Statistikhengst
Diamond Member
- Banned
- #1
Release Detail
832 DLCV, MoE = +/-3.4
Values in parentheses are from the previous Qpiac from this state, in July, 2015.
Sanders 41 (33)
Clinton 40 (52)
Biden 12 (7)
O'Malley 3
Webb 1
Chaffee 0
Someone else/DN 3
Margin: Sanders +1
With an MoE of +/-4.3, this is of course, a statistical tie, but shows HUGE momentum for Bernie Sanders in a state that Hillary Clinton once thought was safe. Clinton leads among women, Bernie leads among men.
To be honest, the number that surprises me is the Biden number: he is rising elsewhere, but not here. Hmmm...
And one more detail. It's not about Hillary's favorability among Democrats. Look:
The toplines between Biden, Sanders and Clinton are almost identical, en toto, within 2 or 3 points of each other. The net fav MARGIN, however, is larger for Biden and for Sanders.
So, according to Qpiac, it has gone from Clinton +19 to Sanders +2 within two months time. Shift = 20 points.
More information at the poll.
-Stat
832 DLCV, MoE = +/-3.4
Values in parentheses are from the previous Qpiac from this state, in July, 2015.
Sanders 41 (33)
Clinton 40 (52)
Biden 12 (7)
O'Malley 3
Webb 1
Chaffee 0
Someone else/DN 3
Margin: Sanders +1
With an MoE of +/-4.3, this is of course, a statistical tie, but shows HUGE momentum for Bernie Sanders in a state that Hillary Clinton once thought was safe. Clinton leads among women, Bernie leads among men.
To be honest, the number that surprises me is the Biden number: he is rising elsewhere, but not here. Hmmm...
And one more detail. It's not about Hillary's favorability among Democrats. Look:
The toplines between Biden, Sanders and Clinton are almost identical, en toto, within 2 or 3 points of each other. The net fav MARGIN, however, is larger for Biden and for Sanders.
So, according to Qpiac, it has gone from Clinton +19 to Sanders +2 within two months time. Shift = 20 points.
More information at the poll.
-Stat
