China Invasion of Taiwan - 6 reason it could happen

Book of Jeremiah

Platinum Member
Nov 3, 2012
37,635
4,526
1,170
This is a recent article on the concerns Taiwan has about a Chinese invasion /takeover of their nation. China has been making provocative moves in that region for some time leading people to believe that a Taiwan invasion is what they are planning. How close is it?

thediplomat_2015-09-02_16-41-33-386x257.jpg




6 Reasons China Would Invade Taiwan
By Shannon Tiezzi
September 03, 2015

Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense submitted its 2015 report on mainland China’s military to the Taiwanese legislature yesterday. The report noted a variety of scenarios under which China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) might invade Taiwan, and outlined the possible attack strategy.

The MND report noted that leaders in Beijing are concerned about the 2016 presidential elections in Taiwan. Tsai Ing-wen, the candidate for the opposition Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) is currently leading in the polls, and Beijing has not-so-fond memories of the previous DPP president, Chen Shui-bian. The MND suggested that recent PLA drills seeming to simulate an attack on Taipei, Taiwan’s capital, were a direct result of Beijing’s worries.

The report said that Beijing might decide to invade Taiwan under a number of circumstances: if Taiwan declares independence or takes steps toward de jure independence; if Taiwan obtains nuclear weapons; if foreign troops are deployed in Taiwan; if there is extreme civil unrest or other internal chaos in Taiwan; if foreign forces interfere in Taiwan’s affairs; or if Taiwan delays cross-strait negotiations on eventual reunification.

In 2005, when Beijing was concerned about the possibility of a move toward Taiwanese independence under President Chen, it passed an “Anti-Secession Law,” which made it clear that Beijing will use “non-peaceful means” if it believes that Taiwan is moving toward independence. The law also allows for the use of force against Taiwan if “possibilities for a peaceful re-unification should be completely exhausted.” It’s that last point that has always worried Taiwan’s leaders – the possibility that Beijing could order an invasion simply because it believes talks on reunification are going nowhere.

As for how China would attack Taiwan, the MND said the PLA would probably use a combination of military threats and a blockade against Taiwan to intimidate Taiwanese. Then Beijing would move to use missiles against Taiwan’s military and political centers. According to the MND, the PLA’s Second Artillery Crops currently has 1,500 missiles deployed against Taiwan. After missile attacks, the PLA would use both aircraft and amphibious vehicles to mount an actual invasion.
 
Unlike Jesus....China cannot walk on water
 
Taiwan’s Plan for Peace in the South China Sea

On Tuesday, Taiwan’s president, Ma Ying-jeou, announced a planfor dialing down tensions in the South China Sea, where Brunei, mainland China, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan, and Vietnam all have overlapping claims to various maritime features. Ma’s South China Sea Peace Initiative calls for shelving the disputes in favor of negotiating resource-sharing agreements.

Taiwan is in a unique position when it comes to the South China Sea. As the Republic of China, it inherited all of the ROC’s territorial claims, including the original 1947 “11-dash line” in the South China Sea. In fact, Taiwan occupies the largest natural island in the Spratlys, Itu Aba (known as Taiping Island in Taiwan), where it is engaged in its own construction activities.

Taiwan’s government has moved to defend its claims in other ways as well, such as increasing the size of military drills in the region and expanding military surveillance missions to include the South China Sea. In fact, the same day Ma announced the peace initiative, a group of 18 graduate students and two teachers returned from a trip to Itu Aba that was designed to strengthen Taiwan’s territorial claim.

At the same time, however, Taiwan has sought to keep some distance between its claims and the mainland’s. Just over a year ago, Taiwan’s Mainland Affairs Council explicitly said that Taipei will not cooperate with Beijing on the South China Sea territorial disputes. Despite this, Taiwanese were targeted in anti-China riots in Vietnam last year after China positioned an oil rig in waters Vietnam claims as part of its exclusive economic zone (EEZ), leading some to call for more efforts to separate Taiwan and China’s positions.
 
This is why it was an excellent decision by the Obama administration to get us out of the religious madness in the middle east and shift our foreign policy towards the far east.

? What?!
You didn't know? I thought it was common knowledge.

