- May 20, 2009
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Q. How does the AGWCult admit they have absolutely zero real evidence to support their claims?
A. Denier!!
A. Denier!!
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Crusader Frank: Not debating, not conversant, not participating, not involved,
The Greenhouse Gamble™ wheels were developed by the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change to better convey uncertainty in climate change prediction. The roulette-style spinning wheels depict the estimated probability, or likelihood, of potential temperature change (global average surface temperature) over the next 100 years. The face of each wheel is divided into colored slices, with the size of each slice representing the estimated probability of the temperature change in the year 2100 falling within that range.
The Greenhouse Gamble wheel on the left is the "no policy" or reference case, in which it is assumed no action is taken to try to curb the global emissions of greenhouse gases. The median value of the "no policy" wheel, or the temperature at which there is a 50% chance of falling above or below that level (even odds) is 5.2 °C.
The Greenhouse Gamble wheel on the right is the "with policy" case, which assumes that policies are enacted to limit cumulative emissions of greenhouse gases over the century to 4.2 trillion metric tons, measured in CO2-equivalent. The median warming level (even odds) is 2.3 °C.
The resulting change in probabilities when switching from a "no policy" scenario to a "with policy" scenario is shown by the altered size of the representative temperature slices. If policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions are enacted, the likelihood of constraining global temperature change in 2100 to below 3 °C warming increases to 90% (9 in 10 odds) from the "no policy" scenario. As global emissions of greenhouse gases continue to increase, the "no policy" roulette wheel continues to spin. By reducing emissions, we can limit the risks from global climate change impacts.
It's another example of "I don't want this in my backyard so I will go to a superior power to prevent it", mentality. It's NIMBY on steroids.What does that have to do with the OP?
I thought folks might like to see where that lower picture came from. It's not quite as laughable as Frank would have you believe. Now I'm not accusing Frank of any dishonesty. I'm sure he honestly believes it's as silly as he thinks it to be. It's just a matter of Frank's limitation. The explanation is a little complicated and goes on beyond a single paragraph.
The wheels (there are two of them) show the probable temperature increases by the year 2100. One wheel covers our likely future with no policy (the route advocated by FCT, Ian, SSDD, Westwall, Skookerasbil, Crusader Frank, Kosh, Youch and others). The other wheel covers our likely future WITH a climate change policy (the route advocated by Rolling Thunder, Orogenicman, Mamooth, yours truly and others). The likelihood of any given temperature increase is represented by its angular width on the wheel and thus its odds of coming up with a spin. Each time you spin the wheels, a graphic below tallies the results to illustrate what futures are most likely with and without climate change policy.
If you go to this site:
MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change
you can actually see the wheels and give them a spin. Its VERY exciting.
The Greenhouse Gamble™ wheels were developed by the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change to better convey uncertainty in climate change prediction. The roulette-style spinning wheels depict the estimated probability, or likelihood, of potential temperature change (global average surface temperature) over the next 100 years. The face of each wheel is divided into colored slices, with the size of each slice representing the estimated probability of the temperature change in the year 2100 falling within that range.
The Greenhouse Gamble wheel on the left is the "no policy" or reference case, in which it is assumed no action is taken to try to curb the global emissions of greenhouse gases. The median value of the "no policy" wheel, or the temperature at which there is a 50% chance of falling above or below that level (even odds) is 5.2 °C.
The Greenhouse Gamble wheel on the right is the "with policy" case, which assumes that policies are enacted to limit cumulative emissions of greenhouse gases over the century to 4.2 trillion metric tons, measured in CO2-equivalent. The median warming level (even odds) is 2.3 °C.
The resulting change in probabilities when switching from a "no policy" scenario to a "with policy" scenario is shown by the altered size of the representative temperature slices. If policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions are enacted, the likelihood of constraining global temperature change in 2100 to below 3 °C warming increases to 90% (9 in 10 odds) from the "no policy" scenario. As global emissions of greenhouse gases continue to increase, the "no policy" roulette wheel continues to spin. By reducing emissions, we can limit the risks from global climate change impacts.
The denier @CrusaderFrank belittling MIT scholars? Quelle surprise!!! Frank57 needs to put down the Mercator Center
I thought folks might like to see where that lower picture came from. It's not quite as laughable as Frank would have you believe. Now I'm not accusing Frank of any dishonesty. I'm sure he honestly believes it's as silly as he thinks it to be. It's just a matter of Frank's limitation. The explanation is a little complicated and goes on beyond a single paragraph.
