Bombshell: Koch-Funded Study Finds ‘Global Warming Is Real’, ‘On The High End’ And ‘E

[ScienceRocks]

Bombshell: Koch-Funded Study Finds ‘Global Warming Is Real’, ‘On The High End’ And ‘Essentially All’ Due To Carbon Pollution

By Joe Romm on Jul 28, 2012 at 5:31 pm

The Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature Study (BEST) is poised to release its findings next week on the cause of recent global warming.

UPDATE (9 pm): A NY Times op-ed by Richard Muller, BEST’s Founder and Scientific Director, has been published, “The Conversion of a Climate-Change Skeptic.”

Here is the money graf:

"Call me a converted skeptic. Three years ago I identified problems in previous climate studies that, in my mind, threw doubt on the very existence of global warming. Last year, following an intensive research effort involving a dozen scientists, I concluded that global warming was real and that the prior estimates of the rate of warming were correct. I’m now going a step further: Humans are almost entirely the cause."
Yes, yes, I know, the finding itself is “dog bites man.” What makes this “man bites dog” is that Muller has been a skeptic of climate science, and the single biggest funder of this study is the “Charles G. Koch Charitable Foundation ($150,000).” The Kochs are the leading funder of climate disinformation in the world!

It gets better:

"Our results show that the average temperature of the earth’s land has risen by two and a half degrees Fahrenheit over the past 250 years, including an increase of one and a half degrees over the most recent 50 years. Moreover, it appears likely that essentially all of this increase results from the human emission of greenhouse gases.

These findings are stronger than those of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the United Nations group that defines the scientific and diplomatic consensus on global warming."
In short, a Koch-funded study has found that the IPCC “consensus” underestimated both the rate of surface warming and how much could be attributed to human emissions!

Bombshell: Koch-Funded Study Finds 'Global Warming Is Real', 'On The High End' And 'Essentially All' Due To Carbon Pollution | ThinkProgress

 

[skookerasbil]

Amen!!!


At the end of the day, money chasers are money chasers. Thats how they got to be money chasers


Outside of this forum and a few dozen others, nobody cares.

 

[CrusaderFrank]

Consensus =/= science

 

[IanC]

not this again! science by press release.

does this mean that the BEST papers have made it through peer review and will be published? I hope they have better luck than some of the other AGW papers of late. I wonder if the BEST paper on Urban Heat Island effect still claims that cities decrease the temperature!

this should be fun, grab your popcorn. WUWT is releasing a statement at 12:00 PST, presumably about this.

 

[IanC]

oh, and for anybody that believes that Muller was ever a sceptic, just watch any of his videos on YouTube. he has always agreed with the IPCC, and his only sceptical act was condemning Michael Mann and the Hockey Stick graph.

 

[CrusaderFrank]

Remember when Einstein and Newton called for consensus on their theories?

 

[whitehall]

You almost gotta laugh at the qualifiers in the alleged scientific study. "I concluded"... "and now I'm going a step further". The lame statement that "humans are almost entirely" is an ignorant use of the word "entirely". The lefties threw the Kotch foundation to bolster the same old crap in a different wrapper.

 

[CrusaderFrank]

AGW is the greatest fraud in human history.

 

[RollingThunder]

AGW is the greatest fraud in human history.

No amount of facts, scientific research or even obvious widespread changes in climate patterns will ever convince you poor deluded and brainwashed denier cult retards.

 

[BDBoop]

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/30/o...imate-change-skeptic.html?_r=2&pagewanted=all

Home|BerkeleyEarth.org

These findings are stronger than those of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the United Nations group that defines the scientific and diplomatic consensus on global warming. In its 2007 report, the I.P.C.C. concluded only that most of the warming of the prior 50 years could be attributed to humans. It was possible, according to the I.P.C.C. consensus statement, that the warming before 1956 could be because of changes in solar activity, and that even a substantial part of the more recent warming could be natural.

Our Berkeley Earth approach used sophisticated statistical methods developed largely by our lead scientist, Robert Rohde, which allowed us to determine earth land temperature much further back in time. We carefully studied issues raised by skeptics: biases from urban heating (we duplicated our results using rural data alone), from data selection (prior groups selected fewer than 20 percent of the available temperature stations; we used virtually 100 percent), from poor station quality (we separately analyzed good stations and poor ones) and from human intervention and data adjustment (our work is completely automated and hands-off). In our papers we demonstrate that none of these potentially troublesome effects unduly biased our conclusions.

The historic temperature pattern we observed has abrupt dips that match the emissions of known explosive volcanic eruptions; the particulates from such events reflect sunlight, make for beautiful sunsets and cool the earth’s surface for a few years. There are small, rapid variations attributable to El Niño and other ocean currents such as the Gulf Stream; because of such oscillations, the “flattening” of the recent temperature rise that some people claim is not, in our view, statistically significant. What has caused the gradual but systematic rise of two and a half degrees? We tried fitting the shape to simple math functions (exponentials, polynomials), to solar activity and even to rising functions like world population. By far the best match was to the record of atmospheric carbon dioxide, measured from atmospheric samples and air trapped in polar ice.

