Obama has a 6.5 advantage in the polls that are current as of today. A healthy lead but there are still a lot of undecideds. I would expect to see the race within the margin of error by next weekend as undecideds break toward McCain. Could happen sooner if there's an international event, some other October surprise or even a good week on Wall Street. I also think Obama's half hour TV buy might backfire on him. Just my two cents.