Trump is crashing on the betting sites

[Admiral Rockwell Tory]

Trump had a significant leads on the election betting sites. His numbers have started plummeting in the past couple of days. The Madison Square Garden rally is going to go down as Trump’s black swan moment. That was when it all unraveled.

2025 Elections Predictions & Forecasts | Kalshi

Live election forecasts and prediction markets for 2025 gubernatorial, mayoral, and state elections.

kalshi.com

Presidential Election Winner 2024

Presidential Election Winner 2024 (Resolved): View final results and past odds on The World's Largest Prediction Market™

polymarket.com

PredictIt

www.predictit.org

Did you see something at the rally by Trump that no one else saw?

 

[Admiral Rockwell Tory]

Its because he is insane.

You are saying Don't Taz Me Bro is insane? You can get good odds on that.

 

[Admiral Rockwell Tory]

The bad news just keeps coming! October jobs number is WAY BELOW economists expectations. A piddling 12,000 jobs added for the final jobs data point before the election.

You didn't know Bidenomics is working great?

 

[Admiral Rockwell Tory]

One could argue that the margins are so small in the swing states that it is still possible Harris could win, but it is highly unlikely.

Even CNN is telling its viewers that Trump is likely to win.

 

[Admiral Rockwell Tory]

I wouldn't bet the rent money on that.

What rent? He/she/it lives in Mom's basement like a good liberal.

 

[airplanemechanic]

Trump had a significant leads on the election betting sites. His numbers have started plummeting in the past couple of days. The Madison Square Garden rally is going to go down as Trump’s black swan moment. That was when it all unraveled.

2025 Elections Predictions & Forecasts | Kalshi

Live election forecasts and prediction markets for 2025 gubernatorial, mayoral, and state elections.

kalshi.com

Presidential Election Winner 2024

Presidential Election Winner 2024 (Resolved): View final results and past odds on The World's Largest Prediction Market™

polymarket.com

PredictIt

www.predictit.org

Polymarket is only international investors. Americans are banned. So it's not an indication of anything domestic related. Last week they hugely favored Trump.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/polymarket-cracks-down-us-based-155701558.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAACN8lpJ-U-_NBi6NUm9320duzeBwNaKOmK4KHsBx1K5dj4_JeSLWY-fYp0CjRoQV6k5m8J1hz58DlZU3eeX-_qkf0Y9NEPYqZulkrfFnnU1Wne5iJ_1SjgxbG7ass00VWWzlR83nAoXi2DC2U34JwMqxfQLS5vW7D-yxKwYX_QwQ

 

[Fort Fun Indiana]

Polymarket is only international investors. Americans are banned. So it's not an indication of anything domestic related. Last week they hugely favored Trump.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/polymarket-cracks-down-us-based-155701558.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAACN8lpJ-U-_NBi6NUm9320duzeBwNaKOmK4KHsBx1K5dj4_JeSLWY-fYp0CjRoQV6k5m8J1hz58DlZU3eeX-_qkf0Y9NEPYqZulkrfFnnU1Wne5iJ_1SjgxbG7ass00VWWzlR83nAoXi2DC2U34JwMqxfQLS5vW7D-yxKwYX_QwQ

Exclusive: Election betting site Polymarket is rife with fake ‘wash’ trading, researchers say

Blockchain evidence points to users carrying out market manipulation to inflate trading volumes on the popular political betting platform.

fortune.com

Exclusive: Election betting site Polymarket gives Trump a 67% chance of winning but is rife with fake ‘wash’ trading, researchers say​

BYLeo Schwartz
October 30, 2024 at 10:20 AM EDT

....


"wash trading, a form of market manipulation where shares are bought and sold, often simultaneously and repeatedly, to create a false impression of volume and activity. "

 

[SweetSue92]

Trump had a significant leads on the election betting sites. His numbers have started plummeting in the past couple of days. The Madison Square Garden rally is going to go down as Trump’s black swan moment. That was when it all unraveled.

2025 Elections Predictions & Forecasts | Kalshi

Live election forecasts and prediction markets for 2025 gubernatorial, mayoral, and state elections.

kalshi.com

Presidential Election Winner 2024

Presidential Election Winner 2024 (Resolved): View final results and past odds on The World's Largest Prediction Market™

polymarket.com

PredictIt

www.predictit.org

Absolute BS from Michigan, I can tell you that. No way is a 64% chance of a Harris win legit.

 

[Admiral Rockwell Tory]

Absolute BS from Michigan, I can tell you that. No way is a 64% chance of a Harris win legit.

Those laid off Ford workers are certainly not voting for Harris!

 

[SweetSue92]

MSG was 'game over' for Trump. PA and NV will go blue along with ME-2 and WI and MI.

What was supposed to be outrageous about that?

