I think Obama is going to win the 2012 Election

No problem.

They see the writing on the wall.

Of the states that Obama picked up in 2008, he is only leading Romney in one...Nevada.

Romney is leading Obama in Indiana, and Virginia.

The rest are statistical ties...and Romney isn't even the nominee yet !

Plus, Romney is leading in New Hampshire and is tied in Pennsylvania...both states that Kerry won in 2004.

Obama doesn't have very many successes to point to...his signature legislation is toxic, he squandered a super majority, and his plan is too admit he was unable to lead the nation because the Republicans controlled the lower house of Congress.

No economic plan...no budget... no change they were duped into voting for...no hope...just more blame..."It's not my fault...it's Bush's fault...it's congresses fault...it's the Republicans fault...the buck stops everywhere but here."
Obama can't run on his record. It will be blame, minimization, Denial, Obfuscation...Class Warfare.

It's ALL he has.
That's too bad, but with all the false racism charges, the left's negativism may not stop.

There isnt any may about it.
 
Whether or not Romney beats Obama is completely out of the control of Romney and Obama.

Everything will hinge on two things.

1) The June Supreme Court decision on the health care mandate. If it is abolished, Romney doesn't get much since he is the first person in the US to legislate one. The mandate would have to be abolished in Massachusetts as well as from ObamaCare. They both lose.

If it is upheld, Obama gets a huge updraft. Romney gets nothing.


2) "It's the economy, stupid." If the unemployment rate does not drop below 8 percent in the next ten months, Obama is in dire straits. And with the crisis in Europe still bubbling, there is an even chance our unemployment rate will actually rise this year and that we will enter into another recession. In that case, Romney wins in a landslide.
 
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