Just as important, our record is long enough that we could search for the fingerprint of solar variability, based on the historical record of sunspots. That fingerprint is absent. Although the I.P.C.C. allowed for the possibility that variations in sunlight could have ended the “Little Ice Age,” a period of cooling from the 14th century to about 1850, our data argues strongly that the temperature rise of the past 250 years cannot be attributed to solar changes. This conclusion is, in retrospect, not too surprising; we’ve learned from satellite measurements that solar activity changes the brightness of the sun very little.

 

[whitehall]

The Koch foundation throws a "climate study" group a piddling $150,000 and the left calls the findings a "bombshell" and adds all kinds of opinion based nonsense disguised as "science". Talk about outsourcing. It shows how desperate the left is to ruin the US with an international extortion scheme.

 

[Oddball]

These findings are stronger than those of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change,

Given that the findings of the IPCC have been determined to be horribly flawed at best, and outright fraudulent at worst, it wouldn't take much reputed "strength".

 

[skookerasbil]

AGW is the greatest fraud in human history.

No amount of facts, scientific research or even obvious widespread changes in climate patterns will ever convince you poor deluded and brainwashed denier cult retards.

 

[skookerasbil]

 

[CrusaderFrank]

AGW is the greatest fraud in human history.

No amount of facts, scientific research or even obvious widespread changes in climate patterns will ever convince you poor deluded and brainwashed denier cult retards.

The jet stream heads north making it hot in NY and you stupid fucks go, "See that! Manmade global warming!!" Absolute total scientific fraud.

Not a shred of science in that stupid nonsense

 

[RollingThunder]

These findings are stronger than those of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change,

Given that the findings of the IPCC have been determined to be horribly flawed at best, and outright fraudulent at worst, it wouldn't take much reputed "strength".

LOLOLOLOL....."determined"????.....by who exactly, screwball???....Rush Limpdick???....you are such a retard!!!!

Parroting the insane myths of your bamboozled little cult of denial doesn't actually change the facts about the worldwide agreement among actual climate scientists and scientists in general regarding the reality and dangers of anthropogenic global warming/climate change. The finding of the IPCC just reflect that agreement, which is objectively based on the results of many decades of intensive research by many tens of thousands of scientists all around the world.

It is the lies, propaganda and misinformation that the fossil fuel industry spews and you retards in their astro-turfed cult of reality denial parrot, that have been determined by many competent scientists to be "outright fraudulent", but you and the other cultists are far too brainwashed to understand that fact, no matter how much evidence you're given.

 

[daveman]

Bombshell: Koch-Funded Study Finds ‘Global Warming Is Real’, ‘On The High End’ And ‘Essentially All’ Due To Carbon Pollution

By Joe Romm on Jul 28, 2012 at 5:31 pm

The Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature Study (BEST) is poised to release its findings next week on the cause of recent global warming.

UPDATE (9 pm): A NY Times op-ed by Richard Muller, BEST’s Founder and Scientific Director, has been published, “The Conversion of a Climate-Change Skeptic.”

Here is the money graf:

"Call me a converted skeptic. Three years ago I identified problems in previous climate studies that, in my mind, threw doubt on the very existence of global warming. Last year, following an intensive research effort involving a dozen scientists, I concluded that global warming was real and that the prior estimates of the rate of warming were correct. I’m now going a step further: Humans are almost entirely the cause."
Yes, yes, I know, the finding itself is “dog bites man.” What makes this “man bites dog” is that Muller has been a skeptic of climate science, and the single biggest funder of this study is the “Charles G. Koch Charitable Foundation ($150,000).” The Kochs are the leading funder of climate disinformation in the world!

It gets better:

"Our results show that the average temperature of the earth’s land has risen by two and a half degrees Fahrenheit over the past 250 years, including an increase of one and a half degrees over the most recent 50 years. Moreover, it appears likely that essentially all of this increase results from the human emission of greenhouse gases.

These findings are stronger than those of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the United Nations group that defines the scientific and diplomatic consensus on global warming."
In short, a Koch-funded study has found that the IPCC “consensus” underestimated both the rate of surface warming and how much could be attributed to human emissions!

Bombshell: Koch-Funded Study Finds 'Global Warming Is Real', 'On The High End' And 'Essentially All' Due To Carbon Pollution | ThinkProgress

Muller's a liar when he calls himself a skeptic. Everything he says can safely be dismissed.

 

[flacaltenn]

The BEST study DOES appear to be much better at first glance because it shows all the stuff we told the Warmers was missing from the IPCC historical data. On that -- we've been vindicated and Mann now has a striped jumpsuit.

