Let's think that through.
When you look at ACA market based coverage as a function of age. You have over 87.8% of users between the ages of 18 and 64. Those under 18 represent dependent children and those over 65 move to MediCare. Somewhere in the neiborhood of 20-25 million Americans.
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So when you have large numbers of people become uninsured what are the likely outcomes.
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#1 The number of uncompensated claimes increases. With ACA about 41%, of American carry medical debt, meaning many - a great many - are carrying medical debt even with having insurance. 65-70% of bankruptcies are tied to medical debt. With huge increasess in premiums the number of uninsured will greatly increase, with more people with substandard or no insurance the amount of medical debt and medical related backruptcies will likely increase.
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#2 When there are uncompensated medical care, for uninsured, underinsured, or that is discharged throug bankruptcy, that "uncompensated" amount falls back on the hospital and medical professionals that provide the care. If people can't pay the bills, the money dosen't just magically appear in the hospital and/or medical professionals books. The uncompensated costs are, and will be factored, into the costs of care has part of the overhead and applied to those that can pay either out of pocket or through insurance plans. That distribution of uncompensated costs increases the costs for everyone.
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#3 The premise behind insurance is that if you increase the pool of coverage, the costs of deliving health care to an individual are spread out. When you reduced the pool, especially when you squeeze out the younger healthier portion of the pool, the risk spreading is reduced and actually concentrated in those that have health issues (disabled, cronically ill, cancer patients, etc.) meaning the smaller pool if being used to cover higher cost (on an individual basis) individuals. Cost go up for those that remain in the pool.
And this isn't just the ACA "pool". Uncompensated care impacts not only the costs of providing care to ACA market place participants, it impacts the cost of employer insurance also. When uncompensated care is factored in by hospitals and medical professionals, that inheretly increases the cost of ALL plans.
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#4 Reduced access to care. An increase in uncompensated care, increases cost to hospitals and providers so what would the result of that be? No one can tell right? Incorrect, as uncompensated costs increase hospitals and care providers are squeezed out from delivering care. Hospitals can operate at a loss so for provide centers are closed, reducing access mostly to rural communities. That means to maintain any semblence of care, a greater strain is put on local communities and state resources to try to maintain some access to public option health services. So as private hospitals close, taxes go up to help fund the strain being placed on public resources.
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So to think that millions becoming uninsured doesn't impact them, I posit that it incorrect.
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State level data on Marketplace Plan Selections by Age from KFF, the leading health policy organization in the U.S.
www.kff.org