I expect a more sigmoid progression like a kid on a slide with all kinds of toys and discarded apparel on the slide that he/she is ignoring. House districts are easier to count and are easier to call. Also because of the expected Fed rate hike the 3rd qtr GDP number will be lower than the number for the 2nd qtr so the just barely victorious 2016 R house members will take some losses. This will be the news for the first two time zones. The senate seat losses for the Ds will be mostly ignored until the mountain time poll closures start rolling in. It will not be possible to calculate how bad the Ds are hurt until the left coast is done but R senate cloture with no D votes is massive and the biggest prize available. A one to five seat majority in the house means that the D leadership cannot to offend anyone the Rs can stomach and will therefore find it very difficult to match the R incentives for D moderates to flip them into a majority. In other words the D activists will be very unhappy when all the consequences shake out.
