It certainly isn't a good sign. We are paying tariffs and they are shipping more here than ever.
Is it a sign or just wishful thinking on the part of partisans.
“The way the U.S. has structured the tariffs encourages front-loading because firms that know they’re going to hit with tariffs would rather pay 10 percent than 25 percent,” he said.
Plus, the 10 percent tariffs were almost entirely offset by the fall in the Chinese currency, which has depreciated by more than 8 percent since June. This makes Chinese products cheaper overseas.
China’s trade surplus with the U.S. hit a record $34.1 billion in September amid trade war
So how long are WE going to be paying tariffs? China won't care till there is a slow down in exports to the US.
I don't claim to have the answers but it is stated that we have yet to begin noticing the tariffs due to the depreciation of the Yuan.
It did not state that America has 'yet to begin noticing'. That is flat out impossible this far into their initial implementation. America has DEFINITELY begun to notice the effects. It's just the full effect of these tariffs are not yet realized.
And massive tariffs NEVER work - NEVER. Please show me a time in American history when they did? Smoot-Hawley was the last time they were tried, and they were a complete disaster.
For every economist who says Trump's tariffs are a good idea - I can find you at least 2 (if not 10) who say it is not.
The only way Trump's tax (and that is all tariffs are really - taxes) will work is if China flinches in this huge game of chicken. Because if they don't, these tariffs will hurt US consumers and will gain almost no, long term, American jobs.
No one - and I mean NO ONE - is going to built huge, new, U.S. factories STRICTLY due to tariffs that could be taken away tomorrow. So forget about it causing more jobs long term. No chance. Factories might add second shifts temporarily - but that is it.
And prices will go up for consumers - that is guaranteed.
Trump is trying 1950's policies in the 21'st century - and unless China blinks, it will not work.
And why would China blink? They have no elections/polls to worry about? And Xi just got a MASSIVE vote of confidence - so he has no worries. Why would China blink?
But Trump has 2020 coming up. China knows this. Even if they planned to give up - they would not do it before 2020 to see if Trump gets thrown out. And if Trump goes - so goes his tariffs.