So the Polls Were Biased, eh?

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Toro, Nov 7, 2012.

  1. Toro
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    Toro Diamond Member

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    Conservatives claimed that the polls were biased because they over sampled Democrats. However, it appears that Obama received 50.9% of the vote. Over the last 10 polls on RCP, Obama averaged 48.8% and Romney averaged 48.1%. Excluding the undecideds, the polls had Obama at 50.4%.

    RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Romney vs. Obama

    Thus, it appears the polls had it spot on.
     
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  2. Vanquish
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    Vanquish Vanquisher of shills

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    Eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeezactly! Some people had to come down from Bullshit Mountain...some still haven't. Some never will.
     
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  3. L.K.Eder
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    L.K.Eder unbannable non-troll

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    democrats were oversampled in the election. :evil:
     
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  4. Mac1958
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    Mac1958 Platinum Member

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    .

    Boy, that was all pretty weird.

    All the polls were saying essentially the same thing, yet the conservatives' interpretation of the over-sampling made sense, too. Turns out the pollsters knew/know what they're doing.

    .
     
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  5. Truthmatters
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    Truthmatters BANNED

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    Im sure that is the way all racists feel this morning
     
  6. JoeB131
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    JoeB131 Diamond Member

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    To be fair, it was probably all some people had to cling on to that last week.

    So now the qeustion for the GOP is, why did they lose, and what do they do about it.
     
  7. JimBowie1958
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    JimBowie1958 Old Fogey

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    There was an anomoly in the polling data and most conservative pundits drew the wrong conclusion. In general polling 45% of the public sellf-identified as conservative, libs 20% and moderates 35%, while party self-ID went about 35% Dem and 35% GOP, but the poll samples were getting responses from 41% Dems and only 30% GOP.

    The pundits guessed that it meant that the sampling was skewed, but the correct assessment from last night is that apparently 22% of conservatives simply would NOT vote for that lying bastard Mittens Romney.
     
  8. JoeB131
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    JoeB131 Diamond Member

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    Romney got 82% of the self-identified Conservative vote, better than the 78% McCain got but not as good as the 84% Bush got in 2004.

    Look, I have no love for Romney. I wish people had listened to me when I warned them back in January this was huge honking mistake.

    But the GOP's problems go a lot deeper than Romney.
     
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  9. tjvh
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    tjvh Senior Member

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    Is that really how you feel?
     
  10. konradv
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    konradv Gold Member

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    I agree. I thought the Republican's only chance was to nominate someone like Jeb Bush, but he was just too sane for them! :dunno:
     
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