Trump is losing badly and getting desperate

[Toro]

Polls show that Trump is losing in the crucial swing states

The silent Trump vote is 10% so

lol no

Even if the theory of "silent Trump vote" is correct, it ain't 10%.

According to RCP, Hillary was ahead on election day in MI by 3.6%, in PA by 2.1%, and WI by 6.5%. Trump won by 0.3% in MI, by 0.7% in PA, and 0.7% in WI.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton

www.realclearpolitics.com

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton

www.realclearpolitics.com

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Wisconsin: Trump vs. Clinton

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Wisconsin: Trump vs. Clinton

www.realclearpolitics.com

Assuming the "silent Trump vote" is the difference between the polls and the actual vote, then it would have been 3.9% in MI, 2.8% in PA and 7.2% in WI.

Today, only in WI does that so-called silent Trump vote exceed Biden's current lead.

However, this would also apply to other states too. AZ polls had Hillary ahead by 4%. Trump won by 3.5%. This implies the so-called silent Trump vote is -0.5%. Biden is winning in AZ.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Arizona: Trump vs. Clinton

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Arizona: Trump vs. Clinton

www.realclearpolitics.com

Even if you believe this so-called theory, Biden is leading in AZ MI and PA, enough to flip the election to the Democrats.

 

[denmark]

View attachment 394546

Nearly ALL of the above are within the Margin of Error and New Hampshire and Nevada are not even considered Swing States both have been basically voting Democrat for some time.

Also with the EXCEPTION of Minnesota Biden is under 50% in ALL of them and as I said nearly ALL of them are within the Margin of Error and so those polls are meaningless. In 2016 the polls from ALL those States showed Hillary with larger leads than Biden and ALL OUTSIDE the Margin of Error and what happened was that The Donald won in ALL those States EXCEPT New Hampshire and Nevada because as I already said they have been voting Democrat for some time already.

You have a good point about the value of polls when it comes to actual voting. Many Clinton supporters did not actually vote; they may have thought that she would win anyway.
This time around, it may be very different. The non-Trumpsters are energized and will more likely vote, including the old fashioned Republicans who are disgusted with Trump’s antics and anti-NATO and anti-WHO stances.

...and yet......you trot out Sleepy Joe and even your own ilk will not vote for that crazed nutbag.

Have you been asleep the past few years? Trump is the biggest nutbag of them all, besides being stupid and having smart guys take his college exams.

 

[okfine]

View attachment 394546

Nearly ALL of the above are within the Margin of Error and New Hampshire and Nevada are not even considered Swing States both have been basically voting Democrat for some time.

Also with the EXCEPTION of Minnesota Biden is under 50% in ALL of them and as I said nearly ALL of them are within the Margin of Error and so those polls are meaningless. In 2016 the polls from ALL those States showed Hillary with larger leads than Biden and ALL OUTSIDE the Margin of Error and what happened was that The Donald won in ALL those States EXCEPT New Hampshire and Nevada because as I already said they have been voting Democrat for some time already.

You have a good point about the value of polls when it comes to actual voting. Many Clinton supporters did not actually vote; they may have thought that she would win anyway.
This time around, it may be very different. The non-Trumpsters are energized and will more likely vote, including the old fashioned Republicans who are disgusted with Trump’s antics and anti-NATO and anti-WHO stances.

The dems that didn't vote in 2016 are on the rolls this time and can't wait to vote. Can you say President Joe Biden? Wow!

Not so fast! Biden will have to remain calm and focused when desperate Trump tries to rile him up on family matters or his age.
If Trump succeeds in getting negative press attention away from his stupidity and onto Biden’s Irish emotions, swing voters may reconsider and not vote at all.

Are you undecided on who to vote for? I don't know anyone who is. I remember Trump in debates and it is a sight to behold.

 

[eddiew37]

View attachment 394546

Nearly ALL of the above are within the Margin of Error and New Hampshire and Nevada are not even considered Swing States both have been basically voting Democrat for some time.

