The answer to Zander and the rest of the far right fascists is
RealClearPolitics - Opinion, News, Analysis, Video and Polls
Again... your link shows Trump and Hillary in a statistical TIE... that's a far cry from Hillary
trouncing Trump as you claimed.
Clinton is leading in the RCP averages by 4.4%. That's not a statistical tie. Statistically, Clinton is leading.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton
Of course, that can change.
A statistical tie is when one candidate is within 3% in a poll of 1000 people. But since the RCP averages are an aggregation of recent polls, and the total respondents in the aggregation are 3000-5000, a statistical tie would be 1%-1.5%.
Well Hillary has one poll showing her up by 15 points over Trump which is just not realistic. Not to mention, the erroneous poll is less than 600 registered voters. You sure are giving a lot of credence to that one poll. Also, I don't know where you get that statistical ties are determined by aggregate totals of people polled in different surveys. That's the goofiest thing I've ever heard. If the margin of error in a Gallup poll is 3%, it doesn't suddenly change because Fox News did a similar poll with a 3% margin of error.
My god, the level of dumbness is astounding!
After conservatives went Full Retard in 2012 over polls, you'd think you guys would STFU and learn something.
Excluding that one poll, the previous five polls has Clinton leading by 2.4% on average. And the one poll that has Trump ahead - Fox News - also had him ahead in October, even though every single other poll since the beginning of September had Clinton leading. Thus, it is not unreasonable to assume that Fox is an outlier. However, Fox's polls will have more credence if they are confirmed by other polls.
Since it is not unreasonable to assume that the same participants in one poll are not the same participants in the other polls, it is not unreasonable to assume that an aggregation of the polls estimates a greater sample size of the population. Excluding the Marist poll, there were 5300 respondents in the other five polls. You can calculate the confidence interval with a population of 5300 respondents here -
http://www.surveysystem.com/sscalc.htm.
At a 99% confidence level, the confidence interval is 1.75%, meaning Clinton is almost certainly leading Trump, since her lead averages 2.4% in the five polls. If you exclude the Fox News polls, given its potential biases, and the Marist polls, Clinton is leading by 3.4%, well above the confidence interval.
As a former psychologist, I hope you are capable enough recognize your obvious cognitive biases, which are evident on the board.