public confidence. Beyond that, even those who succeed by selling their souls to the devil don’t have the collateral to pull that off twice.

I don't know about you but I will never, ever underestimate the republican's ability to lie, cheat and steal an election. I will not underestimate russia's influence on the election either.

The 2020 election is over a year away.

Things can change very quickly. No one knows what will be happening a year from now.

What people need to do is vote. Get your friends to vote. Help people vote. Help people register to vote. Hold a voting party. Give people a ride to their voting place.

Get your friends to do the same thing.

The 2020 election is a very important election.

 

[whitehall]

Ultra left wing "Daily Kos" launches a startup polling company they call "civiqs" and lefties immediately flock to it like flies on a pile of shit. No surprises here.

 

[Denizen]

The portents of doom are aligning against Donald Trump as his chaotic outbursts and twitterings are not being well received even by GOP voters.

Voters are now seeing that Trump is an agent of disunity, discord, and chaos not an agent of change.

Donald Trump has no successes to report as his tax cuts enriched Donald Trump's favorite charity, Donald Trump and its associates, the hugely wealthy friends of Donald Trump.

Polls show "the president’s net approval ratios being underwater (i.e., negative) in 10 states he carried in 2016: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin."

Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him

Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him
By Ed Kilgore
A dream scenario for Democrats in 2020. Photo: 270towin.com
There has been a lot of discussion in political circles about Donald Trump’s job-approval ratings, what they portend, and Trump’s Electoral College strategy for 2020, which doesn’t necessarily require a popular-vote plurality. But in the end, of course, the conjunction of the Electoral College with Trump’s state-by-state popularity is where the deal will go down.
The online polling firm Civiqs has published a new set of state-by-state job-approval ratings for Trump as of August 11, and it shows how the president’s overall standing (a 43 percent approval rating nationally, which happens to match the current RealClearPolitics polling average) might translate into electorate votes. It’s not a pretty picture for the president, to put it mildly.
Civiqs shows the president’s net approval ratios being underwater (i.e., negative) in 10 states he carried in 2016: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. If that were to represent how the 2020 elections turn out, Trump would have a booming 119 electoral votes. And it’s not as though he’s on a knife’s edge between victory and defeat in all these Trump 2016 states where he’s doing poorly: He’s underwater by 12 points in Pennsylvania, 11 in Michigan, and nine in Arizona, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. And there’s virtually no indication that states that narrowly went for Clinton in 2016 are trending in Trump’s direction: His approval ratios are minus 18 in Colorado, minus 15 in Minnesota, minus 12 in Nevada, and minus 27 in New Hampshire. These are, by the way, polls of registered voters, not just “adults,” so they should be a relatively sound reflection of the views of the electorate.
In case you just don’t trust this particular pollster, the other publicly available survey of state-by-state presidential job approval is from Morning Consult, and its latest numbers (as of July) are pretty similar. They show Georgia and Texas as positive for Trump, and North Carolina as very close. But all the other “battleground states” are quite the reach for the incumbent.
If you credit these polls at all, Trump’s reelection will require (1) a big late improvement in his approval ratings, which is possible but unlikely based on long-standing patterns during his polarizing presidency; (2) a campaign that succeeds in making the election turn on theoretical fears about his opponent rather than actual fears about a second Trump term, which won’t be easy either; (3) a big Republican turnout advantage, which is less likely among the larger presidential electorate than it was in 2018; or (4) some diabolical ability to thread the needle despite every contrary indicator, which superstitious Democrats fear for obvious reasons.
Get unlimited access to Intelligencer and everything else New York.
LEARN MORE »
If the fourth scenario — a win against all the evidence — is Trump’s best hope for reelection, he’s the one who needs to experience some fear and trembling heading toward 2020. If anything, there’s evidence that he is likely to undershoot rather than overshoot his approval ratings as the sitting president of a country whose direction lacks any kind of public confidence. Beyond that, even those who succeed by selling their souls to the devil don’t have the collateral to pull that off twice.

BWhaaaaaaaaaaaa

ON LINE POLLING hosted on a FAR LEFT WING SITE.... This is TOTAL BULL SHIT.....

Keep it under your MAGA hat. It's the right bait to hook Billy Bob and its ilk between Trump rallies where turbocharged Trump bullshit excites the masses.

 

[Correll]

I don’t know how well trumps supporters are going to do trashing Joe Biden.

Trump supporters say oh look it’s a creepy old man because he put his hands on some girls shoulder. There’s even plenty of pictures of him doing the forehead thing with men and putting his hands on other men. He’s a handy guy.

And yet they’re fine with Donald Trump boasting about committing sexual assault.

Are they mad because Joe Biden put his hands on somebody or are they mad because he didn’t commit sexual assault the way Donald Trump has?

Except that what you claim is a lie.