Calypso Jones
Diamond Member
- Jul 11, 2020
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Wayne Root's story is nearly IMPOSSIBLE to explain if the vaccines are safe
Government figures are hard to verify. But personal anecdotes that you hear over and over are hard to ignore. One of the most stunning anecdotes I've heard recently is from talk show host Wayne Root.
stevekirsch.substack.com
His numbers are from his passive observations in the last 8 months. He never did any outreach or methodical surveys. So there may be some additional deaths and injuries he didn’t report. He isn’t going to proactively research this.
Wayne estimates 70% of his 200 guests were unvaccinated, but that’s just a guess.
I think he’s overestimating that. Around 25% of America is unvaxxed. All my liberal friends are vaxxed. So the vax rate for conservatives should be around 50% so I’m going to go with that; it’s probably close enough. It’s conservative. It gives the vaccine the best stats.
So we have:
200 guests at Wayne Root’s wedding
- 100 vaxxed
- 100 unvaxed
Among the vaxxed:
- 26 seriously injured
- 7 dead
- 0 injured
- 0 dead
So what are the chances of that happening by chance if the vaccines are as safe as Pfizer claimed in the clinical trials (they told the FDA it was perfectly safe and that there were fewer serious adverse events than placebo: See page 22)?
If we go with the populations being the same in terms of health, using a Poisson distribution we find that the injuries (26 vs 0) are a 6 sigma event (you’ll only hear a story like this twice in the entire history of human beings) and the deaths (7 vs 0) are a 2.6 sigma event (less than 1% of the stories).
In short, Wayne’s anecdote was very unlikely to be just bad luck.
So if you trust the source of the anecdote (which I do after talking at length with Wayne), it’s virtually certain the vaccines are very unsafe using just this one anecdote alone.
That is how powerful anecdotes are.
A single verifiable anecdote, without any confounders or biases that could otherwise explain the result, can be extremely powerful.
Of course there are always biases and confounders which is why scientists like randomized controlled trials, but these have their own sets of problems because they can be gamed like the Pfizer and Moderna trials. Pfizer even admitted they defrauded the government in Federal court! So we can’t rely on the Phase 3 trial data.
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