Also with the EXCEPTION of Minnesota Biden is under 50% in ALL of them and as I said nearly ALL of them are within the Margin of Error and so those polls are meaningless. In 2016 the polls from ALL those States showed Hillary with larger leads than Biden and ALL OUTSIDE the Margin of Error and what happened was that The Donald won in ALL those States EXCEPT New Hampshire and Nevada because as I already said they have been voting Democrat for some time already.

You have a good point about the value of polls when it comes to actual voting. Many Clinton supporters did not actually vote; they may have thought that she would win anyway.
This time around, it may be very different. The non-Trumpsters are energized and will more likely vote, including the old fashioned Republicans who are disgusted with Trump’s antics and anti-NATO and anti-WHO stances.

The dems that didn't vote in 2016 are on the rolls this time and can't wait to vote. Can you say President Joe Biden? Wow!

Not so fast! Biden will have to remain calm and focused when desperate Trump tries to rile him up on family matters or his age.
If Trump succeeds in getting negative press attention away from his stupidity and onto Biden’s Irish emotions, swing voters may reconsider and not vote at all.

Are you undecided on who to vote for? I don't know anyone who is. I remember Trump in debates and it is a sight to behold.

Yeah doesn't debate but puts on a show

 

[ChemEngineer]

Exactly, you don't know. Glad we cleared that up.

You never clear anything up. You obfuscate and emote, contributing nothing.

Democrat Insanity - Trump Derangement Syndrome

DemocratInsanity.blogspot.com

Bidenisms - Racism, ignorance, lies and incompetence

Bidenisms.blogspot.com

 

[eddiew37]

Polls show that Trump is losing in the crucial swing states, with only 5 weeks to go before the November election. In 2016, he won most of them in his upset over Hillary Clinton.
His “crooked Hillary, send her to jail” mantra will not work this time, and his Russian friends have yet to provide sticky mud against Biden.
His promise to release his tax returns in 2016 will haunt him BIG this time around. His stupid verbiage about the COVID-19 “problem” being minor is not going away soon.

Trump’s back is against the wall, and he’s desperate. What will he do? He’s unpredictable (other than embarrassing tweets), so it will be interesting to see what he does to deflect away from his stupidity and self-centered activities.

He'll be going after Bidens wife ,son

 

[lantern2814]

What a bunch of lying leftards here. Dem vote fraud and illegal ballots getting exposed nationwide. BIDEN’S campaign caught in Texas with an illegal ballot harvesting scheme. He better be asked about that tonight. Desperate? Yeah you lefties are truly desperate.

 

[lantern2814]

Polls show that Trump is losing in the crucial swing states, with only 5 weeks to go before the November election. In 2016, he won most of them in his upset over Hillary Clinton.
His “crooked Hillary, send her to jail” mantra will not work this time, and his Russian friends have yet to provide sticky mud against Biden.
His promise to release his tax returns in 2016 will haunt him BIG this time around. His stupid verbiage about the COVID-19 “problem” being minor is not going away soon.

Trump’s back is against the wall, and he’s desperate. What will he do? He’s unpredictable (other than embarrassing tweets), so it will be interesting to see what he does to deflect away from his stupidity and self-centered activities.

He'll be going after Bidens wife ,son

e
Just like you assholes do to Trump. STFU and watch Biden get destroyed. Nimrod.

 

[Meathead]

Polls show that Trump is losing in the crucial swing states, with only 5 weeks to go before the November election. In 2016, he won most of them in his upset over Hillary Clinton.
His “crooked Hillary, send her to jail” mantra will not work this time, and his Russian friends have yet to provide sticky mud against Biden.
His promise to release his tax returns in 2016 will haunt him BIG this time around. His stupid verbiage about the COVID-19 “problem” being minor is not going away soon.

Trump’s back is against the wall, and he’s desperate. What will he do? He’s unpredictable (other than embarrassing tweets), so it will be interesting to see what he does to deflect away from his stupidity and self-centered activities.

It's not our first rodeo cupcake.

 

[ChemEngineer]

Have you been asleep the past few years? Trump is the biggest nutbag of them all, besides being stupid and having smart guys take his college exams.

