Swing State Polls Tilt to Obama

Discussion in 'Congress' started by SwingVoter, Sep 8, 2008.

  1. SwingVoter
    Offline

    SwingVoter VIP Member

    Joined:
    Aug 30, 2008
    Messages:
    1,246
    Thanks Received:
    123
    Trophy Points:
    83
    Location:
    Richmond, Virginia
    Ratings:
    +129
    RCP just posted a slew of battleground state polls (thank god, was getting sick of the debates over 1 pt in a nat'l poll)

    Mac's up 7 in Ohio, up 2 in VA, but just even in FL and up just 1 in MI. O is stil up in CO. Looks like the convention bounce is being felt most strongly in states Bush won in 2004, except FL.

    This is playing out to the 19 Kerry states + NM + CO + IA scenario that gets Obama enough EVs to win 273-265.
     
  2. random3434
    Offline

    random3434 Senior Member

    Joined:
    Jun 29, 2008
    Messages:
    25,903
    Thanks Received:
    7,188
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Ratings:
    +7,194
    Shew, now I can sleep good tonight.
     
  3. Jon
    Offline

    Jon The CPA

    Joined:
    Mar 20, 2008
    Messages:
    8,101
    Thanks Received:
    1,276
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Location:
    Fayetteville, AR
    Ratings:
    +1,281
    It's only just begun. Wait for the debates.

    As for Michigan, I still it in Obama's favor, not McCain's. :eusa_eh:
     
  4. JimH52
    Offline

    JimH52 Gold Member

    Joined:
    Oct 14, 2007
    Messages:
    19,295
    Thanks Received:
    3,103
    Trophy Points:
    290
    Location:
    US
    Ratings:
    +8,277
    I think Obama will carry Virginia, especially since Mark Warner is going to slam Gilmore, and he may very well take NC. He is even in Florida now but may pull ahead once the debates are done. If the debates go past 10:30 ET...well McCain may have to at least take a nap to keep the pace.

    If you look at an electoral map, McCain needs to upset Obama is several leading states to win.
     
  5. Modbert
    Offline

    Modbert Daydream Believer Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2008
    Messages:
    33,178
    Thanks Received:
    2,957
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Ratings:
    +2,962
    Plus, despite how much the republicans want to parrot: Sarah Palin has not proven herself to be a good speaker unscripted.

    We've all heard such great things about her, well hey anyone can read off a teleprompter. I laugh at how the GOP makes fun of Obama for his supposedly inability to do but what about Mumbles McCain or Sarah Palin who we have not seen give a speech without a teleprompter or a piece of paper?

    The VP debate will either go very bad or very good for the GOP, though I lean towards very bad. Sure Sarah has debated several very low-key figures (that are figured low-key in the state of Alaska) for the positions of Mayor and Governor but this is a whole new ballpark.

    Joe Biden isn't inexperienced, and he just might wipe the floor badly.
     
  6. Caligirl
    Offline

    Caligirl Oh yes it is too!

    Joined:
    Aug 25, 2008
    Messages:
    2,567
    Thanks Received:
    240
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Ratings:
    +240
    Debtes will be seen as a win by both sides.

    No matter what the question is, each side will pivot it to a talking point that will be rehearsed beforehand.
     
  7. SwingVoter
    Offline

    SwingVoter VIP Member

    Joined:
    Aug 30, 2008
    Messages:
    1,246
    Thanks Received:
    123
    Trophy Points:
    83
    Location:
    Richmond, Virginia
    Ratings:
    +129
    If Obama's smart, he'd go after FL and cut efforts in IN and GA. Palin's helping Mac big-time with rural and southern pro-lifers, but also hurting with urban/suburban pro-choicers. FL could easily flip, largely because of Miami-Palm Beach, but IN and GA aren't likely to.
     

Share This Page