 

[Andrew_Jackson_FTW]

Trump had a significant leads on the election betting sites. His numbers have started plummeting in the past couple of days. The Madison Square Garden rally is going to go down as Trump’s black swan moment. That was when it all unraveled.

2025 Elections Predictions & Forecasts | Kalshi

Live election forecasts and prediction markets for 2025 gubernatorial, mayoral, and state elections.

kalshi.com

Presidential Election Winner 2024

Presidential Election Winner 2024 (Resolved): View final results and past odds on The World's Largest Prediction Market™

polymarket.com

PredictIt

www.predictit.org

So now you think it’s still rigged?

 

[SweetSue92]

Maybe...but Trump was going to lose regardless. The early voting totals among women made that abundantly clear.

I'm a woman and I'm voting Trump. So is my daughter, my sister, and at least one sister in law. In Michigan, btw

 

[MisterBeale]

It's now even on PredictIt

Betting markets - if you believe them - are picking up Harris's momentum surge in the last week of the election.

Well, now that the shenanigans of the establishment are being widely shared and reported, folks are realizing, this election more than likely won't be fair either.

Colorado Secretary of State posted spreadsheet with voting system passwords​

The passwords are one part of a multi-step security process.
October 29, 2024

Colorado Secretary of State posted spreadsheet with voting system passwords

The passwords are one part of a multi-step security process.

www.9news.com

Dominion Keeps Popping Up In All the Wrong Places--Including Passwords Made Public​

October 30, 2024

Dominion Keeps Popping Up In All the Wrong Places--Including Passwords Made Public

America runs the MOST SECURE ELECTIONS™ in the world. At least I keep being told that, despite

hotair.com

Update: Judge sides with Trump campaign, extends early voting deadline in Bucks County​

Voters seeking mail-in ballots on the final day they were allowed to do so faced long lines at county election office and were turned away before 5 p.m., Trump said.
October 30, 2024

Update: Judge sides with Trump campaign, extends early voting deadline in Bucks County

Voters seeking mail-in ballots on the final day they were allowed to do so faced long lines at county election office and were turned away before 5 p.m., Trump said.

www.fox43.com

". . . . The Pennsylvania Department of State made clear if voters are in line at a county elections office by 5:00PM, the counties MUST give voters the opportunity to apply for their mail-in ballot," the campaign said. "Pennsylvania voters were turned away as early as 2:30PM.

"This is against the law. This is voter suppression from the left. We will fight for every legal vote in Pennsylvania. Go vote, and stay in line!"

A Bucks County spokesperson told CBS News that the line for the on-demand process was cut at about 2:45 p.m. on Tuesday, but the county continued accepting applications for mail-in ballots until 5 p.m.

The Pennsylvania Department of State had asked every county to ensure every voter who was in line by 5 p.m. could at least fill out and submit an application for a mail-in ballot.

In a post on his social media platform Wednesday, Trump alluded to "cheating" in Pennsylvania, but offered no specifics.

Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro issued a statement responding to Trump's allegations on Wednesday, accusing the former president of using "the same playbook" he did in 2020, when he attempted to overturn the election results in the Commonwealth. . . . "

 

[Muhammed]

A.couple.of his rich donors cooked the books with large bets.

How did you come to that stupid conclusion?

 

[eagle1462010]

You're in a cult.

Keep clinging to the lies of your Orange God, old man.

Cult word again. Get new material

 

[Andrew_Jackson_FTW]

MSG was 'game over' for Trump. PA and NV will go blue along with ME-2 and WI and MI.

That would only mean we are a nation of cucks and BLM whiny little bitches. I don’t think it’s the case.

 

[Andrew_Jackson_FTW]

How did you come to that stupid conclusion?

He’s trollin

Harris was well ahead on poly market in August. But then due to her horrendous job on interviews and campaign speeches… and then RFK Junior and musk endorsing Trump Trump gained the momentum. Trump still has a sizable lead on the betting markets.

 

[Fort Fun Indiana]

How did you come to that stupid conclusion?

Just keep reading the thread.

And then some:

How one trader’s $26m Trump bet exposed Polymarket’s prediction problem

Experts tell DL News how prediction markets are poised to grow after the election. One French trader distorted the pool for the Harris-Trump race. Prediction market's thin liquidity skews its forecasting model.

www.dlnews.com

 

[Andrew_Jackson_FTW]

61 to 58 is "crashing"?

What a fool you are.

I've already offered you a wager if you're that confident.

Trump wins, you step down as moderator.

Harris wins, I delete my account and leave forever.

You ran away.

Guess even through all that TDS fueled delusion, you see the writing on the wall.

Dam!! Nice confidence ^

Harris supporters are betas who lack confidence

 

[Andrew_Jackson_FTW]

Weren't you the one telling us the betting sites didn't mean anything?

Yes he was …. lol Harris supporters