Toro
Diamond Member
Polls show that Trump is losing in the crucial swing states
The silent Trump vote is 10% so
lol no
Even if the theory of "silent Trump vote" is correct, it ain't 10%.
According to RCP, Hillary was ahead on election day in MI by 3.6%, in PA by 2.1%, and WI by 6.5%. Trump won by 0.3% in MI, by 0.7% in PA, and 0.7% in WI.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton
www.realclearpolitics.com
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton
www.realclearpolitics.com
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Wisconsin: Trump vs. Clinton
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Wisconsin: Trump vs. Clinton
www.realclearpolitics.com
Assuming the "silent Trump vote" is the difference between the polls and the actual vote, then it would have been 3.9% in MI, 2.8% in PA and 7.2% in WI.
Today, only in WI does that so-called silent Trump vote exceed Biden's current lead.
However, this would also apply to other states too. AZ polls had Hillary ahead by 4%. Trump won by 3.5%. This implies the so-called silent Trump vote is -0.5%. Biden is winning in AZ.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Arizona: Trump vs. Clinton
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Arizona: Trump vs. Clinton
www.realclearpolitics.com
Even if you believe this so-called theory, Biden is leading in AZ MI and PA, enough to flip the election to the Democrats.