We will see how this plays out. If the virus burns out and the stock market rebounds quickly, we will be seeing all the "Trump is finished" trolling video montages once again.
We could see GDP down in the 2nd quarter due to the virus, but then have a very big # in the 3rd quarter as a bunch of delayed 2nd quarter activity all gets lumped in as business is playing catch up. This would give Trump a big GDP # right ahead of the election with no further numbers out until after the election when the GDP would come back to earth as things even out. This scenario is not far fetched in my opinion.
We could see GDP down in the 2nd quarter due to the virus, but then have a very big # in the 3rd quarter as a bunch of delayed 2nd quarter activity all gets lumped in as business is playing catch up. This would give Trump a big GDP # right ahead of the election with no further numbers out until after the election when the GDP would come back to earth as things even out. This scenario is not far fetched in my opinion.