Trafalgar Pollster Predicts Biden Likely Landslide(?): Trump Voters Still Embarrassed, Admitted!

[badbob85037]

Five-Thirty-Eight has Fox polling showing Biden leading in Florida 10 points, most recently. Like Rasmussen, Trafalgar polls tend to overstate the Republican advantages: Most likely reliant on a stratified sampling method. Especially in the new context of a monster voter turnout, the samples cannot be said predictive of a complete national polling of likely or registered voters. A lower turnout actually makes their polls look better. That isn't happening.

So CNN created an opportunity for Trafalgar polling to advertise and explain itself.



The first take-away is the sampling problem, then the second is the use of machines to create the interview responses. The Trafalgar justification is about the "Shy" Trump voters(?): Still After Four Years: Completely Embarrassed By The Whole Thing Trumped-Up--Especially The Record(?)!

The embarrassment, "Shy" contention: Tends to support the lack of a relevant sample for a national or statewide prediction. There is better said an over-sample of Trump supporters--apparently entirely glaring.

The voter turnout so far is spectacular. Then other recent polling results tend to be less focused on the national election and more on the state level elections. No pollster focuses entirely on California, for example: But a 60% Biden, 30% Trump, 10% other kind of outcome is way more likely than "Trump wins Florida," just this weekend.

For one thing, The Red States are getting way more Covid-19 blasted than California. City-County of San Francisco is virtually reopened, completely: Pelosi friendly, Biden Spot Right-on!

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(Even Trump Rallies Shrink, like in the prayers(?): Matt 25: 14-30! Lives Don't Matter!)

I was going to ask where the Hell you get this crap. Then I see it' was CNN. How dare you insult my above average JQ. Don't you know any onwatches CNN is losing brain cells and shaving IQ points.. Anyone not believing that fact II give you as an example..

 

[mascale]

The fellow from Trafalgar extended CNN the compliment in the OP, to the contrary. Nothing was posted to correct the interview as presented.

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(Even Trump Rallies Shrink, like in the prayers(?): Matt 25: 14-30! Lives Don't Matter!)

 

[Turtlesoup]

Five-Thirty-Eight has Fox polling showing Biden leading in Florida 10 points, most recently. Like Rasmussen, Trafalgar polls tend to overstate the Republican advantages: Most likely reliant on a stratified sampling method. Especially in the new context of a monster voter turnout, the samples cannot be said predictive of a complete national polling of likely or registered voters. A lower turnout actually makes their polls look better. That isn't happening.

So CNN created an opportunity for Trafalgar polling to advertise and explain itself.



The first take-away is the sampling problem, then the second is the use of machines to create the interview responses. The Trafalgar justification is about the "Shy" Trump voters(?): Still After Four Years: Completely Embarrassed By The Whole Thing Trumped-Up--Especially The Record(?)!

The embarrassment, "Shy" contention: Tends to support the lack of a relevant sample for a national or statewide prediction. There is better said an over-sample of Trump supporters--apparently entirely glaring.

The voter turnout so far is spectacular. Then other recent polling results tend to be less focused on the national election and more on the state level elections. No pollster focuses entirely on California, for example: But a 60% Biden, 30% Trump, 10% other kind of outcome is way more likely than "Trump wins Florida," just this weekend.

For one thing, The Red States are getting way more Covid-19 blasted than California. City-County of San Francisco is virtually reopened, completely: Pelosi friendly, Biden Spot Right-on!

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(Even Trump Rallies Shrink, like in the prayers(?): Matt 25: 14-30! Lives Don't Matter!)

Its about the libs being terrorists and violent attacking property and people who don't support the dems.