Trump Still Leads Clinton in Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll (FReep a poll)

bripat9643

Diamond Member
Apr 1, 2011
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It looks like the Democrat parade of lies was a colossal flop.


Donald Trump holds a roughly 5-point lead over Hillary Clinton two days after the Democratic National Convention. The People’s Pundit Daily Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll finds Mr. Trump at 47.6% to 42.1% for Mrs. Clinton, a lead that is largely fueled by a greater consolidation of the Republican base and a lead among independent voters.

Perhaps the biggest story regarding the post convention polling data is the shift toward Green Party candidate Dr. Jill Stein and the collapse of Libertarian Party candidate, former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson.

On July 19, the first day of the Republican convention, Gov. Johnson enjoyed roughly 9% support in the 4-way matchup, and Dr. Stein was polling at an usually high 3% (her support has ranged from 1% to 3%). Now, no doubt a result of the embarrassing WikiLeak release of hacked emails from the Democratic National Committee, Dr. Stein has increased to her highest level of support to date (4.3%).

Meanwhile, the decline of Mrs. Clinton’s support began even before the conventions began, with voters turning markedly more negative in their views toward the former secretary of state in light of the statements made by FBI Director James Comey. She has struggled to recover ever since and would likely be far higher if a significant number of her own party wasn’t opting for Dr. Stein, Gov. Johnson and even Mr. Trump.

Mr. Trump is drawing more Democrats (17%) than Mrs. Clinton is drawing from Republicans (9%).

Also worth noting, Mr. Trump was fairly successful at rehabilitating his image among a large number of voters who previously held a less favorable view of him, while views of Mrs. Clinton changed almost immeasurably after the convention
 
The far right comrades keep thinking online polls and land line surveys are accurate: they are not.
 
Screen-Shot-2016-02-25-at-10.00.07-AM-1024x741.jpg
 
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 7/18 - 7/29 -- -- 43.7 43.3 Clinton +0.4
Reuters/Ipsos 7/25 - 7/29 1050 LV 3.5 40 35 Clinton +5
LA Times/USC 7/23 - 7/29 2188 LV -- 42 47 Trump +5
Rasmussen Reports 7/26 - 7/27 1000 LV 3.0 43 42 Clinton +1
Economist/YouGov 7/23 - 7/24 1057 RV 4.5 47 42 Clinton +5
CNN/ORC 7/22 - 7/24 882 RV 3.5 45 48 Trump +3
CBS News 7/22 - 7/24 1118 RV 4.0 43 44 Trump +1
NBC News/SM 7/18 - 7/24 12931 RV 1.2 46 45 Clinton +1

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Even more telling as to the ephemeral nature of the Trump bounce is the graph below.
 
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 7/18 - 7/29 -- -- 43.7 43.3 Clinton +0.4
Reuters/Ipsos 7/25 - 7/29 1050 LV 3.5 40 35 Clinton +5
LA Times/USC 7/23 - 7/29 2188 LV -- 42 47 Trump +5
Rasmussen Reports 7/26 - 7/27 1000 LV 3.0 43 42 Clinton +1
Economist/YouGov 7/23 - 7/24 1057 RV 4.5 47 42 Clinton +5
CNN/ORC 7/22 - 7/24 882 RV 3.5 45 48 Trump +3
CBS News 7/22 - 7/24 1118 RV 4.0 43 44 Trump +1
NBC News/SM 7/18 - 7/24 12931 RV 1.2 46 45 Clinton +1

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Even more telling as to the ephemeral nature of the Trump bounce is the graph below.
How do you know it's "ephemeral" when it just happened? The whole damn thing looks "ephemeral."
 
2 weeks ago my brother and dad liked trump. This week they've changed their minds. And the buzz at work does not sound good for truump. The dems did a really good job last week. It's easy to make your case when the facts are on our side.

I wonder if in December Republicans will say they lost because trump wasn't conservative enough

Just like how the far left drones will say Hilary was not far left enough!
 
It looks like the Democrat parade of lies was a colossal flop.


Donald Trump holds a roughly 5-point lead over Hillary Clinton two days after the Democratic National Convention. The People’s Pundit Daily Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll finds Mr. Trump at 47.6% to 42.1% for Mrs. Clinton, a lead that is largely fueled by a greater consolidation of the Republican base and a lead among independent voters.

Perhaps the biggest story regarding the post convention polling data is the shift toward Green Party candidate Dr. Jill Stein and the collapse of Libertarian Party candidate, former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson.

On July 19, the first day of the Republican convention, Gov. Johnson enjoyed roughly 9% support in the 4-way matchup, and Dr. Stein was polling at an usually high 3% (her support has ranged from 1% to 3%). Now, no doubt a result of the embarrassing WikiLeak release of hacked emails from the Democratic National Committee, Dr. Stein has increased to her highest level of support to date (4.3%).

Meanwhile, the decline of Mrs. Clinton’s support began even before the conventions began, with voters turning markedly more negative in their views toward the former secretary of state in light of the statements made by FBI Director James Comey. She has struggled to recover ever since and would likely be far higher if a significant number of her own party wasn’t opting for Dr. Stein, Gov. Johnson and even Mr. Trump.

Mr. Trump is drawing more Democrats (17%) than Mrs. Clinton is drawing from Republicans (9%).

Also worth noting, Mr. Trump was fairly successful at rehabilitating his image among a large number of voters who previously held a less favorable view of him, while views of Mrs. Clinton changed almost immeasurably after the convention
It comes down to numbers. And in the final days of this presidential race, from polling data to early voting, they favor Mitt Romney.

