I had a good run betting when it is tight, exciting, close and more predictable games. DEN killed me in game 6,7? DAL killed me game 1 at BOS (did not even break 50 pts between both teams in QTR 2,3 after 57pts in Q1. DAL scored less than 25 in both Q2, Q3.
Up -down, ugly game. 49 missed shots by DAL I think? I lost every single bet. Not asking sympathy. I should have known better Game one, on the road. I needed DAL+7.5 over 207.5? If you grab those bets early, the odds are good, like 3:1. If you wait till it looks like a more sure it is more like 1:4, of course.
I had been riding high on INDY, OKC, DAL games. Even at times NY vs. PHI was well played, 50+ pt quarters.
Tonight, I would expect tighter, better game. Not sure that Pollack can hit 9-10 in the first 6 min again! He killed my spread bets. He killed DAL. I expect Jason Kidd to come up with better game plan.
But you NEVER feel sure betting NBA. Truly gambling. Betting on NFL (KC) goes better. All but OAK Tday game was predictable. I made out that Balt playoff game + SB. KC very very good to me. Even those games were far from certain. Took a turnover at the goal line to stop BALT.