Do you think Democrats will take the House in 2018?

[NotfooledbyW]

bear513, post: 19074475

It's impossible, the damn UE is at full employment,

Trump correctly is NOT getting credit for Obama's long term trend in the economy.

Avg workers pay checks not going up.

It's stupid to not consider the damage Trumpo can do by October.

You are not dealing with all the facts when you disregard ten more months of Islamophobic, racist, pussy grabber, pornstar dating Putin admirer, white nationalist Trumpo in office.

You could get lucky and Trumpo resigns, but who knows.

 

[Wyatt earp]

bear513, post: 19074475

It's impossible, the damn UE is at full employment,

Trump correctly is NOT getting credit for Obama's long term trend in the economy.

Avg workers pay checks not going up.

It's stupid to not consider the damage Trumpo can do by October.

You are not dealing with all the facts when you disregard ten more months of Islamophobic, racist, pussy grabber, pornstar dating Putin admirer, white nationalist Trumpo in office.

You could get lucky and Trumpo resigns, but who knows.

Wages are going up in February if you like it or not, Walmart workers see a wage increase and all the rest we have been reading about and will thank Trump

 

[NotfooledbyW]

bear513, post: 19074479

People look at what the senators and house members did for their states..

That is probably so. But the wild card in ten months is Trumpo.

And the concern for conservatives is not Republican voters, in Republican states. It's Independents mood, and also will Dems turnout in a mid term including in traditional red states.

 

[NotfooledbyW]

Wages are going up in February if you like it or not, Walmart workers see a wage increase and all the rest we have been reading about and will thank Trump

Ha, nearly half of Walmart's employees are black. Not likely to run out and vote Republucan for getting a long overdue raise in a tighter labor market.

@Walmart is a Job Killer in Our Communities

Walmart store openings destroy almost three local jobs for every two they create by reducing retail employment by an average of 2.7 percent in every county they enter."

African Americans | Making Change at Walmart

If you count on Walmart employees to save Republicans from Trumpomania, that's a treacherous path to follow.

 

[Wyatt earp]

bear513, post: 19074479

People look at what the senators and house members did for their states..

That is probably so. But the wild card in ten months is Trumpo.

And the concern for conservatives is not Republican voters, in Republican states. It's Independents mood, and also will Dems turnout in a mid term including in traditional red states.

So how you going to get them to turn out against their senators and Congress men and women who were good for their states and brought jobs in?

 

[Wyatt earp]

Wages are going up in February if you like it or not, Walmart workers see a wage increase and all the rest we have been reading about and will thank Trump

Ha, nearly half of Walmart's employees are black. Not likely to run out and vote Republucan for getting a long overdue raise in a tighter labor market.

@Walmart is a Job Killer in Our Communities

Walmart store openings destroy almost three local jobs for every two they create by reducing retail employment by an average of 2.7 percent in every county they enter."

African Americans | Making Change at Walmart

If you count on Walmart employees to save Republicans from Trumpomania, that's a treacherous path to follow.

Your link is hilarious, so blacks who work at Walmart hopes it goes out of business so they can collect welfare?

What does your link even mean?

 

[Imissbush]

Trump is now saying that the GOP will pull a Bush 2002 election win in 2018. Comically delusional.

Must be thinking there will be a big event that will help him. Maybe they are planning it

 

[JoeB131]

They can possibly win the Senate by a slim majority, the House? Not a chance.

Actually, very likely they'll win the house, because the average flip in a midterm is 40 seats, and they only need to pick up 23.

The normal 40 seats in the house for the party out of power has been largely frittered away by the following:

The Meuller witch hunt stinks to high heaven.

Only to the Trump Koolaid Drinkers.

Deregulation and the tax bill are creating economic growth at the highest rate vs. the previous president since the second half of FDR's second term.

Actually, growth is kind of shallow. If anything, we are probably heading towards a cliff because the stock market is overvalued.

The incompetence of Democratic congressional leadership has been astonishingly broad and deep.

Really? They've kept Trump from getting most of the really damaging stuff he wants through.

 

[JoeB131]

Say what..look at this map 24 Democrats are up for election compared to just 8 Republicans..


Tell me what states you think a Democrat will win in a red state for Senate

Nevada and Arizona. Done.

 

[Wyatt earp]

Say what..look at this map 24 Democrats are up for election compared to just 8 Republicans..


Tell me what states you think a Democrat will win in a red state for Senate

Nevada and Arizona. Done.

You going to need four , Montana, north Dakota and Michigan will flip

 

[Disir]

This is going to be popcorn eating fun. Democrats continue to hedge their bets on I hate Trump rather than on what the Congress does, in order to, skirt responsibility for their own offices.

 

[danielpalos]

Hard to say Trumps unpopularity didn't help the Democrats on election night with taking back the House or Senate historically when one party controls the Presidency and both chambers of Congress they don't do so very long Obama and the Democrats didn't after the 2008 election the same could happen to Trump and the Republicans this year the other thing I will point out is traditional political thinking has not really worked on Trump so far so anything is possible for this years midterms.

some pundits were claiming, there was not enough, "ambition and proactivity" on the part of the woman of the left.

 

[danielpalos]

This is going to be popcorn eating fun. Democrats continue to hedge their bets on I hate Trump rather than on what the Congress does, in order to, skirt responsibility for their own offices.

