So the Polls Were Biased, eh?

[Toro]

Conservatives claimed that the polls were biased because they over sampled Democrats. However, it appears that Obama received 50.9% of the vote. Over the last 10 polls on RCP, Obama averaged 48.8% and Romney averaged 48.1%. Excluding the undecideds, the polls had Obama at 50.4%.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Romney vs. Obama

Thus, it appears the polls had it spot on.

 

[Vanquish]

Eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeezactly! Some people had to come down from Bullshit Mountain...some still haven't. Some never will.

 

[L.K.Eder]

democrats were oversampled in the election.

 

[Mac1958]

.

Boy, that was all pretty weird.

All the polls were saying essentially the same thing, yet the conservatives' interpretation of the over-sampling made sense, too. Turns out the pollsters knew/know what they're doing.

.

 

[Truthmatters]

democrats were oversampled in the election.

Im sure that is the way all racists feel this morning

 

[JoeB131]

Eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeezactly! Some people had to come down from Bullshit Mountain...some still haven't. Some never will.

To be fair, it was probably all some people had to cling on to that last week.

So now the qeustion for the GOP is, why did they lose, and what do they do about it.

 

[JimBowie1958]

Conservatives claimed that the polls were biased because they over sampled Democrats. However, it appears that Obama received 50.9% of the vote. Over the last 10 polls on RCP, Obama averaged 48.8% and Romney averaged 48.1%. Excluding the undecideds, the polls had Obama at 50.4%.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Romney vs. Obama

Thus, it appears the polls had it spot on.

There was an anomoly in the polling data and most conservative pundits drew the wrong conclusion. In general polling 45% of the public sellf-identified as conservative, libs 20% and moderates 35%, while party self-ID went about 35% Dem and 35% GOP, but the poll samples were getting responses from 41% Dems and only 30% GOP.

The pundits guessed that it meant that the sampling was skewed, but the correct assessment from last night is that apparently 22% of conservatives simply would NOT vote for that lying bastard Mittens Romney.

 

[JoeB131]

Conservatives claimed that the polls were biased because they over sampled Democrats. However, it appears that Obama received 50.9% of the vote. Over the last 10 polls on RCP, Obama averaged 48.8% and Romney averaged 48.1%. Excluding the undecideds, the polls had Obama at 50.4%.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Romney vs. Obama

Thus, it appears the polls had it spot on.

There was an anomoly in the polling data and most conservative pundits drew the wrong conclusion. In general polling 45% of the public sellf-identified as conservative, libs 20% and moderates 35%, while party self-ID went about 35% Dem and 35% GOP, but the poll samples were getting responses from 41% Dems and only 30% GOP.

The pundits guessed that it meant that the sampling was skewed, but the correct assessment from last night is that apparently 22% of conservatives simply would NOT vote for that lying bastard Mittens Romney.

Romney got 82% of the self-identified Conservative vote, better than the 78% McCain got but not as good as the 84% Bush got in 2004.

Look, I have no love for Romney. I wish people had listened to me when I warned them back in January this was huge honking mistake.

But the GOP's problems go a lot deeper than Romney.

 

[tjvh]

democrats were oversampled in the election.

Im sure that is the way all racists feel this morning

Is that really how you feel?

 

[konradv]

Conservatives claimed that the polls were biased because they over sampled Democrats. However, it appears that Obama received 50.9% of the vote. Over the last 10 polls on RCP, Obama averaged 48.8% and Romney averaged 48.1%. Excluding the undecideds, the polls had Obama at 50.4%.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Romney vs. Obama

Thus, it appears the polls had it spot on.

There was an anomoly in the polling data and most conservative pundits drew the wrong conclusion. In general polling 45% of the public sellf-identified as conservative, libs 20% and moderates 35%, while party self-ID went about 35% Dem and 35% GOP, but the poll samples were getting responses from 41% Dems and only 30% GOP.

The pundits guessed that it meant that the sampling was skewed, but the correct assessment from last night is that apparently 22% of conservatives simply would NOT vote for that lying bastard Mittens Romney.

Romney got 82% of the self-identified Conservative vote, better than the 78% McCain got but not as good as the 84% Bush got in 2004.

Look, I have no love for Romney. I wish people had listened to me when I warned them back in January this was huge honking mistake.

But the GOP's problems go a lot deeper than Romney.

I agree. I thought the Republican's only chance was to nominate someone like Jeb Bush, but he was just too sane for them!

 

[Harry Dresden]

Eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeezactly! Some people had to come down from Bullshit Mountain...some still haven't. Some never will.

To be fair, it was probably all some people had to cling on to that last week.

So now the qeustion for the GOP is, why did they lose, and what do they do about it.

as they did 4 years ago......they picked the wrong candidate....

 

[JimBowie1958]

Conservatives claimed that the polls were biased because they over sampled Democrats. However, it appears that Obama received 50.9% of the vote. Over the last 10 polls on RCP, Obama averaged 48.8% and Romney averaged 48.1%. Excluding the undecideds, the polls had Obama at 50.4%.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Romney vs. Obama

Thus, it appears the polls had it spot on.

There was an anomoly in the polling data and most conservative pundits drew the wrong conclusion. In general polling 45% of the public sellf-identified as conservative, libs 20% and moderates 35%, while party self-ID went about 35% Dem and 35% GOP, but the poll samples were getting responses from 41% Dems and only 30% GOP.

The pundits guessed that it meant that the sampling was skewed, but the correct assessment from last night is that apparently 22% of conservatives simply would NOT vote for that lying bastard Mittens Romney.

Romney got 82% of the self-identified Conservative vote, better than the 78% McCain got but not as good as the 84% Bush got in 2004.

Bullshit, lol, you just made those numbers up, didnt you?

Look, I have no love for Romney. I wish people had listened to me when I warned them back in January this was huge honking mistake.

But the GOP's problems go a lot deeper than Romney.

Yes, it obviously does, but Romney and how he got the nomination is the epitome of what is wrong in the GOP.

Soc-cons need to make a new party and lock it tight from Wall Street whores and switch-hitting talking heads.

 

[Vanquish]

Hey. I don't disagree with the idea that there can be an un-polled groundswell of spirit...but you'd have to have an event or "game-changer" happen literally within the last 2 days of the election.

 

[del]

democrats were oversampled in the election.

back to gloat, eh?

 

[L.K.Eder]

democrats were oversampled in the election.

back to gloat, eh?

me? never.

 

[Ravi]

Best election season ever.

 

[del]

democrats were oversampled in the election.

back to gloat, eh?

me? never.

i plan on reenacting the battle of kursk to get my mind off the crushing defeat.

 

[L.K.Eder]

back to gloat, eh?

me? never.

i plan on reenacting the battle of kursk to get my mind off the crushing defeat.

i recommend reenacting pickett's charge. less tanks, more bayonets.

 

[del]

me? never.

i plan on reenacting the battle of kursk to get my mind off the crushing defeat.

i recommend reenacting pickett's charge. less tanks, more bayonets.

now that you mention it, i think i'll go with the battle of jutland

 

[jillian]

Conservatives claimed that the polls were biased because they over sampled Democrats. However, it appears that Obama received 50.9% of the vote. Over the last 10 polls on RCP, Obama averaged 48.8% and Romney averaged 48.1%. Excluding the undecideds, the polls had Obama at 50.4%.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Romney vs. Obama

Thus, it appears the polls had it spot on.

So much for Nate silver being wrong.

Oh ...and Gallup and Rasmussen??? They need to re-evaluate either their bias or their polling techniques.