ScreamingEagle
Gold Member
- Jul 5, 2004
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From MSNBC.com, of all places: "Ouch: U.S. Economy Shrunk Almost 3 Percent"
So just how bad is a 2.9% drop? Its not just the worst performance in five years; its the fourth-worst quarter in the last thirty!
...
What does this spell for the rest of the year? The economy has to grow by an average of 4.3% in each of the remaining three quarters just to reach a pathetic growth of 2.5% for the year. Obamas recovery has reached that level only once. If the average growth for the remaining three quarters is 3.0%, 2014 will finish with slightly more than 1.5% annual growth.
How bad is 1.5%? It would rank as the fifth-worst annual growth in the last thirty years!
But what are the odds that well see a 5.9% rebound between the first and second quarters? Not likely if you consider this report:
I dont remember a lot of major snowstorms in May.
...
This all adds up to another really bad second-quarter GDP report, to be released just as Democrats go home for summer break and begin campaigning.
...
Personally, I think Obamas operatives know that this isnt the end of the bad economic news, and the latest first quarter figures were intentionally revised downward to absorb some of the impending second-quarter doom.
Obama and the Democrats could not survive being labeled with the R-word right before the kickoff of campaign season.
Articles: Obama's Incredible Shrinking Economy
So just how bad is a 2.9% drop? Its not just the worst performance in five years; its the fourth-worst quarter in the last thirty!
...
What does this spell for the rest of the year? The economy has to grow by an average of 4.3% in each of the remaining three quarters just to reach a pathetic growth of 2.5% for the year. Obamas recovery has reached that level only once. If the average growth for the remaining three quarters is 3.0%, 2014 will finish with slightly more than 1.5% annual growth.
How bad is 1.5%? It would rank as the fifth-worst annual growth in the last thirty years!
But what are the odds that well see a 5.9% rebound between the first and second quarters? Not likely if you consider this report:
Orders for long-lasting U.S. manufactured goods unexpectedly fell in May, suggesting an anticipated rebound in growth this quarter could fall short of expectations, even as a measure of business capital spending plans rose.
The Commerce Department said on Wednesday durable goods orders declined 1.0 percent as demand for transportation, machinery, computers and electronic products, electrical equipment, appliances and components, and defense capital goods fell.
I dont remember a lot of major snowstorms in May.
...
This all adds up to another really bad second-quarter GDP report, to be released just as Democrats go home for summer break and begin campaigning.
...
Personally, I think Obamas operatives know that this isnt the end of the bad economic news, and the latest first quarter figures were intentionally revised downward to absorb some of the impending second-quarter doom.
Obama and the Democrats could not survive being labeled with the R-word right before the kickoff of campaign season.
Articles: Obama's Incredible Shrinking Economy