GOP collapse or are generic polls just a bunch of BS?

Discussion in 'Politics' started by rightwinger, Sep 10, 2010.

  1. rightwinger
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    rightwinger Paid Messageboard Poster Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    The midterm polling 'roller coaster': 5 theories - The Week

    The lesson here is "live by the Gallup, die by the Gallup," says Howard Kurtz in The Washington Post. Gallup has been particularly erratic this summer, but all tracking polls are "volatile," and generic-party ones are the "most problematic." Elections aren't between parties; they're between candidates, "and incumbents usually win." Right, it's better to "just flip coins when it comes to generics," says William Jacobson at Legal Insurrection, "and focus on race-by-race analysis."
     
    Last edited: Sep 10, 2010
  2. Toro
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    Toro Diamond Member

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    The Republicans are going to crush the Democrats.
     
  3. Mini 14
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    Mini 14 Senior Member

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    Not sure if the GOP will be big winners this November, but the Dems are certainly going to endure epic fail.
     
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  4. Baruch Menachem
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    Baruch Menachem '

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    Are the Democrats up in the generic ballot this week?


    If the generic ballot is tied, isn't that bad for a party with a huge advantage in seats, as tied will bring them down to parity? (that was a parody)
     
  5. Baruch Menachem
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    Baruch Menachem '

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    I have seen no evidence of great love for Republicans this year. The best they have on offer that I can see is Not Democrat. That really is not a recipe for success.

    The last big Republican year was because they had a program. They don't have one this year.
     
  6. Mini 14
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    Mini 14 Senior Member

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    I'll take the "non Democrats" at 5:2 for 10K and give you the field.

    Deal?
     
  7. Baruch Menachem
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    Baruch Menachem '

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    If that gets "Non Democrat" up by 40 seats, I will be happy. If it gets "non democrat up by 75 seats, I will be ecstatic.
     
  8. Mini 14
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    Mini 14 Senior Member

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    I think it will be somewhere in between.

    The real suspense will be in the Senate races. Can the "non dems" garner 10, and if not, how close can they bring the balance?

    In any event, its a shoe-in now that we will have a lame duck President until 2012. The Dems have done so much damage that even their own people are turning on them.
     
  9. SFC Ollie
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    SFC Ollie Still Marching

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    What is different this year is that several Democrats and at least one Republican have run advertisements without mentioning their party affiliation.

    Things that make ya go hmmmmm
     
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  10. goldcatt
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    goldcatt Catch me if you can! Supporting Member

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    It doesn't matter who's up, the generic ballot at this point is pretty much meaningless. We have names, and they matter.

    Speaking of which, any amusing anecdotes from Jimbo yet, Ollie? :lol:
     
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