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Hmmm... seems your 'reality' doesn't jive with the experts...
Michael Berry and Ken Bickers of the University of Colorado System Predict Romney to Win 320 Electoral Votes in November | TheBlaze.com
Why Romney Will Win | RealClearPolitics
LOL Carter was leading as well. At least according to the polls.
As I recall Reagan won in a landslide.
Food for thought to all those poll watchers.
At this stage (around September 11) in the polls, Republican candidates are generally behind. Reagan was substantially behind Carter. George H.W. Bush was 20 points behind Dukakis. It was virtually a dead heat in September 2000 between Bush and Gore. In 2004, with memories of 9/11 being run on TV, Bush was ahead of Kerry by 10 pts, but the gap rapidly closed to a statistical dead heat by late October.
All this is to say that the polling reflects people's gut feelings at any given point in time and are widely influenced by the demographics polled as well as the time of day the poll is taken, but the polls very often do not translate to election results, most especially this far out from the election.
I agree. Good post.
Carter was leading till Reagan won in a landslide.
One of the reasons I don't pay any attention to polls.
They aren't worth the time it take to do em in my book. Way to many variables.
I'll wait for Nov to see who's really ahead. LOL
Yes, the pollsters with less integrity are unable to keep up the illusion that Obama is substantially winning the popular vote overall, so they are now focused on giving him an advantage in the swing states and trying to convince us all that it is already a done deal in the electoral college.
Yes, the pollsters with less integrity are unable to keep up the illusion that Obama is substantially winning the popular vote overall, so they are now focused on giving him an advantage in the swing states and trying to convince us all that it is already a done deal in the electoral college.
The Electoral College is all that ever mattered. The fact that there are folks focusing on it isn't because they've given up on the national poll results, it's because the national poll results never actually mattered.
By Dick Morris
At this stage (around September 11) in the polls, Republican candidates are generally behind. Reagan was substantially behind Carter. George H.W. Bush was 20 points behind Dukakis. It was virtually a dead heat in September 2000 between Bush and Gore. In 2004, with memories of 9/11 being run on TV, Bush was ahead of Kerry by 10 pts, but the gap rapidly closed to a statistical dead heat by late October.
All this is to say that the polling reflects people's gut feelings at any given point in time and are widely influenced by the demographics polled as well as the time of day the poll is taken, but the polls very often do not translate to election results, most especially this far out from the election.
I agree. Good post.
Carter was leading till Reagan won in a landslide.
One of the reasons I don't pay any attention to polls.
They aren't worth the time it take to do em in my book. Way to many variables.
I'll wait for Nov to see who's really ahead. LOL
Yes, the pollsters with less integrity are unable to keep up the illusion that Obama is substantially winning the popular vote overall, so they are now focused on giving him an advantage in the swing states and trying to convince us all that it is already a done deal in the electoral college.
The Electoral College is all that ever mattered. The fact that there are folks focusing on it isn't because they've given up on the national poll results, it's because the national poll results never actually mattered.
Im just wondering how many times Im going to be posting up THIS...................
.........in here on election night!!!
Why Romney Will Win | RealClearPolitics
Clicked on the link above. First thing I see:
By Dick Morris
That made me feel a bit better about November. Dick Morris hasn't been right about shit for quite a while, if ever.
Well, where you at boy?We can make it interesting if you have the 'nads for it:
I have this bet already with Tea Party Samurai
If Obama wins, you change your sig line to, "All hail President Obama, your President, my President, our President."
If Governor Romney wins, I change my sig line to, ""All hail President Romney, your President, my President, our President."
Blue font, bold face, size 3.
And we each agree to leave it there until 1/1/13.
Do we have a deal?
Man, I'd love to see a whole bunch of these bets. I wonder why there have been so few, especially given the amount of people already taking their victory lap.
Gosh, I wonder...
.
Because the chest thumpers on the right refuse to put anything on the line other than hot air.
They've been challenged over and over and over when they get like this but when push comes to shove they almost always refuse to accept the wager.
It speaks volumes about their confidence heading into the election.
Romney is done for.