Surprise! Oversampling Dems Puts Obama in Lead

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by bripat9643, Sep 15, 2012.

  1. bripat9643
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    bripat9643 Diamond Member

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    Obama's convention bounce seems to have evaporated. Rasmussen today has Romney up 3 points. Today's Gallup tracking poll had Obama up 5, a loss of 2 points over two days. Gallup uses a 7 day rolling average, so expect this number to continue to come down over the next several days. Undaunted, the media are trumpeting new polls with show Obama with 3 point lead nationally and significant leads in the battleground states of Florida, Ohio and Virginia. As is becoming routine, these new polls again oversample Democrats.

    I realize oversampling Democrats is simply part of an effort to create an air of inevitability for Obama's reelection. Its a narrative the media is desperate to foster.

    Surprise! Oversampling Dems Puts Obama in Lead
     
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  2. JoeB131
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    JoeB131 Diamond Member

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    He's down to two in Rasmussen.. every other pollster has an Obama lead...

    Even Republicans are starting to panic... They know they picked an awful candidate.
     
  3. meson
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    meson Active Member

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    Freepers/Breitbart ....... BWAHAHAHAHAHA!
     
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  4. C_Clayton_Jones
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    C_Clayton_Jones Diamond Member

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    Romney will need a significant number of democrats to abandon the president and vote for him if the governor has any chance of winning.

    If this ‘oversampling’ is any indication, that’s not happening.
     
  5. 8537
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    8537 Senior Member

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    How'd you arrive at the conclusion that Dems were over-sampled?
     
  6. ba1614
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    ba1614 Silver Member

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    I don't think the polls matter, it's going to come down to who is energized most to get to the polls, and I believe that people are more energized to get rid of this failure than his supporters are to keep him.
     
  7. JoeB131
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    JoeB131 Diamond Member

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    And I know that's what you really need to believe... but not really.

    In fact, Obama will probably win for the following reason.

    Because the people who voted for him last time won't admit they made a mistake. They have emotional investment in him.

    On the other hand, the people who voted for McCain have no emotional investment in Romney.
     
  8. LadyGunSlinger
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    LadyGunSlinger Conservative Babe Supporting Member

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    They were discussing this on Fox today.. They said wait for two wks out from the election as that's when these lying pollsters will make it real worried about their reputations at that point.
     
  9. LadyGunSlinger
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    LadyGunSlinger Conservative Babe Supporting Member

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    BTW- Majority of polls over sample democrats from between 6 - 13% they stated. ALWAYS over sampled.
     
  10. P@triot
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    P@triot Gold Member

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    The funny part is, the have no idea how much damage they are doing to Obama by claiming a huge victory for him every day.

    All that is doing is making what little voting base Obama has left feel comfortable that their job is done, while it's motivating the hundreds of millions of Americans who HATE Obama to get up off their couch and vote his ass out.

    This is going to be a landslide loss for Obama that rivals the one Carter experienced (appropriate considering that Obama has followed the Jimmy Carter blueprint for failure to the letter - complete with allowing embassy's to be over run while showing fear of those responsible).
     

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