If she didn't have a real case, then why is she at the Supreme Court at this point? And your confidence in an admissions department that is trying to cover its own backside is lacking in merit to say the least.
In each College, there is only X amount of Freshmen slots. by the information given in this suit so far, Fischer was denied a spot, but someone who go help in their score because of their race got in. That is the crux of the lawsuit, and the only real question in this matter.
That's perhaps a much better question than the one suggested by the OP. It's certainly the question that was foremost in Justice Kennedy's (the Justice who replaced Justice O'Connor) mind when he remarked that the Court is again hearing the same case with no new content.
That said, I still do not see that Miss Fisher failed to gain admission to UT Austin because of her race. The university generates two-component "mark" (word I have chosen to provide linguistic distinction from high school test "scores" and SAT test "scores") for applicants not admitted under the "Top 10" program: (1) school grades and standardized testing grade/scores and (2) a personal achievement index which is based on several things, among them race, the quality of thought and composition in two essays, socioeconomic status, leadership, activities, service, the student's being from a single parent home, and the student's being from a home where English isn't spoken.
Using that mark:
- The university offered admission to 42 students who had a lower mark than Miss Fisher.
- 168 Minority students with marks equal to or better than Miss Fisher were also denied admission.
Accordingly, it's very difficult to credibly assert that Miss Fisher was denied anything as a result of her race. The admissions process at any university is necessarily discriminatory....admissions personnel have to discriminate among whom they'll admit and whom they will not. Some applicants are discriminated for and receive admission and some are discriminated against it and are denied admission. Thus the question at issue here, thus why the Court may be taking up the matter, isn't really about Miss Fisher, but rather about whether the equal protection clause of the 14th Amendment allows race to be used as a reparative means for helping minorities overcome the legacy of racism they face in the U.S.
Of
Bakke, Justice Blackmun wrote, "In order to get beyond racism, we must first take race into account. There is no other way." Now we have Edward Blum and Miss Fisher (a pawn really) arguing in direct opposition to
Swann, in which the Court stated the government could not mandate colorblindness when doing so would defeat the integration requirement of Brown v. Board of Education.
Mr. Blum and his advocates assert, correctly in my mind, that the Constitution is colorblind. The thing is that while that document is, people are not, and the reason they are not is because of the legacy, as Justice Blackmun put it, of behavior and thinking U.S. citizens manifest because of race. Truly, what people see, what they focus on and often enough fear, is differences, race just happens to be one of the "big ones" among them. Religion is another. If we come to have a society that in the main (I realize that a 100% target is not necessary or likely) sees differences as just that rather than ascribing to the differences the host of positive and negative qualities they do currently, I'd be okay with the principle Blum and Fisher advocates.
The thing is that right now, we don't live in a colorblind society. (And, no, I don't mean that folks shouldn't notice differences, only that they should not act or hold beliefs based on irrelevant ones like race.) We live in one whereby individuals do discriminate -- sometimes favorably, sometimes not -- based on race; however, these days,
the discrimination is not overt as it was prior to the civil rights era. Moreover, unlike in prior years where
statistically shown negative impacts of a given policy or act was sufficient to show that unfair discrimination, that is now insufficient to show discrimination.
Given the above, in my mind, the key question then is whether, in 2015 and the foreseeable future, there remains a need to make reparations for some 250 or so years of discrimination, and if so, is the public university admissions process one of the means for doing so? Based on my observations both in and outside the U.S. and over the past 45 years (I'm in my late 50s), I think the answer is "yes." (I don't have time now to identify my observations, but I'll gladly do so if someone asks what they are.)