I scan over the RCP polls almost every day. And they do reflect current trends, but the RCP average has been several points off the final vote in the last several elections. And that is because they report the polls as published by the various organizations and make no effort to analyze them via demographics or any other manner of scientifically weighting the polls.
They were 3/10ths of a point off the 2008 election result.
You people need to man up and accept the reality. Romney is behind, period. He is not magically leading in defiance of dozens of polls.
He now needs not just to run the table on undecideds, he needs takeaways from Obama voters.
Do you have a link for that? They average all the polling results for all the polling organizations. I don't know how their averages came out, but RCP ranks the pollsters in the 2008 campaign like this:
2008 Intrade Vs. Actual Election Results