East Asian foreign policy of the Barack Obama administration - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

From your link

Additional focus was placed on the region with the Obama administration's 2012 "Pivot to East Asia" regional strategy,[3]whose key areas of actions are: "strengthening bilateral security alliances; deepening our working relationships with emerging powers, including with China; engaging with regional multilateral institutions; expanding trade and investment; forging a broad-based military presence; and advancing democracy and human rights."[4] A report by the Brookings Institution states that reactions to the pivot strategy were mixed, as "different Asian states responded to American rebalancing in different ways."[3]

There has been strong perception from China that all of these are part of US' China containment policy.[5] Proponents of this theory claim that the United States needs a weak, divided China to continue its hegemony in Asia. This is accomplished, the theory claims, by the United States establishing military, economic, and diplomatic ties with countries adjacent to China's borders.

East Asian foreign policy of the Barack Obama administration - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
 
This is a recent article on the concerns Taiwan has about a Chinese invasion /takeover of their nation. China has been making provocative moves in that region for some time leading people to believe that a Taiwan invasion is what they are planning. How close is it?

thediplomat_2015-09-02_16-41-33-386x257.jpg




6 Reasons China Would Invade Taiwan
By Shannon Tiezzi
September 03, 2015

Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense submitted its 2015 report on mainland China’s military to the Taiwanese legislature yesterday. The report noted a variety of scenarios under which China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) might invade Taiwan, and outlined the possible attack strategy.

The MND report noted that leaders in Beijing are concerned about the 2016 presidential elections in Taiwan. Tsai Ing-wen, the candidate for the opposition Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) is currently leading in the polls, and Beijing has not-so-fond memories of the previous DPP president, Chen Shui-bian. The MND suggested that recent PLA drills seeming to simulate an attack on Taipei, Taiwan’s capital, were a direct result of Beijing’s worries.

The report said that Beijing might decide to invade Taiwan under a number of circumstances: if Taiwan declares independence or takes steps toward de jure independence; if Taiwan obtains nuclear weapons; if foreign troops are deployed in Taiwan; if there is extreme civil unrest or other internal chaos in Taiwan; if foreign forces interfere in Taiwan’s affairs; or if Taiwan delays cross-strait negotiations on eventual reunification.

In 2005, when Beijing was concerned about the possibility of a move toward Taiwanese independence under President Chen, it passed an “Anti-Secession Law,” which made it clear that Beijing will use “non-peaceful means” if it believes that Taiwan is moving toward independence. The law also allows for the use of force against Taiwan if “possibilities for a peaceful re-unification should be completely exhausted.” It’s that last point that has always worried Taiwan’s leaders – the possibility that Beijing could order an invasion simply because it believes talks on reunification are going nowhere.

As for how China would attack Taiwan, the MND said the PLA would probably use a combination of military threats and a blockade against Taiwan to intimidate Taiwanese. Then Beijing would move to use missiles against Taiwan’s military and political centers. According to the MND, the PLA’s Second Artillery Crops currently has 1,500 missiles deployed against Taiwan. After missile attacks, the PLA would use both aircraft and amphibious vehicles to mount an actual invasion.

Nothing new.

Of course China could try to invade Taiwan.

If China really, really wants to destroy its own economy, and watch its Navy get totally trashed.

China might even succeed in taking Taiwan.....but again their economy would be trashed.

Could happen- good thing Taiwan has been expecting it since 1947.
 
This is why it was an excellent decision by the Obama administration to get us out of the religious madness in the middle east and shift our foreign policy towards the far east.

? What?!
You didn't know? I thought it was common knowledge.

East Asian foreign policy of the Barack Obama administration - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

From your link

Additional focus was placed on the region with the Obama administration's 2012 "Pivot to East Asia" regional strategy,[3]whose key areas of actions are: "strengthening bilateral security alliances; deepening our working relationships with emerging powers, including with China; engaging with regional multilateral institutions; expanding trade and investment; forging a broad-based military presence; and advancing democracy and human rights."[4] A report by the Brookings Institution states that reactions to the pivot strategy were mixed, as "different Asian states responded to American rebalancing in different ways."[3]

There has been strong perception from China that all of these are part of US' China containment policy.[5] Proponents of this theory claim that the United States needs a weak, divided China to continue its hegemony in Asia. This is accomplished, the theory claims, by the United States establishing military, economic, and diplomatic ties with countries adjacent to China's borders.

East Asian foreign policy of the Barack Obama administration - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Yes the "pivot to east asia" has been widely reported.
 
This is why it was an excellent decision by the Obama administration to get us out of the religious madness in the middle east and shift our foreign policy towards the far east.

? What?!
You didn't know? I thought it was common knowledge.

