Makes me question the so called national polls and how accurate they are or if they mean anything.
I'm more inclined to go by a state by state poll especially if we have historical evidence of which way the state leaned in past elections.
Starting on Aug 29...the day McCain announced Palin as his running mate here is what the electoral college split has looked like
8/29/08
Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
Obama 278 McCain 247
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): CO IA NV NM GOP pickups (vs. 2004): (None)
8/30/08
Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
no change
8/31/08
no change
9/1/08
no change
9/2/08 *begining of RNC*
no change
9/3/08
no change
9/4/08 McCain's speech
Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
Obama 298 McCain 227 Ties 13
Presidential polls today: IA MN OH
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): CO IA NV NM OH GOP pickups (vs. 2004): (None)
9/5/08
Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
Obama 301 McCain 224 Ties 13
9/6/08
no change
9/7/08
no change
9/8/08
no change
9/9/08
Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
Obama 281 McCain 230 Ties 27
Obama had OH but it jumped to McCain barely and suddenly FL wasn't in McCain's camp but rather tied....
Something of note however, McCain hasn't taken the lead even once or come close....Dems have seemingly picked up 6 states since 2004 while the GOP hasn't picked even one state.
I'm more inclined to go by a state by state poll especially if we have historical evidence of which way the state leaned in past elections.
Starting on Aug 29...the day McCain announced Palin as his running mate here is what the electoral college split has looked like
8/29/08
Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
Obama 278 McCain 247
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): CO IA NV NM GOP pickups (vs. 2004): (None)
8/30/08
Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
no change
8/31/08
no change
9/1/08
no change
9/2/08 *begining of RNC*
no change
9/3/08
no change
9/4/08 McCain's speech
Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
Obama 298 McCain 227 Ties 13
Presidential polls today: IA MN OH
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): CO IA NV NM OH GOP pickups (vs. 2004): (None)
9/5/08
Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
Obama 301 McCain 224 Ties 13
9/6/08
no change
9/7/08
no change
9/8/08
no change
9/9/08
Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
Obama 281 McCain 230 Ties 27
Obama had OH but it jumped to McCain barely and suddenly FL wasn't in McCain's camp but rather tied....
Something of note however, McCain hasn't taken the lead even once or come close....Dems have seemingly picked up 6 states since 2004 while the GOP hasn't picked even one state.