You LEFTISTS are absolute geniuses. Take the Unabomber, please. College professors make news every week for saying and doing the most outlandish, anti-American activities and demands that make decent and thinking people wonder what the hell they are doing brainwashing our impressionable kids, who as a consequence are rioting, looting and burning businesses. All your ilk does is promise more of the same.
And you never admit you were wrong. You never change. There is NO correlation between intelligence or learnedness and common sense and decency. To the contrary, most teachers and professors badmouth America and our Constitution.
"Public education is a socialist monopoly, a real one." - The Late Milton Friedman

(no title)

TheEducationFraud.wordpress.com

 

[Astrostar]

Polls show that Trump is losing in the crucial swing states, with only 5 weeks to go before the November election. In 2016, he won most of them in his upset over Hillary Clinton.
His “crooked Hillary, send her to jail” mantra will not work this time, and his Russian friends have yet to provide sticky mud against Biden.
His promise to release his tax returns in 2016 will haunt him BIG this time around. His stupid verbiage about the COVID-19 “problem” being minor is not going away soon.

Trump’s back is against the wall, and he’s desperate. What will he do? He’s unpredictable (other than embarrassing tweets), so it will be interesting to see what he does to deflect away from his stupidity and self-centered activities.

And tonight he gets his ass handed to him by Vice President Biden:
Federal Income Taxes: Trump don't pay any!
Covid response: Abysmal performance by Trump INCLUDING calling the virus a hoax early on, lying to the American people about the severity of the disease and refusing to
don (pun intended) a mask.
Economy: In free fall because of the pandemic which Trump ignored. Disney laying off 28,000 today. Millions of Americans losing their jobs and sources of income.
Black Lives Matter: Trump won't even say it!
Ivanka three quarters of a million in "consulting fees? Get real! Just a way to avoid paying federal income taxes.

Tonight is Trump's last stand, and he will fare no better than Custer did.

 

[depotoo]

Polls show that Trump is losing in the crucial swing states

The silent Trump vote is 10% so

lol no

Even if the theory of "silent Trump vote" is correct, it ain't 10%.

According to RCP, Hillary was ahead on election day in MI by 3.6%, in PA by 2.1%, and WI by 6.5%. Trump won by 0.3% in MI, by 0.7% in PA, and 0.7% in WI.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton

www.realclearpolitics.com

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton

www.realclearpolitics.com

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Wisconsin: Trump vs. Clinton

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Wisconsin: Trump vs. Clinton

www.realclearpolitics.com

Assuming the "silent Trump vote" is the difference between the polls and the actual vote, then it would have been 3.9% in MI, 2.8% in PA and 7.2% in WI.

Today, only in WI does that so-called silent Trump vote exceed Biden's current lead.

However, this would also apply to other states too. AZ polls had Hillary ahead by 4%. Trump won by 3.5%. This implies the so-called silent Trump vote is -0.5%. Biden is winning in AZ.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Arizona: Trump vs. Clinton

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Arizona: Trump vs. Clinton

www.realclearpolitics.com

Even if you believe this so-called theory, Biden is leading in AZ MI and PA, enough to flip the election to the Democrats.

The polling is even more lopsided today than it was in 2016.
One poll I saw even mentioned they decided to go with 2008 for weighting rather than 2016.

 

[okfine]

Have you been asleep the past few years? Trump is the biggest nutbag of them all, besides being stupid and having smart guys take his college exams.

You LEFTISTS are absolute geniuses. Take the Unabomber, please. College professors make news every week for saying and doing the most outlandish, anti-American activities and demands that make decent and thinking people wonder what the hell they are doing brainwashing our impressionable kids, who as a consequence are rioting, looting and burning businesses. All your ilk does is promise more of the same.
And you never admit you were wrong. You never change. There is NO correlation between intelligence or learnedness and common sense and decency. To the contrary, most teachers and professors badmouth America and our Constitution.
"Public education is a socialist monopoly, a real one." - The Late Milton Friedman

(no title)

TheEducationFraud.wordpress.com

Was or is your child brainwashed? Just wondering.