East Asian foreign policy of the Barack Obama administration - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

From your link

Additional focus was placed on the region with the Obama administration's 2012 "Pivot to East Asia" regional strategy,[3]whose key areas of actions are: "strengthening bilateral security alliances; deepening our working relationships with emerging powers, including with China; engaging with regional multilateral institutions; expanding trade and investment; forging a broad-based military presence; and advancing democracy and human rights."[4] A report by the Brookings Institution states that reactions to the pivot strategy were mixed, as "different Asian states responded to American rebalancing in different ways."[3]

There has been strong perception from China that all of these are part of US' China containment policy.[5] Proponents of this theory claim that the United States needs a weak, divided China to continue its hegemony in Asia. This is accomplished, the theory claims, by the United States establishing military, economic, and diplomatic ties with countries adjacent to China's borders.

East Asian foreign policy of the Barack Obama administration - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Yes the "pivot to east asia" has been widely reported.
 
Unlike Jesus....China cannot walk on water

Is that why China has built artificial islands in the waters there --> to put their military bases on?

10-china-artificial-island.jpg

Seriously? That island is within the red dots- note where Taiwan is. Why would China build an airbase further away from Taiwan than China is - to invade Taiwan?

They are projecting power towards the Philippines and Malaysia.

 
Unlike Jesus....China cannot walk on water

Is that why China has built artificial islands in the waters there --> to put their military bases on?

10-china-artificial-island.jpg

I count 6 ships...It would take thousands of ships to invade Taiwan

Most of which would be sunk

Why would China suffer so many casualties and suffer from global economic sanctions to take an Island they haven't had for 65 years?
 
This is a recent article on the concerns Taiwan has about a Chinese invasion /takeover of their nation. China has been making provocative moves in that region for some time leading people to believe that a Taiwan invasion is what they are planning. How close is it?

thediplomat_2015-09-02_16-41-33-386x257.jpg




6 Reasons China Would Invade Taiwan
By Shannon Tiezzi
September 03, 2015

Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense submitted its 2015 report on mainland China’s military to the Taiwanese legislature yesterday. The report noted a variety of scenarios under which China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) might invade Taiwan, and outlined the possible attack strategy.

The MND report noted that leaders in Beijing are concerned about the 2016 presidential elections in Taiwan. Tsai Ing-wen, the candidate for the opposition Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) is currently leading in the polls, and Beijing has not-so-fond memories of the previous DPP president, Chen Shui-bian. The MND suggested that recent PLA drills seeming to simulate an attack on Taipei, Taiwan’s capital, were a direct result of Beijing’s worries.

The report said that Beijing might decide to invade Taiwan under a number of circumstances: if Taiwan declares independence or takes steps toward de jure independence; if Taiwan obtains nuclear weapons; if foreign troops are deployed in Taiwan; if there is extreme civil unrest or other internal chaos in Taiwan; if foreign forces interfere in Taiwan’s affairs; or if Taiwan delays cross-strait negotiations on eventual reunification.

In 2005, when Beijing was concerned about the possibility of a move toward Taiwanese independence under President Chen, it passed an “Anti-Secession Law,” which made it clear that Beijing will use “non-peaceful means” if it believes that Taiwan is moving toward independence. The law also allows for the use of force against Taiwan if “possibilities for a peaceful re-unification should be completely exhausted.” It’s that last point that has always worried Taiwan’s leaders – the possibility that Beijing could order an invasion simply because it believes talks on reunification are going nowhere.

As for how China would attack Taiwan, the MND said the PLA would probably use a combination of military threats and a blockade against Taiwan to intimidate Taiwanese. Then Beijing would move to use missiles against Taiwan’s military and political centers. According to the MND, the PLA’s Second Artillery Crops currently has 1,500 missiles deployed against Taiwan. After missile attacks, the PLA would use both aircraft and amphibious vehicles to mount an actual invasion.

Nothing new.

Of course China could try to invade Taiwan.

If China really, really wants to destroy its own economy, and watch its Navy get totally trashed.

China might even succeed in taking Taiwan.....but again their economy would be trashed.

Could happen- good thing Taiwan has been expecting it since 1947.

If China has the strongest economy in the world how would invading Taiwan trash their economy?

Forbes Welcome
China's Now The World Number One Economy And It Doesn't Matter
FOLLOW ON FORBES
 
Unlike Jesus....China cannot walk on water

Is that why China has built artificial islands in the waters there --> to put their military bases on?

10-china-artificial-island.jpg

Seriously? That island is within the red dots- note where Taiwan is. Why would China build an airbase further away from Taiwan than China is - to invade Taiwan?

They are projecting power towards the Philippines and Malaysia.


