60% or whatever will increase because police will monitor blacks more closely than whites because blacks are committing more crimes than whites. Then the 60% becomes 70% then 80%.I think your 60% mark is overly generous and am guessing that we could probably and defensibly add 10 to 20 points to that, but your point is reasonable and well-taken.FBI Uniform Crime Reports contain race, arrests, prosecutions, and conviction. What is never reported is the actual number of crimes because we have no way of knowing. If we see 10 times as many arrest of blacks as whites in the reports we may assume blacks are committing 10 times the number crimes. That's an assumption and probably not a good one.Do we know the percentage of Black arrests that result in a conviction?According to a new report from the Center on Juvenile and Criminal Justice African-American women in San Francisco account for 50% of the female arrests, but only make up 6% of the female population. The study points out that arrest disparities are not the result of African-Americans committing more crimes. In fact, 2012 San Francisco arrest rates for black women were lower than any time over the last 30 years. You can read the full report here.
Black Women in San Francisco Are Nearly 50 of City s Female Arrests and Only 6 of the Female Population Alternet
This thread is dedicated to arrest disproportions among black and non-black female residents of San Francisco. Everybody knows it is dangerous to be a black man when it comes to police-suspect negotiations. Turns out, black women can be a target of police's prejudice, as well.
Some of you will say Afro-Americans are more inclined to crime and therefore get what they deserve from police officers all around the country. I believe it was the case in Baltimore and Ferguson. However, it is clearly stated in the article that "arrest disparities are not the result of African-Americans committing more crimes". What is the reason for that if not stereotypical depiction of African-Americans?
Do we know the percentage of non-Black arrests that result in a conviction?
Those numbers should tell us something.
Also...
I'm not sure that I trust an AlterNet article published by a SanFran NPO whose mission is to reduce the reliance upon incarceration as a remedy for social problems - not that that isn't an admirable goal - but they have far too big a dog in that fight, to be taken seriously, as an objective observer and analyst.
Police will always monitor more closely groups that are known to commit more crime. That's good police work but it skews the data. In other words we tend to find what we look for. So if we look harder at blacks because we know they commit more crime that whites, we will make more black arrests than looking equally at blacks and whites.. And the more arrests we make, the more we focus on blacks. Thus you may have 60% of the actual crimes being committed by blacks but because police are focusing on blacks, we may have 85% black arrests, good police work but skewed statistics.