CNN Poll- all tied up, 49%-49% - Dem sample at +11

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by Trajan, Nov 5, 2012.

  1. Trajan
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    Trajan conscientia mille testes

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    +11 :confused:

    Seems kind of high to me, crack pipe high.

    The sample they used is higher than the breakdown was in 2008's election, what the heck are they thinking?

    sample used now-

    D/R/I= 41/30/29

    2008 turn out ?

    D/R/I was 39/32/29

    heres their data, page 29;


    http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/11/04/top16.pdf

    CNN Poll: 49 percent for both Obama and Romney - UPI.com


    Romney, according to the poll too, has a 22 point lead among Independents....and that translates into a tie?


    IF Romney wins, I suspect that some of the blow back will fall upon the multitude of media polls especially and late comer orgs who used improperly balanced sampling.

    The media gladly, to keep the Hindenburg Obama election effort in the air, IMHO, ( and as part of the very same orgs providing the polls as well) carried that water willingly, tainted by delusion.
     
  2. decker
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    decker Senior Member

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    that is a worry that with such a big dem sample the dems still don,t lead in that poll

    must give romney people lots of confidence
     
  3. skookerasbil
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    skookerasbil Gold Member

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    C'mon.....there is far more excitement for Obama this time around!!!:2up:
     
  4. decker
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    decker Senior Member

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    doubt it. he need good turnout on tuesday to have a chance
     
  5. Charles_Main
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    Charles_Main AR15 Owner

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    If turn out is anywhere near the plus 3% for Republicans that Rass and Gallup are predicting. Obama is not only going to lose, he is going to lose big.
     
  6. OohPooPahDoo
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    OohPooPahDoo Gold Member

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    My father in law is a registered Democrat but he has voted Republican for the past 30 years.


    Party registration is often just not relevant.
     
  7. decker
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    decker Senior Member

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    fair point. if romney win pa or mi he win by a landslide
     
  8. Charles_Main
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    Charles_Main AR15 Owner

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    Keep telling yourself that.

    By the way, If you dad has been registering as a Dem, But voting republican for 30 years. He is an idiot.
     
  9. Rat in the Hat
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    Rat in the Hat Gold Member

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