Ever looked up to see that big, warm, yellow thingamajig in the daytime sky?
I hear it told that it is 99.5% of the total mass of the entire solar system.
When it changes, we change.
Tell me, do you like displaying your ignorance publically? The TSI has been declining as of late, but we are still warming.
Changed relation between sunspot numbers, solar UV/EUV radiation and TSI during the declining phase of solar cycle 23
Abstract
We study the mutual relation of sunspot numbers and several proxies of solar UV/EUV radiation, such as the F10.7 radio flux, the HeI 1083 nm equivalent width and the solar MgII core-to-wing ratio. It has been noted earlier that the relation between these solar activity parameters changed in 2001/2002, during a large enhancement of solar activity in the early declining phase of solar cycle 23. This enhancement (the secondary peak after the Gnevyshev gap) forms the maximum of solar UV/EUV parameters during solar cycle 23. We note that the changed mutual relation between sunspot numbers and UV/EUV proxies continues systematically during the whole declining phase of solar cycle 23, with the UV/EUV proxies attaining relatively larger values for the same sunspot number than during the several decennia prior to this time. We have also verified this evolution using the indirect solar UV/EUV proxy given by a globally averaged f0(F2) frequency of the ionospheric F2 layer. We also note of a simultaneous, systematic change in the relation between the sunspot numbers and the total solar irradiance, which follow an exceptionally steep relation leading to a new minimum. Our results suggest that the reduction of sunspot magnetic fields (probably photospheric fields in general), started quite abruptly in 2001/2002. While these changes do not similarly affect the chromospheric UV/EUV emissions,
the TSI suffers an even more dramatic reduction, which cannot be understood in terms of the photospheric field reduction only. However, the changes in TSI are seen to be simultaneous to those in sunspots, so most likely being due to the same ultimate cause.
So, while the TSI, total solar irradiance is declining, we get 9 of the 10 warmest years on record. So the sun is not a factor in the increasing heat here on earth. And since that heat is controlled by two factors, how much energy we get from the sun, and how much of that energy we retain, something has changed in the way we retain heat. And that is the amount of heat retaining gases in the atmosphere. We have added 40% more CO2, 250% more CH4, and a bunch of industrial gases which have no natural analog. Some of which are thousands of times as effective GHGs as CO2.