Tom Paine 1949
Diamond Member
- Mar 15, 2020
- 5,407
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It is almost certain that Trump, if elected, would abandon Ukraine or make a deal to save his buddy Putin at the grave expense of Ukraine and Europe. It is certainly possible — but not certain — that he would actually pull out of NATO altogether.
If the U.S. abandons already sovereign independent Ukraine to the stumbling imperial Russian invasion, China will certainly be emboldened in Asia.
Taiwan is in a different situation than Ukraine and its “defense” requires a more sophisticated policy if we are to succeed in protecting the status quo of its pro-Western de facto independence. Trump could sell it out, or follow the cowboy Republicans in Congress and unintentionally force China’s hand. I suspect he would abandon Taiwan even faster than Ukraine if China finally acts to blockade or attack Taiwan, which XiJinping would much prefer not to have to do.
If the U.S. abandons already sovereign independent Ukraine to the stumbling imperial Russian invasion, China will certainly be emboldened in Asia.
Taiwan is in a different situation than Ukraine and its “defense” requires a more sophisticated policy if we are to succeed in protecting the status quo of its pro-Western de facto independence. Trump could sell it out, or follow the cowboy Republicans in Congress and unintentionally force China’s hand. I suspect he would abandon Taiwan even faster than Ukraine if China finally acts to blockade or attack Taiwan, which XiJinping would much prefer not to have to do.
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