The wheels (there are two of them) show the probable temperature increases by the year 2100. One wheel covers our likely future with no policy (the route advocated by FCT, Ian, SSDD, Westwall, Skookerasbil, Crusader Frank, Kosh, Youch and others). The other wheel covers our likely future WITH a climate change policy (the route advocated by Rolling Thunder, Orogenicman, Mamooth, yours truly and others). The likelihood of any given temperature increase is represented by its angular width on the wheel and thus its odds of coming up with a spin. Each time you spin the wheels, a graphic below tallies the results to illustrate what futures are most likely with and without climate change policy.
If you go to this site:
MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change
you can actually see the wheels and give them a spin. Its VERY exciting.
The Greenhouse Gamble™ wheels were developed by the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change to better convey uncertainty in climate change prediction. The roulette-style spinning wheels depict the estimated probability, or likelihood, of potential temperature change (global average surface temperature) over the next 100 years. The face of each wheel is divided into colored slices, with the size of each slice representing the estimated probability of the temperature change in the year 2100 falling within that range.
The Greenhouse Gamble wheel on the left is the "no policy" or reference case, in which it is assumed no action is taken to try to curb the global emissions of greenhouse gases. The median value of the "no policy" wheel, or the temperature at which there is a 50% chance of falling above or below that level (even odds) is 5.2 °C.
The Greenhouse Gamble wheel on the right is the "with policy" case, which assumes that policies are enacted to limit cumulative emissions of greenhouse gases over the century to 4.2 trillion metric tons, measured in CO2-equivalent. The median warming level (even odds) is 2.3 °C.
The resulting change in probabilities when switching from a "no policy" scenario to a "with policy" scenario is shown by the altered size of the representative temperature slices. If policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions are enacted, the likelihood of constraining global temperature change in 2100 to below 3 °C warming increases to 90% (9 in 10 odds) from the "no policy" scenario. As global emissions of greenhouse gases continue to increase, the "no policy" roulette wheel continues to spin. By reducing emissions, we can limit the risks from global climate change impacts.
I thought folks might like to see where that lower picture came from. It's not quite as laughable as Frank would have you believe. Now I'm not accusing Frank of any dishonesty. I'm sure he honestly believes it's as silly as he thinks it to be. It's just a matter of Frank's limitation. The explanation is a little complicated and goes on beyond a single paragraph.
The wheels (there are two of them) show the probable temperature increases by the year 2100. One wheel covers our likely future with no policy (the route advocated by FCT, Ian, SSDD, Westwall, Skookerasbil, Crusader Frank, Kosh, Youch and others). The other wheel covers our likely future WITH a climate change policy (the route advocated by Rolling Thunder, Orogenicman, Mamooth, yours truly and others). The likelihood of any given temperature increase is represented by its angular width on the wheel and thus its odds of coming up with a spin. Each time you spin the wheels, a graphic below tallies the results to illustrate what futures are most likely with and without climate change policy.
If you go to this site:
MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change
you can actually see the wheels and give them a spin. Its VERY exciting.
The Greenhouse Gamble™ wheels were developed by the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change to better convey uncertainty in climate change prediction. The roulette-style spinning wheels depict the estimated probability, or likelihood, of potential temperature change (global average surface temperature) over the next 100 years. The face of each wheel is divided into colored slices, with the size of each slice representing the estimated probability of the temperature change in the year 2100 falling within that range.
The Greenhouse Gamble wheel on the left is the "no policy" or reference case, in which it is assumed no action is taken to try to curb the global emissions of greenhouse gases. The median value of the "no policy" wheel, or the temperature at which there is a 50% chance of falling above or below that level (even odds) is 5.2 °C.
The Greenhouse Gamble wheel on the right is the "with policy" case, which assumes that policies are enacted to limit cumulative emissions of greenhouse gases over the century to 4.2 trillion metric tons, measured in CO2-equivalent. The median warming level (even odds) is 2.3 °C.
The resulting change in probabilities when switching from a "no policy" scenario to a "with policy" scenario is shown by the altered size of the representative temperature slices. If policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions are enacted, the likelihood of constraining global temperature change in 2100 to below 3 °C warming increases to 90% (9 in 10 odds) from the "no policy" scenario. As global emissions of greenhouse gases continue to increase, the "no policy" roulette wheel continues to spin. By reducing emissions, we can limit the risks from global climate change impacts.
Disney
I just posted up a link.....a Judith Curry interview......THE most respected climate scientist on the planet ( frequently referenced by Old Rocks ). Even she laughs at the notion of doing anything about carbon levels any time in the near future. ( really....go check it out ).
"Man-made" global warming is a total ruse.......always has been. It is a cornerstone however of the mainifesto's of the hyper-socialists like Saul Alinsky......use of the environmental movement to devastate the American middle class. The EPA is doing quite a swell job of destroying middle class jobs for two decades now.