He maintains a small but persistent polling edge. As of yesterday afternoon, there had been 31 national surveys in the previous seven days. Mr. Romney led in 19, President Obama in seven, and five were tied. Mr. Romney averaged 48.4%; Mr. Obama, 47.2%. The GOP challenger was at or above 50% in 10 polls, Mr. Obama in none.
Rove: Sifting the Numbers for a Winner
 
2 weeks ago my brother and dad liked trump. This week they've changed their minds. And the buzz at work does not sound good for truump. The dems did a really good job last week. It's easy to make your case when the facts are on our side.

I wonder if in December Republicans will say they lost because trump wasn't conservative enough
Yeah, sure, we can trust the testimony of a leftwing douche bag liar.
 
The far right comrades keep thinking online polls and land line surveys are accurate: they are not.

it's all they've got.
They are going to lie and say its close to try and hold on to as many duped voters as they can but people are talking and trump just isn't presidential.

And a lot of women do want to see a woman president.

And trumps a con man. Just ask Michael Bloomberg another billionaire.

Trump made a fortune screwing people. Another bain capital type only different
 
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 7/18 - 7/29 -- -- 43.7 43.3 Clinton +0.4
Reuters/Ipsos 7/25 - 7/29 1050 LV 3.5 40 35 Clinton +5
LA Times/USC 7/23 - 7/29 2188 LV -- 42 47 Trump +5
Rasmussen Reports 7/26 - 7/27 1000 LV 3.0 43 42 Clinton +1
Economist/YouGov 7/23 - 7/24 1057 RV 4.5 47 42 Clinton +5
CNN/ORC 7/22 - 7/24 882 RV 3.5 45 48 Trump +3
CBS News 7/22 - 7/24 1118 RV 4.0 43 44 Trump +1
NBC News/SM 7/18 - 7/24 12931 RV 1.2 46 45 Clinton +1

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Even more telling as to the ephemeral nature of the Trump bounce is the graph below.
And Reuters announce they changed the way they polled in favor of the Hilebeast!

Shock Poll: Reuters/Ipsos Radically Changes Methodology to Favor Clinton
Breitbart ^ | July 29, 2016 | by NEIL W. MCCABE

483 The Reuters/Ipsos polling team announced Friday that they are dropping the “Neither” option from their presidential preference polls after their tracking polls showed a 17-point swing in favor of the Republican nominee Donald J. Trump, exposing the “Secret Trump Voters” Democrats fear.

“In a presidential campaign notable for its negativity, the option of ‘Neither’ candidate appears to be an appealing alternative, at least to participants in the Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll,” wrote Maurice Tamman, the leader of the Reuters news service’s New York City-based data mining and investigative reporting team. “Many voters on both sides have been ambivalent in their support for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and Republican nominee Donald Trump, complicating the task of the pollsters trying to track the race.”

The real problem this year’s polling presents to Democrats is the reluctance, especially among more educated voters, to confess their support of Trump. Other pollsters have noted the divergence between polls conducted with live operators and robo-phone calls. Live operators have long been considered the preferred, most accurate method inside the polling community. However, live operator polls uniformly show lower support for Trump than online or automatic-dial phone polls.
 
2 weeks ago my brother and dad liked trump. This week they've changed their minds. And the buzz at work does not sound good for truump. The dems did a really good job last week. It's easy to make your case when the facts are on our side.

I wonder if in December Republicans will say they lost because trump wasn't conservative enough

Just like how the far left drones will say Hilary was not far left enough!
Last week you guys were painting her as a corporate democrat now she's back to being a far left drone socialist? Which is she? Capitalist or socialist?
 
The far right comrades keep thinking online polls and land line surveys are accurate: they are not.

it's all they've got.
They are going to lie and say its close to try and hold on to as many duped voters as they can but people are talking and trump just isn't presidential.

And a lot of women do want to see a woman president.

And trumps a con man. Just ask Michael Bloomberg another billionaire.

Trump made a fortune screwing people. Another bain capital type only different

bloomberg's speech was great. ny'ers know donald best. and know he's a con.

the long grift, as it were.
 
Well, we will see if Clinton gets a bounce in the coming week. I think that she will. And that bounce will be just the beginning of a steady increase in her numbers as Trump continues to run his mouth.
 
2 weeks ago my brother and dad liked trump. This week they've changed their minds. And the buzz at work does not sound good for truump. The dems did a really good job last week. It's easy to make your case when the facts are on our side.

I wonder if in December Republicans will say they lost because trump wasn't conservative enough
I don't trust the machines they use tbh with you I put NOTHING past Hillary she thinks she was screwed 8 years ago and it's owes to her this time. If she "wins" I don't mind her becoming a martyr :) plus Kaine will be a bigger dud than Obama has been
 
  • Despite Hillary’s Historic Nomination, Democrats Are Kind Of Freaking Out That Trump Will Beat Her
    Townhall.com ^ | July 30, 2016 | Matt Vespa
    Hillary Clinton made history, but that may not be enough to get her to 270. Some Democrats are still worried that Donald Trump might win, given the level of volatility this election cycle, how Trump deflects media attacks like Teflon, and the high level of Democratic discontent within their own ranks over ClintonÂ’s nomination. Those feelings were intensified when leaked emails from the Democratic National Committee showed staffers trying to find ways to derail Sen. Bernie SandersÂ’ campaign. The amount of booing, even during ClintonÂ’s acceptance speech Thursday night just highlighted those divisions within the Democratic Party (via The Hill):...
 

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