Healthcare reform and a fifteen dollar an hour minimum wage. The right wing has nothing but repeal, and tax cuts for the rich.

 

[hadit]

This is going to be popcorn eating fun. Democrats continue to hedge their bets on I hate Trump rather than on what the Congress does, in order to, skirt responsibility for their own offices.

Healthcare reform and a fifteen dollar an hour minimum wage. The right wing has nothing but repeal, and tax cuts for the rich.

That's your agenda, not the democrats'. They don't have one.

 

[danielpalos]

This is going to be popcorn eating fun. Democrats continue to hedge their bets on I hate Trump rather than on what the Congress does, in order to, skirt responsibility for their own offices.

Healthcare reform and a fifteen dollar an hour minimum wage. The right wing has nothing but repeal, and tax cuts for the rich.

That's your agenda, not the democrats'. They don't have one.

that is what they have been doing the last time their guy was in office.

 

[toobfreak]

In this thread, we discuss the likelihood that Donald Trump's unpopularity will help Democrats win a majority in 2018, in the House of Representatives. Thanks.

How can you begin a thread with a fallacy? In every poll I see taken here, Trump's POPULARITY is between 75-80%. His UN popularity is only around 15%

Did you seriously cite USMB polls?

Why not? It is a random sampling of the population. People come here of their own free will, everyone is free to join, no particular position is promoted by the site, people vote in these polls of their own free will. It actually seems less suspect and honest than many public polls! If there is all of this animus against President Trump, why are those against him so few in number here, huh?

 

[william the wie]

California has already had a public health breakdown (Hep A), cut other basic services and raised taxes for 2018.
IL is still in its perennial crisis.
The also runs of MA, NJ and NY may also trigger a multi-state fiscal crisis.

The blue state out-migration race starts with publishing of the new W-2s in Feb. When either the first warrants under the takings clause are issued or special legislation for the states in trouble to use Chapter 3 bankruptcy to get out of their self-created mess passes that will be golden for the 2018 election. The Ds will have nothing to prevent one or both of those solutions taking them down. The Manhattan tax bill real estate crash began early in the 4th qtr of last year and that in turn means that the Blue state tax base started disappearing before the tax bill really began moving in committee. A lot of Ds will be plea bargaining their way out of jail prior to the election.

 

[danielpalos]

California has already had a public health breakdown (Hep A), cut other basic services and raised taxes for 2018.
IL is still in its perennial crisis.
The also runs of MA, NJ and NY may also trigger a multi-state fiscal crisis.

The blue state out-migration race starts with publishing of the new W-2s in Feb. When either the first warrants under the takings clause are issued or special legislation for the states in trouble to use Chapter 3 bankruptcy to get out of their self-created mess passes that will be golden for the 2018 election. The Ds will have nothing to prevent one or both of those solutions taking them down. The Manhattan tax bill real estate crash began early in the 4th qtr of last year and that in turn means that the Blue state tax base started disappearing before the tax bill really began moving in committee. A lot of Ds will be plea bargaining their way out of jail prior to the election.

we recently legalized marijuana and expect an increase in revenue to help solve our problems.

 

[PredFan]

They can possibly win the Senate by a slim majority, the House? Not a chance.

Actually, very likely they'll win the house, because the average flip in a midterm is 40 seats, and they only need to pick up 23.

The normal 40 seats in the house for the party out of power has been largely frittered away by the following:

The Meuller witch hunt stinks to high heaven.

Only to the Trump Koolaid Drinkers.

Deregulation and the tax bill are creating economic growth at the highest rate vs. the previous president since the second half of FDR's second term.

Actually, growth is kind of shallow. If anything, we are probably heading towards a cliff because the stock market is overvalued.

The incompetence of Democratic congressional leadership has been astonishingly broad and deep.

Really? They've kept Trump from getting most of the really damaging stuff he wants through.

Yeah but your going to lose many seats too.

 

[william the wie]

California has already had a public health breakdown (Hep A), cut other basic services and raised taxes for 2018.
IL is still in its perennial crisis.
The also runs of MA, NJ and NY may also trigger a multi-state fiscal crisis.

The blue state out-migration race starts with publishing of the new W-2s in Feb. When either the first warrants under the takings clause are issued or special legislation for the states in trouble to use Chapter 3 bankruptcy to get out of their self-created mess passes that will be golden for the 2018 election. The Ds will have nothing to prevent one or both of those solutions taking them down. The Manhattan tax bill real estate crash began early in the 4th qtr of last year and that in turn means that the Blue state tax base started disappearing before the tax bill really began moving in committee. A lot of Ds will be plea bargaining their way out of jail prior to the election.

we recently legalized marijuana and expect an increase in revenue to help solve our problems.

It will reduce the size of California's problems for a while. But with what looks like a nearly trillion dollars of unfunded liabilities and nearly as much in unfunded infrastructure maintenance 50 billion in revenues will be a drop in the bucket. Also the percentage of middle-class former home owners who will not rebuild and run like hell for some other stateline with their insurance money in hand will climb. Eastern California seems to be getting serious about becoming another state as well. Even East and South Asians are starting to bypass CA. And it will get progressively worse.