This gets tiring Â….One more time for you folks from Both sides, who like to cling like rats to the slimmest thread ( pun intended) possible, or create your own alternate universe and expect us to saddle up the unicorns you have flying around in itÂ…..
The news orgs are very uneven, they are PARTISANÂ…get it? For instance CBS had Kerry winning by 5%, Obama winning by 11% and has a record of big time oversampling over the last year. My advice is, leave them alone.
Professional orgs. Like Gallup, Rasmussen make their entire living on polling. There fore each and every time they poll, their reputation is at stake. I would not give a hoot in hell for a Fox or CBS,NBC,ABC, WSJ or Wapo poll, period.
Pew is a little different as is Quinnipiac, as they tackle much broader issues and don’t perform many straight ‘popularity’ polls, yet they are very good sources when they do.
The larger the pool of samples the better, 5-600? Vs. 1500? ThatÂ’s a huge difference.
In addition, there are hard and fast rules, example- A= anonymous polling samples, the people they call are right out of the one book so to speak, and are the least dependable LV = likely voters, these are folks who ID themselves as a party and have IDed themselves as having voted, though they may or may NOT be registered at that present time, R= Registered voters, this is the most accurate polling sample, LV being right behind, these folks are registered and are a proven quantity so to speak, it is also the most expensive because you need to spend a lot of time going through the voting rolls, collecting information etc. etc etc...
I would advise you to look at the Ras/ gallup polls and average the both of those, the number to day marked for their polls of may 1-3 between Monday and todayÂ…Â…in fact because the news came out late Sunday I am willing to bet he still gets a mini bump in his gall and ras. May 4-7 polling.
GO here;
RealClearPolitics - Election Other - President Obama Job Approval
and look at the long history of the polling orgs and where they stack up, 57 from cbs means squat when they had him 3-4 points higher than gallup and Ras a all along, and now have him at 57 which blows people awayÂ….thats not 11 points and it aint accurate, period.
Poll Date Sample Approve Disapprove Spread
RCP Average 5/1 - 5/3 -- 51.0 43.1 +7.9
CBS News/NY Times 5/2 - 5/3 532 A 57 37 +20
Newsweek/Daily Beast 5/2 - 5/3 600 A 48 49 -1
Gallup 5/1 - 5/3 1500 A 50 42 +8
Rasmussen Reports 5/1 - 5/3 1500 LV 48 51 -3
CNN/Opinion Research 5/2 - 5/2 700 A 52 43 +9
SurveyUSA 5/2 - 5/2 1000 A 46 42 +4
Wash Post/Pew/SRBI 5/2 - 5/2 654 A 56 38 +18
RealClearPolitics - Election Other - President Obama Job Approval