Comey's latest letter should give Clinton a bump of 3% - Nate Silver

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by JimH52, Nov 6, 2016.

  1. JimH52
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    JimH52 Gold Member

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    How Much Did Comey Hurt Clinton’s Chances?

    So will the latest Comey letter help Clinton? That’s also hard to say, and any change will really come too late to be picked up upon by most polls. It’s also plausible that the headlines themselves aren’t particularly helpful to Clinton, even if the news itself is. The Washington Post’s current web headline, for instance, is “FBI Director Comey says agency won’t recommend charges over Clinton email,” which reminds readers that Clinton was being investigated by the FBI for her email practices. Still, betting markets show Clinton’s probability of winning the election improving by about 3 percentage points on the news.
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    I take it from Nate that Hillary will now win.
     
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  2. AnCap'n_Murica
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    AnCap'n_Murica Gold Member

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    She's going to gain 3% from a Sunday WaPo headline?

    Oy vey.
     
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  3. JimH52
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    JimH52 Gold Member

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    It will be wonderful to see Comrade Trump go away.
     
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  4. AnCap'n_Murica
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    AnCap'n_Murica Gold Member

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    Yeah, OK.

    Still, you're buying a 3% bump from a single newspaper headline/story? Really?
     
  5. JimH52
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    JimH52 Gold Member

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    From Nate Silver, I will believe it.
     
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  6. kiwiman127
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    kiwiman127 Comfortably Moderate Supporting Member

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    Isn't your post 4, a redundant post to your Post 2?
     
  7. JimH52
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    JimH52 Gold Member

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    As it says in the Good Book:

    "Comey giveth and Comey taketh away." but

    "As long as Trump has a mouth, he will lose in November."

    JimH52
     
  8. Toro
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    Toro Diamond Member

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    Betting markets have seen Clinton's probability of winning has gone up 5% since the announcement.

    Election Betting Odds
     
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  9. Subatomic
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    Subatomic Member

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    One single headline? Try major headline news everywhere....NO NEW CHARGES. Check out for yourself.

    Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G530AZ using USMessageBoard.com mobile app
     
  10. AnCap'n_Murica
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    AnCap'n_Murica Gold Member

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    "Major headline" for political flacks and spin merchants. Most everyone else is watching football or out enjoying some unseasonably warm weather.

    I'm still not buying the fairy tale that anyone is going to get a 3% bump in one day, let alone a Sunday.
     
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