The polling is even more lopsided today than it was in 2016.
One poll I saw even mentioned they decided to go with 2008 for weighting rather than 2016.
Yes, but that doesn't mean Trump can't win, of course.
Most people don't understand polling. Polls are
estimates of a population, which means by definition means they are going to be wrong once in a while.
For example, 538 has Biden a 77% chance of winning. That means he has roughly a 1 in 4 chance of losing, which is the same probability of flipping two heads or tails of a coin in a row. Flipping two heads or tails in a row isn't particularly unusual. It's also the same probability of an NFL team favored by 6 points winning. But of course, 6-point favorites don't always win.
People who say "I don't believe polls" is tantamount to people who say that they don't believe the NFL odds or coin flips. Simply because a poll said something likely didn't happen doesn't mean they are all wrong. It just means people don't understand probabilities and methodologies. Corporations spend tens of billions of dollars each year on polls for consumer research. They aren't stupid.