It seems to me that Jeb Bush has the inside track for the GOP nomination. He seems to project both the experience and temperament to be President. Any family "dynasty" issue would be canceled by Hillary's nomination, and Bush 43's foreign policy is looking better and better. His potential appeal to Hispanic voters is an added bonus and, by election time, conservatives will realize that, for them, any GOP President would be better than Hillary.
Hillary's once certain prospects for the Democratic nomination are showing cracks in that edifice. The steady drip of "Emailgate" will eventually create electability doubts among her supporters and cement negative perceptions of her character among the undecided. Her greatest strength at this point is the lack of serious challengers. (Bernie Sanders could only be nominated if the Democrats give up like they did with Dukakis in 1984.)
Sorry if this sounds partisan, but it is not intended to be. At this point, I think both Jeb and Hillary have 60/40 chances of being nominated, and an even shot at being elected. Time will tell...
How do you handicap these races?
Hillary's once certain prospects for the Democratic nomination are showing cracks in that edifice. The steady drip of "Emailgate" will eventually create electability doubts among her supporters and cement negative perceptions of her character among the undecided. Her greatest strength at this point is the lack of serious challengers. (Bernie Sanders could only be nominated if the Democrats give up like they did with Dukakis in 1984.)
Sorry if this sounds partisan, but it is not intended to be. At this point, I think both Jeb and Hillary have 60/40 chances of being nominated, and an even shot at being elected. Time will tell...
How do you handicap these races?