*More Speaker Ryan House Changes

Discussion in 'Congress' started by longknife, Nov 13, 2015.

  1. miketx
    Offline

    miketx Gold Member

    Joined:
    Dec 25, 2015
    Messages:
    28,578
    Thanks Received:
    2,882
    Trophy Points:
    290
    Ratings:
    +31,769
    If libtards could do anything except cry over typos, they might have actually amounted to something other than a large group of imbeciles who have voluntarily encased their minds inside an impenetrable conundrum of their own making.
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
  2. Geaux4it
    Offline

    Geaux4it Intensity Factor 4-Fold

    Joined:
    May 31, 2009
    Messages:
    18,180
    Thanks Received:
    3,332
    Trophy Points:
    290
    Location:
    Tennessee
    Ratings:
    +10,584
    Nonsense

    -Geaux
    =======

    What if the polls are underestimating Trump’s support?

    We’ve grown quite accustomed in recent months to looking at Republican polls and finding the same result: Donald Trump is doing very well in the GOP presidential race. But look a little closer and an unexpected detail emerges.
    FiveThirtyEight published a piece earlier this month noting that in traditional polls – a human being calls respondents and asks scripted questions with multiple-choice answers – Trump’s support is lower than in polls conducted online or through automated, robo-call surveys.
    And while some subtle variances are easily overlooked, the FiveThirtyEight analysis found a sizable, statistically significant difference.
    So, what’s the explanation for this? Should we discount online polling that has no real track record in primary races? Should we assume this is just a temporary fluke that will sort itself out once the primaries begin in earnest?
    It’s worthy of a conversation, but Bloomberg Politics ran an interesting piece yesterday raising a possibility that hasn’t generated much attention.
    Polls may be underestimating Donald Trump’s support, according to intriguing new research that says the Republican front-runner benefits from a “social desirability bias” – some people who plan to vote for him are too embarrassed to admit it.
    The study, published Monday by Morning Consult, found that Trump fares about six percentage points better among likely Republican voters in online polls than when a pollster is speaking by phone to a live human being. Moreover, the report indicated, the higher an individual’s educational attainment, the greater the likelihood that the respondent wouldn’t admit on the telephone to supporting Trump.
    Now seems like a good time to pause and talk a little bit about the “Bradley Effect.”

    What if the polls are underestimating Trump's support?
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
  3. 9aces
    Offline

    9aces Senior Member

    Joined:
    Dec 30, 2015
    Messages:
    985
    Thanks Received:
    198
    Trophy Points:
    45
    Ratings:
    +635
    Oh yeah, and McCain got the nomination in 2008 when he "had the primary organization", how'd that work out?

    Trump's a different breed of animal, best get used to it. And I say that as someone who does NOT currently support Trump in the primary election. He's 4th on my list.
     
    • Thank You! Thank You! x 1
  4. miketx
    Offline

    miketx Gold Member

    Joined:
    Dec 25, 2015
    Messages:
    28,578
    Thanks Received:
    2,882
    Trophy Points:
    290
    Ratings:
    +31,769
    Unless some leftwing trash kills Trump, he will win. The people have had enough of this socialist democrat bullshit. When he wins, I hope the lot of them leave the country. Only problem with that thought is that no one would be stupid enough to take the piss pant idiots.
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
    Last edited: Jan 1, 2016
  5. JakeStarkey
    Offline

    JakeStarkey Diamond Member Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Aug 10, 2009
    Messages:
    153,010
    Thanks Received:
    13,771
    Trophy Points:
    2,165
    Ratings:
    +42,300
    That's all a demented far righty like you can do: minimalize your own stupidity.
     
  6. Care4all
    Offline

    Care4all Warrior Princess Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Mar 24, 2007
    Messages:
    38,171
    Thanks Received:
    8,053
    Trophy Points:
    1,370
    Location:
    Maine
    Ratings:
    +15,590
    And how does that make him fare in the caucuses, where the votes have to be made in Public, and not hidden? I'm not certain if people who don't want to admit they would vote for him, would admit in front of a caucus crowd... that they would vote for him?? Or maybe that's not the case, just don't know?

    Also, seems like the internet could have the same people voting multiple times, just by having a second email address.... whereas a phone poll is calling your house once, and only the person that answers the poll questions is part of the polling numbers.

    The Internet, you can also have your wife go and vote or your adult child go and vote.
     
    • Thank You! Thank You! x 1
    Last edited: Jan 1, 2016
  7. miketx
    Offline

    miketx Gold Member

    Joined:
    Dec 25, 2015
    Messages:
    28,578
    Thanks Received:
    2,882
    Trophy Points:
    290
    Ratings:
    +31,769
    Wow 'tard! That's about the 5th time today one of you libtard piss panties has quoted my typo! I don't have to do anything! You keep proving how stupid your sorry asses are by your own display of your fecundless diatribe of typo attacks! Lmao. keep it up piss pants, I love it.
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
  8. JakeStarkey
    Offline

    JakeStarkey Diamond Member Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Aug 10, 2009
    Messages:
    153,010
    Thanks Received:
    13,771
    Trophy Points:
    2,165
    Ratings:
    +42,300
    You just don't have what it takes, do you? The simple fact is that Trump will not be the nominee.
     
  9. ScienceRocks
    Online

    ScienceRocks Blue dog all the way!

    Joined:
    Mar 16, 2010
    Messages:
    56,722
    Thanks Received:
    5,563
    Trophy Points:
    1,885
    Location:
    The Good insane United states of America
    Ratings:
    +22,000

    You're the one attempting to bring about another dark age and you think other people are stupid? You're laughable.

    If you want to cut something then get our military out of the nation building and repeal the tax breaks. You'll see most of our troubles go away.
     
    • Thank You! Thank You! x 1
  10. miketx
    Offline

    miketx Gold Member

    Joined:
    Dec 25, 2015
    Messages:
    28,578
    Thanks Received:
    2,882
    Trophy Points:
    290
    Ratings:
    +31,769
    liberals escape.jpg
    You two piss slurpers will be in this crowd.

    Have what it takes to do what? Oh I get it, never mind.

    So, pisstard, raising taxes and bringing our military home will solve all our problems? You should run for orifice. Another tax and spend demtard.

    I'll tell you one thing that if we did bring our military home and deploy them to our borders it would solve a boatload of crap.
     
    Last edited: Jan 1, 2016

Share This Page