But the spin has already started and BEST folks are pulling the same shit with TSI not being an issue because of "solar cycles" and sunspot activity when ALL the better studies confirm a greater than 1W/m2 steady increase in TSI over the past 200 yrs. AND -- that's about 1/2 of the increase that needs to be explained right there.

Dismiss it without a WORD about thermal time constants of the ocean and land? I don't think so -- that stinks right there.

 

[Old Rocks]

Bombshell: Koch-Funded Study Finds ‘Global Warming Is Real’, ‘On The High End’ And ‘Essentially All’ Due To Carbon Pollution

By Joe Romm on Jul 28, 2012 at 5:31 pm

The Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature Study (BEST) is poised to release its findings next week on the cause of recent global warming.

UPDATE (9 pm): A NY Times op-ed by Richard Muller, BEST’s Founder and Scientific Director, has been published, “The Conversion of a Climate-Change Skeptic.”

Here is the money graf:

"Call me a converted skeptic. Three years ago I identified problems in previous climate studies that, in my mind, threw doubt on the very existence of global warming. Last year, following an intensive research effort involving a dozen scientists, I concluded that global warming was real and that the prior estimates of the rate of warming were correct. I’m now going a step further: Humans are almost entirely the cause."
Yes, yes, I know, the finding itself is “dog bites man.” What makes this “man bites dog” is that Muller has been a skeptic of climate science, and the single biggest funder of this study is the “Charles G. Koch Charitable Foundation ($150,000).” The Kochs are the leading funder of climate disinformation in the world!

It gets better:

"Our results show that the average temperature of the earth’s land has risen by two and a half degrees Fahrenheit over the past 250 years, including an increase of one and a half degrees over the most recent 50 years. Moreover, it appears likely that essentially all of this increase results from the human emission of greenhouse gases.

These findings are stronger than those of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the United Nations group that defines the scientific and diplomatic consensus on global warming."
In short, a Koch-funded study has found that the IPCC “consensus” underestimated both the rate of surface warming and how much could be attributed to human emissions!

Bombshell: Koch-Funded Study Finds 'Global Warming Is Real', 'On The High End' And 'Essentially All' Due To Carbon Pollution | ThinkProgress

Muller's a liar when he calls himself a skeptic. Everything he says can safely be dismissed.

Lot's of flap yap and nothing at all to back it up. You are firing blanks, Davey Boy.

 

[daveman]

Bombshell: Koch-Funded Study Finds ‘Global Warming Is Real’, ‘On The High End’ And ‘Essentially All’ Due To Carbon Pollution

By Joe Romm on Jul 28, 2012 at 5:31 pm


Bombshell: Koch-Funded Study Finds 'Global Warming Is Real', 'On The High End' And 'Essentially All' Due To Carbon Pollution | ThinkProgress

Muller's a liar when he calls himself a skeptic. Everything he says can safely be dismissed.

Lot's of flap yap and nothing at all to back it up. You are firing blanks, Davey Boy.

Really?

In a 2004 Technology Review article,[9] Muller supported the findings of Stephen McIntyre and Ross McKitrick in which they criticized the research, led by Michael E. Mann, which produced the so-called "hockey stick graph" of global temperatures over the past millennium, on the grounds that it did not do proper principal component analysis (PCA).[10] In the article, Richard Muller stated:

McIntyre and McKitrick obtained part of the program that Mann used, and they found serious problems. Not only does the program not do conventional PCA, but it handles data normalization in a way that can only be described as mistaken.

Now comes the real shocker. This improper normalization procedure tends to emphasize any data that do have the hockey stick shape, and to suppress all data that do not. To demonstrate this effect, McIntyre and McKitrick created some meaningless test data that had, on average, no trends. This method of generating random data is called "Monte Carlo" analysis, after the famous casino, and it is widely used in statistical analysis to test procedures. When McIntyre and McKitrick fed these random data into the Mann procedure, out popped a hockey stick shape!

That discovery hit me like a bombshell, and I suspect it is having the same effect on many others. Suddenly the hockey stick, the poster-child of the global warming community, turns out to be an artifact of poor mathematics. How could it happen?[9]​

He went on to state "If you are concerned about global warming (as I am) and think that human-created carbon dioxide may contribute (as I do), then you still should agree that we are much better off having broken the hockey stick. Misinformation can do real harm, because it distorts predictions." Muller's statements were widely quoted on skeptical blogs, and his status as a believer in global warming made his criticism of the "hockey stick" particularly damaging. In response, Mann criticized Muller on his blog RealClimate.[11] Marcel Crok, a reporter for the Dutch popular science magazine Natuurwetenschap & Techniek, later did a story on the incident.[12]​

Now tell us the AGW believer didn't say what he said.