What has the Iran war achieved, or more importantly, what was lost because of it?
1) the waterway was already open before the US carried out strikes on Iran. Tehran closed it in response to being attacked, and then the US initiated its
own blockade of Iranian ports near the waterway.
2) About a fifth of the world's energy supplies typically flow through the strait. The closure rocked global energy markets and sent prices skyrocketing, with some countries announcing price caps and
rationing measures. In the US, petrol prices reached near record highs.
3) The closure also led to Trump
lashing out at Nato, further alienating allies after they declined to support US efforts to reopen the waterway.
4) Iran's supreme leader
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in the initial salvo of strikes, along with other top officials, but the regime never collapsed and his son has taken over as titular leader.
5) According to the US, the conflict destroyed much of Iran's military might, with the Pentagon claiming
90 per cent of its navy as well as its weapons factories and defence industrial base had been eliminated. This is a hard claim to back up, however, and some US media outlets have reported that Iran was beginning to rebuild at a faster rate than anticipated.
6) The war has put a major dent in American defense stockpiles, with one analysis by the Centre for Strategic and International Studies saying the US may have used more than half of its prewar weapons stocks.
7) The Pentagon has touted new efforts to build up the defense industrial base - and has asked Congress for a
whopping $1.5 trillion budget for the next fiscal year.
8) The US has also said that the strikes on Iran have severely restricted its ability to support its proxy groups throughout the Middle East.
9) The Iran war has also illustrated that the US is unable - or unwilling - to rein in Israel, which also continues to violate the ceasefire in Gaza.
10) Back in the US, the war has become a major factor in a growing split in Trump's base. Popular
support for the war continues to decline, with a recent PBS/NPR/Marist poll showing that 22 per cent of Republicans disapprove, up from 15 per cent in March.
In addition:
11) Moody's Analytics estimates the war has cost U.S. consumers and taxpayers about $132 billion so far, and the meter is still running.
12) The most visible piece of that cost is higher energy prices, resulting from the near shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz. Gasoline prices, which averaged just under $3 a gallon when the war began, soared as high as $4.56 a gallon
Now, to the big question on why we bombed Iran this February:
and how much of this was true?
Daryl G. Kimball, executive director of the Arms Control Association, a nonpartisan organization that provides analysis on arms control and national security issues, told us that “it is clear that it would take Iran years to fully rebuild its enrichment plants” that were bombed in June 2025. “It is possible that Iran may have a very small number of operational centrifuges somewhere undisclosed,” Kimball said. “But it would still take months for a smaller number of centrifuges to accomplish what thousands of centrifuges at these major facilities could’ve done,” which would be to enrich small amounts of uranium to weapons-grade level and then turn it into metal to be used for a weapon. “It would take longer to fashion a nuclear explosive device.”
So now the question of the OP, was this bombing of Iran a win or a loss for us?