Discussion in 'Politics' started by Billy000, Dec 9, 2011.
Anyone running has a chance. You'd have to define "solid chance" before I could honestly evaluate the probability.
He does have two things working against him:
1) The census results redistricted more EC votes to typical Republican states. So he is starting in a weaker position.
2) His leadership has been abyssmal.
Only if the republicans blow it. On his own merits obamaturd should be fired right now let alone wait for 2012.
Your second point is completely subjective.
The way his numbers look and considering the same number of losing first termers in the past, no...it does not look good for him.
Of course he can win in 2012.
Why not. He has many who support him.
If the economy turns around and the jobs start appearing he can get re-elected.
I think he's trying to take the country in the wrong direction. I also think his polices suck and he hasn't shown me much in the way of leadership. But thats my own PO.
There are those out there though who still support him and he could get re-elected.
I hope to hell not but it can happen.
Incumbency is a hell of an advantage, even in a failed candidate.
Never underestimate the GOP's ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Think Oilers vs. Bills.
Of course he hasn't looked good since elected and everyone figured him out to be a phony and a liar.
Of course he could... anything could happen between now and 11/2012.
With that said, if things remain the same, he's one and out.
Better than a coin flip's chance. Incumbents have a very slight edge; always do. Of course that didin't help Carter or Bush Sr much now did it.
His chances get better every day.
Separate names with a comma.