You are mistaken.
 
This is a recent article on the concerns Taiwan has about a Chinese invasion /takeover of their nation. China has been making provocative moves in that region for some time leading people to believe that a Taiwan invasion is what they are planning. How close is it?

thediplomat_2015-09-02_16-41-33-386x257.jpg




6 Reasons China Would Invade Taiwan
By Shannon Tiezzi
September 03, 2015

Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense submitted its 2015 report on mainland China’s military to the Taiwanese legislature yesterday. The report noted a variety of scenarios under which China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) might invade Taiwan, and outlined the possible attack strategy.

The MND report noted that leaders in Beijing are concerned about the 2016 presidential elections in Taiwan. Tsai Ing-wen, the candidate for the opposition Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) is currently leading in the polls, and Beijing has not-so-fond memories of the previous DPP president, Chen Shui-bian. The MND suggested that recent PLA drills seeming to simulate an attack on Taipei, Taiwan’s capital, were a direct result of Beijing’s worries.

The report said that Beijing might decide to invade Taiwan under a number of circumstances: if Taiwan declares independence or takes steps toward de jure independence; if Taiwan obtains nuclear weapons; if foreign troops are deployed in Taiwan; if there is extreme civil unrest or other internal chaos in Taiwan; if foreign forces interfere in Taiwan’s affairs; or if Taiwan delays cross-strait negotiations on eventual reunification.

In 2005, when Beijing was concerned about the possibility of a move toward Taiwanese independence under President Chen, it passed an “Anti-Secession Law,” which made it clear that Beijing will use “non-peaceful means” if it believes that Taiwan is moving toward independence. The law also allows for the use of force against Taiwan if “possibilities for a peaceful re-unification should be completely exhausted.” It’s that last point that has always worried Taiwan’s leaders – the possibility that Beijing could order an invasion simply because it believes talks on reunification are going nowhere.

As for how China would attack Taiwan, the MND said the PLA would probably use a combination of military threats and a blockade against Taiwan to intimidate Taiwanese. Then Beijing would move to use missiles against Taiwan’s military and political centers. According to the MND, the PLA’s Second Artillery Crops currently has 1,500 missiles deployed against Taiwan. After missile attacks, the PLA would use both aircraft and amphibious vehicles to mount an actual invasion.

Nothing new.

Of course China could try to invade Taiwan.

If China really, really wants to destroy its own economy, and watch its Navy get totally trashed.

China might even succeed in taking Taiwan.....but again their economy would be trashed.

Could happen- good thing Taiwan has been expecting it since 1947.

If China has the strongest economy in the world how would invading Taiwan trash their economy?

Forbes Welcome

What makes you think that China has the 'strongest economy' in the world? Have you been paying attention to the economy in China recently.

China's economy is tremendously reliant on imports and exports- imports of raw materials- exports of finished goods. China gets into a shooting war in the Pacific- and that stops.

Why? For several reasons- one is Taiwanese companies control many of the steamship lines. Secondly no one is going to send an expensive cargo ship into a war zone because no Marine Insurer will insure it.

China's economy is very shallow and very dependent on imports- such as oil- and exports to say- the United States. All that would stop almost instantly- except for China flagged ships, every other cargo ship enroute to China would be diverted. Ships in China would likely be seized by China- but they would have nowhere to go.

It would be economic suicide.
 
Unlike Jesus....China cannot walk on water

Is that why China has built artificial islands in the waters there --> to put their military bases on?

10-china-artificial-island.jpg

I count 6 ships...It would take thousands of ships to invade Taiwan

Most of which would be sunk

Why would China suffer so many casualties and suffer from global economic sanctions to take an Island they haven't had for 65 years?

Economic sanctions from whom? America will be destroyed - Russia will do a nuclear strike on us when we respond to the Chinese invasion of Taiwan. Exactly who is going to bring global economic sanctions on China? Please name that nation. This ought to be interesting.
 
Unlike Jesus....China cannot walk on water

Is that why China has built artificial islands in the waters there --> to put their military bases on?

10-china-artificial-island.jpg

Seriously? That island is within the red dots- note where Taiwan is. Why would China build an airbase further away from Taiwan than China is - to invade Taiwan?

They are projecting power towards the Philippines and Malaysia.


You are mistaken.

You are the one who shows us a picture of an airbase hundreds of miles farther away from Taiwan- as evidence that China is preparing for war with Taiwan.

Your ignorance of the region and the subject seems pretty on par with your knowledge of everything else.
 

Forum List

Back
Top