 

[denmark]

Polls show that Trump is losing in the crucial swing states, with only 5 weeks to go before the November election. In 2016, he won most of them in his upset over Hillary Clinton.
His “crooked Hillary, send her to jail” mantra will not work this time, and his Russian friends have yet to provide sticky mud against Biden.
His promise to release his tax returns in 2016 will haunt him BIG this time around. His stupid verbiage about the COVID-19 “problem” being minor is not going away soon.

Trump’s back is against the wall, and he’s desperate. What will he do? He’s unpredictable (other than embarrassing tweets), so it will be interesting to see what he does to deflect away from his stupidity and self-centered activities.

And tonight he gets his ass handed to him by Vice President Biden:
Federal Income Taxes: Trump don't pay any!
Covid response: Abysmal performance by Trump INCLUDING calling the virus a hoax early on, lying to the American people about the severity of the disease and refusing to
don (pun intended) a mask.
Economy: In free fall because of the pandemic which Trump ignored. Disney laying off 28,000 today. Millions of Americans losing their jobs and sources of income.
Black Lives Matter: Trump won't even say it!
Ivanka three quarters of a million in "consulting fees? Get real! Just a way to avoid paying federal income taxes.

Tonight is Trump's last stand, and he will fare no better than Custer did.

Never underestimate a desperate underdog, no matter how much dog shit he produces.
Biden may accidentally step on that minefield shit.

 

[denmark]

Polls show that Trump is losing in the crucial swing states, with only 5 weeks to go before the November election. In 2016, he won most of them in his upset over Hillary Clinton.
His “crooked Hillary, send her to jail” mantra will not work this time, and his Russian friends have yet to provide sticky mud against Biden.
His promise to release his tax returns in 2016 will haunt him BIG this time around. His stupid verbiage about the COVID-19 “problem” being minor is not going away soon.

Trump’s back is against the wall, and he’s desperate. What will he do? He’s unpredictable (other than embarrassing tweets), so it will be interesting to see what he does to deflect away from his stupidity and self-centered activities.

The corrupt president will name call like a 5 year old kid, will run his rubber lips' with nonsense--America is at a cross roads. we must take America back, from racist talk, from Russia, intervention. president Biden will bring America back, from a total disaster.

Biden is the one who is America first, not Trump first.
Biden is the World second, whereas Trump is Russia second.

 

[Seawytch]

Polls show that Trump is losing in the crucial swing states

The silent Trump vote is 10% so

(Sad Trombone)

Secret Trump Voters Didn’t Decide 2016 And Probably Won’t Swing 2020

A recent poll showed that the majority of Pennsylvanians think people in their community secretly support President Trump. In this week’s FiveThirtyEight Politi…

fivethirtyeight.com

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

The silent Trump vote is 10% so

Evidence?

 

[Mac1958]

According to RCP, Hillary was ahead on election day in MI by 3.6%, in PA by 2.1%, and WI by 6.5%. Trump won by 0.3% in MI, by 0.7% in PA, and 0.7% in WI.

Man, that's an insane swing in WI, holy crap.

 

[eddiew37]

Trump is a dead man walking............

 

[Toro]

The polling is even more lopsided today than it was in 2016.
One poll I saw even mentioned they decided to go with 2008 for weighting rather than 2016.

Yes, but that doesn't mean Trump can't win, of course.

Most people don't understand polling. Polls are estimates of a population, which means by definition means they are going to be wrong once in a while.

For example, 538 has Biden a 77% chance of winning. That means he has roughly a 1 in 4 chance of losing, which is the same probability of flipping two heads or tails of a coin in a row. Flipping two heads or tails in a row isn't particularly unusual. It's also the same probability of an NFL team favored by 6 points winning. But of course, 6-point favorites don't always win.

People who say "I don't believe polls" is tantamount to people who say that they don't believe the NFL odds or coin flips. Simply because a poll said something likely didn't happen doesn't mean they are all wrong. It just means people don't understand probabilities and methodologies. Corporations spend tens of billions of dollars each year on polls for consumer research. They aren't stupid.